PowerPointPrsentation

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Network for Socio-Economic Research on Water
Resource Management in the Middle East
ATEEC
University of Haifa
Palestinian Agricultural Relief Committee
(PARC/AAA)
Hebrew University
Arab Technologists for Economic and
Environmentral Consultancies, Jordan
University of Hohenheim
Evaluation of socio-economic consequences from
changing water availability in the Jordan Valley
an example of shared cross-border water
resources
H.-P. Wolff1, M.Shechter2, A. Fleischer3, A.
Salman4, T. Hijawi5, I. Kan2
1 University of Hohenheim, Dept. of Agricultural
Economics and Social Sciences in the Tropics and
Subtropics 2 National Resource and Environmental
Research Center (NRERC), University of Haifa
3 Hebrew University, Rehovot 4 Arab
Technologists for Economic and Environmentral
Consultancies (ATEEC) 5 Arab Agronomist
Association/Palestinian Agricultural Relief
Committee (AAA/PARC)
Funding of Presented Research
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Network of Socio-Economic Research on Water
Resource Management in the Middle East
Question
How to evaluate socio-economic impacts from
changes in water availability? (MDGs highly
socio-economic character)
Difference between solutions to both questions
area of discourse on political interventions
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Network of Socio-Economic Research on Water
Resource Management in the Middle East
Situation

• Natural water flows today
• Man-made water infrastructure
• Research regions Regions of socio-economic
  impacts

Boundary of natural watershed
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Network of Socio-Economic Research on Water
Resource Management in the Middle East
Situation

• Natural water flows today
• Man-made water infrastructure
• Research regions Regions of socio-economic
  impacts

Treaty Israel-Jordan 50 MCM
Coastal region and Negev 400 MCM
Jordan Highlands (urban areas) 50 MCM
King Abdullah Canal
Ground-water
Treated Wastewater (urban areas) 60 MCM
National Water Carrier
Water from aquifers ( for urban areas) 46 MCM
Boundary of natural watershed
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Network of Socio-Economic Research on Water
Resource Management in the Middle East
Situation

• Natural water flows today
• Man-made water infrastructure
• Research regions Regions of socio-economic
  impacts

Northern Ghor
Middle Ghor
Wadi Faria'a
Southern Ghor
Research regions Israel Palestine Jordan
DEAD SEA

100 km
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Network of Socio-Economic Research on Water
Resource Management in the Middle East
Basic Differences in the Situation of Agriculture
with water from the Jordan Valley Watershed
Palestinian Areas
Israeli Areas
Jordanian Areas
Irrigated, supplied by centralized conveyance
system

• Predominantly
• irrigated from own wells, blended water and
  waste-water from urban areas or
• fully rain-fed

Predominantly rain-fed with supplementary
irrigation, supplied by central conveyance system
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Network of Socio-Economic Research on Water
Resource Management in the Middle East
Changes in Water Availability and Socio-economic
Evaluation
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Network of Socio-Economic Research on Water
Resource Management in the Middle East
Evaluating Impacts from Changes in Water Supply
1)
2)
3)
4)
Re-allocation between economic sectors and regions
Climate Change Changes in precipitation and
temperature
Additional water infrastructure Red-Sea-Dead-Sea
Channel, coastal desalination plants, Wadi dams,
Water harvesting by e.g. terracing

• Institutional frame conditions
• access and user rights of water resources,
• management of irrigation and land use

Socio economic situation of end-users (constraints
for resource use)
Evaluation of Potentials Optimization Models on
agricultural production (Agricultural Systems
Models, AgSyM)
Evaluation of Consequences Optimization Models
on Families and their enterprises (Farming
Systems Models, FaSyM)
Change in Potentials through changes in water
availabilty
Result Decision support for intergovernmental
negotiations
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Network of Socio-Economic Research on Water
Resource Management in the Middle East
Reality vs. Potential Optimal Resource Use
Towards Maximum Socio-Economic Benefits
(Modelling)
Changes in available amount of water
External Constraints
Changes in security of water supply
Families' Internal Constraints
e.g. Income from agric. ( / hectare)
Observation existing Farming Systems
FaSyM optimized.
AgSyM optimized.
Farming systems
Agric. Prod.
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Network of Socio-Economic Research on Water
Resource Management in the Middle East
Results (e.g. added value from agricultural
production)
ISRAEL (water carrier)
JORDAN (valley)
900
120
800
100
700
80
600
Million US
Million US
500
60
400
40
300
200
20
100
0
0
today
CC
today
CC
today
CC
today
CC
Obs.
FaSyM
AgSyM
Obs.
FaSyM
AgSyM
Palestine (Wadi Faria'a)

• Climate Change scenario B2, 20 years
• local solutions,
• intermediate economic development
• more diverse and less rapid technological changes
  
• population growth of 10 billion by 2100.

CC
20
18
16
14
12
Million Jordanian Dinar
10
8
6
4
Model result not verified yet,
n.v.
2
0
Model development not funded
n.f.
today
CC
today
CC
Obs.
FaSyM
AgSyM
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Network of Socio-Economic Research on Water
Resource Management in the Middle East
FaSyM Impacts on Classes of Farming Systems
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Network of Socio-Economic Research on Water
Resource Management in the Middle East
Conclusion
Evaluations of socio-economic changes due to
changes in water-supply must focus on the
socio-economic watershed rather than on the
natural watershed
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Network of Socio-Economic Research on Water
Resource Management in the Middle East
Thank you for your attention