Fistera WP2 Results

1
Fistera WP2 Results

• Methodology and Technology Trajectories

2
Method and approach for analyses of technology
trajectories

• Technology evolution in the global context
• Four layers
• Representation mechanisms
• Information sources and acquisition process
• Involvement of partners, members, community
• Disruptions, signposts
• Topology and What if

3
PUSH vs PULL

• It is a tangled world
• Technology cannot be seen outside of context
• i.e. if you want to assess its value!
• Incremental vs Disruptive
• Value is in understanding relationships
• Existing vs Out of the blue

Technology Evolution context
4
COMPROMISING ON 4

• Related to Information Society
• Basic vs Aggregate Technology
• Description for the lay-man
• understand why it is relevant
• Is there value in investing?
• Leading, trailingno hope?

• Technology

The FOUR LAYERS
5
COMPROMISING ON 4

• What is needed
• Why the capability is important
• Showing tech. alternatives
• Evolution over time

• Functionality

• Technology

The FOUR LAYERS
6
COMPROMISING ON 4

• 3D Imaging
• Broadband
• Data Capture
• Digital Broadcasting System
• Encryption
• Information Displaying
• Information Retrieval
• Human Interfacing
• Image recognition
• Information coding
• Language understanding
• .

• Functionality

• Technology

The FOUR LAYERS
7
COMPROMISING ON 4

• Whose business is it?
• What is the potential market?
• How can it change over time?
• Is it culturally related?
• Is it basic?

• Service

• Functionality

• Technology

The FOUR LAYERS
8
COMPROMISING ON 4

• Blogging
• Broadband on demand
• Education
• Healthcare
• Multimodal Transportation
• Security ensurance
• Storage on demand
• Tourism Support Services

• Service

• Functionality

• Technology

The FOUR LAYERS
9
COMPROMISING ON 4

• What are the social implication?
• What are the concerns?
• Is life quality improving?
• Who is benefiting?
• What is the market size?
• What can be the standard?
• Is it location based?
• How will it evolve?

• Ambient

• Service

• Functionality

• Technology

The FOUR LAYERS
10
COMPROMISING ON 4

• Ambient on the move
• Amusement park
• Car
• Car dealer shop
• Communities
• Construction site
• Cooperative working area
• Distribution Chain
• Graveyard
• Hospital

• Ambient

• Service

• Functionality

• Technology

The FOUR LAYERS
11
Sources

• Published Studies
• Internet search
• IST
• WP1
• IEEE
• Universities
• News Monitoring
• Research Centers

Information sources and Acquisition
12
Looking for x
X
Disruption
Time
Disruptions, signpost
13
Looking for x in processing
?
Smart Obj. GRID
volume
Disruptions, signpost
14
Looking for x in telecommunication
?
- Mesh Ntw - SwRadio - Autonomic Systems
Routers Bridges Add/Drop
Electromech Switches
Hierarchy
Electronic Switches
Time
Disruptions, signpost
15
Looking for x in health care
?
Understanding Specificity
Understanding Symptoms
KH-Focus
Understanding Causes
Time
Disruptions, signpost