Causes of Demographic Change

1
Causes of Demographic Change

• Immigration
• Birth Rates
• Dispersion

2

Foreign Born Population 1850 - 2010
3
U.S. Birth Rate 1940-2005
4
Percent of Women (15-44) with a Birth in the Past
Year
5
Components of Growth
6
Hispanic Population Growth by State 1980-2000
Established Hispanic States
Moderate growth Large base
Source Pew Hispanic Center tabulations from the
1980 and 2000 Census
7
Hispanic Population Growth by State 1980-2000
New Hispanic States
Fast growth -- Established base
Source Pew Hispanic Center tabulations from the
1980 and 2000 Census
8
Hispanic Population Growth by State 1980-2000
Emerging Hispanic States
Fast growth -- Small base
Source Pew Hispanic Center tabulations from the
1980 and 2000 Census
9
Effects of Demographic Change

• Change in the racial mix
• New political dynamics

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How white? Total U.S.
11
How White?
12
How White?
13
How White? The Future
14
U.S. Population Ages 20 to 35 2005
Source Pew Hispanic Center tabulations from the
Annual Social and Economic Supplement, Current
Population Survey, March 2005
15
Population Change Ages 20-352000-2005
Source Pew Hispanic Center tabulations from the
Annual Social and Economic Supplement, Current
Population Survey, March 2005 and Census 2000
16
Population Change Ages 20-352000-2005
Source Pew Hispanic Center tabulations from the
Annual Social and Economic Supplement, Current
Population Survey, March 2005 and Census 2000
17
Population Change Ages 20-352000-2005
Source Pew Hispanic Center tabulations from the
Annual Social and Economic Supplement, Current
Population Survey, March 2005 and Census 2000
18
Population Change Hispanics by Nativity Ages
20-35, 2000-2005
Source Pew Hispanic Center tabulations from the
Annual Social and Economic Supplement, Current
Population Survey, March 2005 and Census 2000
19
Population Change Ages 20-35for the Native
Born2000-2005
Source Pew Hispanic Center tabulations from the
Annual Social and Economic Supplement, Current
Population Survey, March 2005 and Census 2000
20
Hispanic Population by Generation
1st Foreign born
3 Native born of native born parents
2nd Native born of a foreign born parent
21
Second Generation Latinos are on the Rise
1st Gen. Dominant 2nd Gen. on the Rise
3rd Gen. Dominant
2nd Gen. Dominant
Source The Rise of the Second Generation, Suro
and Passel, Pew Hispanic Center, 2003
22
Educational Attainment by HispanicsAges 25 to 64
Source Current Population Survey
23
Primary Language by Latino Generations
Source Pew Hispanic Center /Kaiser Family
Foundation National Survey of Latinos, December
2002
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People vs. Voters (2004)

• Hispanics 14 of the population
• 6 of the voters
• 41,300,000 total Hispanics
• - 14,171,000 citizens under 18 yrs old
• - 11,041,000 non-citizen adults
• 16,088,000 eligible voters

25
Demography and Politics
26
Levels of Enfranchisement
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Hispanic Topics

• Language and the News Media
• Internet Use
• Language and Attitudes

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Hispanic Population by Generation
1st Foreign born
3 Native born of native born parents
2nd Native born of a foreign born parent
29
Primary Language by Generation
Source 2002 National Survey of Latinos
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Language Preferences in News Media
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Language Preferences By Generation
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Attitudes towards News Media

• Spanish Media
• Valued Ethnic Institution
• 78 very important to economic and political
  development of Hispanics
• Even Latinos who never see it esteem this role
  61 all English
• High ratings on coverage of Latinos

• English Media
• Concerns over stereotyping
• 44 contributes to a negative image
• Emphasis on undocumented and criminals
• Inadequate recognition of economic and political
  achievements
• Poor ratings on coverage of Latinos

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The Latino Market for News 3 Audiences

• ? All English 31 of Latino adults
• 78 native born, 22 foreign born
• 31 high school graduates, 17 college
  graduates
• 25 less than 30,000 a year, 44 more than
  50,000 a year
• ? All Spanish 24 of Latino adults
• 4 native born, 96 foreign born
• 21 high school graduates, 2 college graduates
• 65 less than 30,000 a year, 2 more than
  50,000 a year
• ? Both 44 of Latino adults
• 31 native born, 69 foreign born
• 35 high school graduates, 9 college graduates
• 46 less than 30,000 a year, 17 more than
  50,000 a year

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The Latino Market Audience Shares

• National Network Television
• Heavy usage by Spanish only
• Audience divided evenly in thirds
• Rated highly by Spanish audience for service to
  Latinos 47 vs. 21 by English audience
• Local Television
• English 40, Spanish 29, Both 17

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The Latino Market Audience Shares

• Newspapers English Dominance
• English 62, Spanish 21, Both 17
• A Los Angeles exception? Spanish 31
• English audience gives higher ratings for overall
  quality and coverage of Latino topics
• Radio
• Heavy Latino usage overall, by foreign born of
  Spanish broadcasts
• The Internet
• Used for news by 44 of native born vs. 20 of
  foreign born

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Latinos Lag Behind Whites in Internet Use
37
Internet Use is Highest Among the Young
38
For All Groups, Internet Use is Lower for the
Poorly-Educated
39
But the Prevalence of Dropouts is Highest Among
Latinos
40
For All Groups, Internet Use is Lower for Persons
with Low Income
41
But the Prevalence of Low-Income Persons is
Greater for Latinos
42
Foreign-Born Latinos Lag Behind the Native-Born
in Internet Use
NHW
43
Speaking English is Very Important for Internet
Use
NHW
44
Internet Use Varies by Country of Origin
NHW
45
Whites are More Likely to Own Cell Phones, but
Latinos are More Likely to Use Text Messaging
46
Better for children to live with parents until
marriage
47
In general its better for husbands to have the
final word
48
It does no good to plan for the future because
you cant control fate
49
In American workplacesYou should be willing to
work long hours, sacrificing your personal life
50
Self-Identification by Latinos
Source Hispanics A People in Motion 2005