New Sigma Scan

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New Sigma Scan
FAN Club 13 Nov 08 Dr Harry Woodroof Project
Leader Foresight Horizon Scanning
Centre Government Office for Science Department
of Innovation, Universities and Skills Bay 250,
Kingsgate House, 66 74 Victoria St, London.
SW1E 6SW 44 (0)203 300 8840
Harry.Woodroof_at_dius.gsi.gov.uk
lthttp//www.foresight.gov.uk/horizonscanning/gt
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Scans merged and updated Nov 08
Delta (ST) Scan
Sigma Scan STEEP www.sigmascan.org

• SCAN
• (everything)

Sigma Scan S(T)EEP
New refreshed papers Ipsos MORI (lead)
Imperial College, DEMOS
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Horizon Scanning Evidential Tools (published
Dec 06)
www.sigmascan.org
Sigma Scan synthesis of best global futures work

• SCAN
• (everything)

Institute for the Future
Outsights / Ipsos MORI
Delta Scan cutting-edge perspectives of over 250
ST experts
www.deltascan.org
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SIGMA scan of scans
Adam Smith Institute Arlington Institute Atlantic
Monthly Brookings Institution Cato Center for
Trade Policy Studies Centre for European
Reform Centre for Strategic and International
Studies Chatham House Foreign Affairs Hoover
Digest Independent Commission on Population and
Quality of Life Institut de Recherche en
Politiques Publiques Institute for Fiscal Studies
British Social Attitudes Survey Centre for
Environmental Research, Columbia
University e-Living (EC 5FP) Project ESRC Centre
for Business Research, Institute of Development
Studies Los Angeles Law Review Policy Studies
Review Russian Journal, The Science Science and
Public Policy World Values Survey
Europe 2020 Future of Work Futures Futurist Instit
ute for the Future McKinsey Global Institute MORI
Polls Shaping Tomorrow Shell Global
Scenarios Siemens Horizons SRI Consulting World
Future Society Think tanks Academic
publications Mainstream media
Central Intelligence Agency (US) Commonwealth
Secretariat Competition Commission DEFRA Baseline
Scan DEFRA Forward Look Department for Culture,
Media and Sport Department for International
Development Department for Work and
Pensions Department of Education (US) Department
of Health Department of Justice (US) Department
of Labor (US) Corporate Foresight Expert/Str
ategic thinkers Government sources Alternative
journals
Amnesty International Board of Deputies of
British Jews British Council Countryside
Alliance International Red Cross and Red Crescent
Movement Make Poverty History campaign Muslim
Council of Britain Oxfam Trade Union
Congress World Health Organization World Trade
Organization Institute for Public Policy
Research Charities/NGOs Blog sites Minority
communities Futurologists
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Sigma Scan
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• Delta (ST) Scan
• expert views

The Delta (ST) Scan is an overview of future
science and technology issues and trends, with
contributions by science and technology experts
from the worlds of government, business, academia
and communication.

• Interviews
• Workshops
• wiki

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• Sigma
• scan
• Right to live right to die?
• Global courting the supremacy of international
  law.
• Increase in e-commuting.
• UK rules OK isolationist Britain.
• End of public broadcasting.
• Ghettoisation of minority populations.
• Landfill capacity limits reached.
• Economic impact of ageing.
• The rights of robots.
• Corrupting aid flows
• .

• Delta
• (ST) scan
• Active biomaterials for regenerative medicine.
• Quantum chemistry for pollution abatement.
• Nanowire sensors for DNA testing.
• Advent of molecular archaeology.
• Computing on the human platform.
• Solar the energy wild-card.
• From ink-jet printing to personal fabrication.
• Brazils expanding tech. sector.
• .

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Client SU Method trend/driver analysis, 5th
scenario Impact informed interim and final
reports
Client SU/DCSF Method scenarios Impact
informed analytical report
Client HMT Method prioritisation across 14
depts Impact CSR07 Publication, SR Guidance,
informs public dialogue, MoD strategic trends,
HSE future of work, OSI CSR bid
Example Projects
UK FUTURES
Client perm secs group Method scenarios,
drivers Impact FCO/DfID/MoD cross-dept issues,
HMT, UKTI comparative advantage, OSI
international strategy, BERR strategy
Client DIUS Method scenarios Aim test
strategies of DIUS and OGDs
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• 2008 refresh

33 new papers 90 updated papers
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• 2008 refresh
• issue selection criteria

Gap is not already covered sufficiently in the
Sigma-Delta Scan Relevance the theme or trend
is potentially relevant to a wide range of UK
policy stakeholders and departments, or strongly
relevant to a smaller number of
departments/policymakers. Impact the theme or
trend could have significant impacts on important
aspects of UK Government policy. Evidence the
theme or trend is underpinned, at least to some
degree, by a critical mass of authoritative,
credible evidence. Stimulus the theme or topic
is future-focussed and not merely descriptive of
current reality or known variables and reporting.
It either describes something new or casts new
light on an existing issue.
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• 2008 refresh

Each source tagged by Evidence
Authority Methodology Impartiality Stimulus
Novelty Accessability Application
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