NASDCTE Fall Conference 2005 Harrisburg, Pennsylvania

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NASDCTE Fall Conference 2005Harrisburg,
Pennsylvania

• Other Ways to Win
• An Update

Ken Gray, PSU. Gty_at_psu.edu
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Background PDK Gallup Poll Results

• 59 knows little or nothing about NCLP
• Among the knowledgeable 57 have unfavorable
  views.
• 67 support high school testing in grades 9 10
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• Annual PDK Gallup Poll, Sept 2005

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Background PDK Gallup Poll Results

• 66 of adults with children in public school
  support a wide variety of course offerrings in
  the American high school.
• 80 believe that a fair assessment of schools
  requires tests in a variety of subjects.
• 62 of NCLB knowable believe it hurts special
  needs students.
• Annual PDK Gallup Poll, Sept 2005

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The One Way to Win Message Defined

• Get a four year college degree
• 98 agree, 72 plan on grad school
• In order to insure economic success
• Three of top 4 reasons for going to college
• In the professional ranks
• Professional/manageral 65 Technical 6

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The Other Way to Win Message

• The one way to win philosophy is nonsense. It
  insures the majority of teens will fail.
• There are Other Ways to Win. Technical
  education is a better ways for many from the
  academic middle.
• All students should go on to postsecondary
  education when and if they can benefit from the
  experience.
• Students who are at risk of dropping out or who
  will go to work after graduation are just as
  important as the baccalaureate bound.
• The traditional academic program alone is not
  likely to serve well students from the academic
  middle.
• The high school program needs both alternatives
  and more structure.

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The One Way to Win Myth

• The fate of 24 children in a typical elementary
  school class in the U.S.
• 7 drop out
• 5 go to work (22 get training)
• 6 do not graduate from College
• 3 Do not find college jobs
• 3 win the One Way to Win game

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9th to Graduation Dropout RatesUS Pennsylvania

• 9 to 10 dropout rates
• US 11 PA 7
• 9th-graduation dropout rates in 1990
• US29 PA21
• 9th-graduation dropout rates in 2000
• US 33 PA25
• Education Pipeline in the U.S 1970-2000.
  National Board Publications.

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CTE and AT-Risk Youth

• A combination of 60 academic courses and 40
  CTE is the most effective drop-out prevention
  program in the American high school.
• CTE concentrators are more likely to
• Graduate from high school.
• Be employed.
• Be employed in the trades.
• Be in college.

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Employment of University Graduates2000-2012

• Supply Demand
  Employed
• University Grads 1,324,000 730,400 55

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Percent of Occupations Requiring Different
Levels of Education
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Financial Aide
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Roots of the One Way to Win Myth

• Class in America. (David Brooks, Boboss in
  Paradise)
• Economic Uncertainty/ Globalization
• (no one knows what to do)
• Math Scam
• Increase college graduates

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Fundamental Fears Misconceptions

• A college degree is today what a high school
  diploma was before.
• There will be so many with a university degree
  that they will take all the good jobs.

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Fundamental Fears Misconceptions

• College grads earn more than others thus is most
  be because they have a college degree.
• Education explain less than 10 of earnings
• Decline of blue collar wages (ROI)??.
• Extreme wealth at the top.
• 83 of associate degree holders have same annual
  earnings a 4-yr grad.
• (Ulreich,NYT, 1/17/05)

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Finding Other Ways to Win.

• The High Skills/High Wage Strategy
• 1. Understand three labor market realities.
• 2. Investigate technician level occupations
  within key economic sectors

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1. The High Skills/High Wage Workplace
Semi-conductor Manufacturing
Ratio 1 to 2 to 7
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2. Labor Market Projections Can be Misleading

• Opportunity is greatest in occupations that
  demand exceed supply.
• Fast or slow growing growing occupations may or
  may not mean opportunity.

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Shortages of Technicians

• There will be 100,000 more jobs for computer
  technicians than computer engineers.
• Almost half of IT, craft, and precision
  manufacturing jobs were filled by non-native born
  workers in the 1990s.
• While construction trades employment is predicted
  to grow only by 13 retirement of older workers
  results in a net demand of over two million jobs
  from 2000 to 2010

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3. Occupational Skill not Degrees Provide Labor
Market Advantage
High Skill/ High Wage

Occupational Skills
Academic Skills
Work Ethic Work Ethics
Low Skill/ Low Wage
Other Ways to Win
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Creating Other Ways to Win1. Career Guidance

• By the tenth grade all students will have
  participated in activities designed to help them
  identify several career options.
• In the eleventh and twelfth grades all students
  will participate in activities that allow them to
  verify these choices, using the results to
  develop postsecondary plans.

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Career Verification Activities Preferred by Teens
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2. Creating Other Ways to Win

• Require All Student to Complete a High School
  Program of Study.
• Shopping mall high school curriculum
• CTE/Career Clusters/Tech Prep
• Dual enrollment/middle college

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3. Creating Other Ways to Win

• Challenge the Taylorist High School Mind Set.

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• In High School
• NCLB Requires Alternatives

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• CTE
• Is to Some Teens
• What
• AP Honors
• Is To others.