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Angelica Govea

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BP 230.4. Total SA 140.4. Royal Dutch Petroleum 127.2. PetroChina 126.1 ... This continuous fluctuation in stock price displays no form of market efficiency. ... – PowerPoint PPT presentation

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Title: Angelica Govea


1
  • By
  • Angelica Govea
  • Ismar Salihbasic
  • Leticia Alvarado
  • Jose Barron
  • Daniel Feazle

2
What is Chevron About?
3
What is Chevron?
  • The fifth-largest energy company in the world
  • Headquartered in San Ramon, California
  • Involved in every aspect of the oil and gas
    industry, including
  • exploration and production
  • refining
  • marketing
  • transportation
  • sales

4
Chevrons Mission
  • To be the global energy company most admired for
    its people, partnership and performance. Beyond
    meeting the world's energy needs, Chevrons goal
    is to be recognized and admired everywhere for
    having a record of environmental excellence.

5
The Pioneers Of Chevron
  • Charles N. Felton George Loomis
    LloydTevis
  • On September 10,1879, in San Francisco, Felton,
    Tevis and Loomis formed the Pacific Coast Oil
    Co., the predecessor to ChevronTexaco with 1
    million in capitalwhich developed into the West
    Coast's leading integrated oil company.

6
Background
  • In 1906, a consolidation between Pacific Coast
    Oil and Iowa Standard created a new entity,
    Standard Oil Company
  • Standard Oil Co. of California created a historic
    partnership with Texaco in 1936, known as Caltex
  • On Oct.9, 2001, the shareholders of Chevron and
    Texaco voted to approve the merger, and
    ChevronTexaco Corporation began doing business
    the next day.

7
Chevron marked its 125th anniversary in 2004.
Founded in 1879 as the Pacific Coast Oil Co.
8
Chevron has operations in approximately 180
countries worldwide
9
Facts and Operations
  • Chevron and its people take great pride in a
    commitment to community partnerships, social
    responsibility and environmental excellence.
  • Diverse and highly skilled global work force of
    more than 47,000 employees
  • Global refining capacity of more than 2 million
    barrels of oil per day

10
Board of Directors
David J. O'Reilly Chairman of the Board and CEO
Peter J. Robertson Vice Chairman of the Chevron
Board.
Samuel H. Armacost Chairman of SRI
International.
11
Products
Motor Oils
Fuel Cleaning Systems
Fuel Additives
Aviation Fuels
12
Major Competitors
Largest non-government gas marketer and reserves
holder
Second largest energy company
Leading multinational energy company
13
Chevron Texaco Corp Sales of Oil and Gas
Sales of Chevron Texaco Corp States Sales
Figures California 2,902,000 Gulf of
Mexico 3,683,000 Other Countries 43,387,000
Chevrons ongoing commitment to provide products
not only in their home country, but also for the
global community.
14
Market Cap.
Top 10 Companies in billions Exxon
Mobil 387.3 BP 230.4 Total SA
140.4 Royal Dutch Petroleum
127.2 PetroChina 126.1 Chevron
124.5 Eni SpA 103.8 Shell Transport
Trading 89.4 ConocoPhillips 83.7 Repsol
YPF SA 31.5 www.marketguide.com
15
Financial RatiosGrowth Rates
Rating Poor
16
Financial RatiosPrice Ratios
Rating Very Poor
17
Financial RatiosProfit Margins
Rating Very Good
18
Financial RatiosFinancial Condition
Rating Good
19
Financial RatiosInvestment Returns
Rating Very Good
20
Financial RatiosManagement Efficiency
Rating Very Good
21
Holding Period Return
Current Price is 56.84
22
Free Cash Flow and Cost of Equity
23
Cost of Equity
24
(No Transcript)
25
Cost of Capital
26
Capital Structure
2005 Industrys Current Debt Ratio
Debt 13
Equity 87
27
MM Proposition Chart
With WACC decreasing steadily from 2002-2004,
this would indicate strength in Chevron. Chevron
does not fall under any of the models in the MM
propositions.
28
Company Specific News Chevron and Unocal Reach
Agreement with Federal Trade Commission Staff
  • One day before the announcement Chevrons stock
    price was 58.78
  • The day of the announcement the stock price fell
    to 56.47, then decreased the following day to
    55.21
  • The stock price then increased steadily over the
    next few days before falling to below 52 within
    2 weeks.
  • This announcement by Chevron proved to be bad
    news to investors.
  • This continuous fluctuation in stock price
    displays no form of market efficiency.

29
Non-Company Specific News
  • Investors received good news upon the
    announcement that Tropical Storm Arlene had
    dissipated and Chevrons biggest platform in the
    gulf would return to full capacity.
  • Stock prices of the major oil producers
    experienced increases.
  • The stock price climbed 3.33 from 56.01 on June
    13 to 59.34 over the following week.
  • The above graph indicates no form market
    efficiency.

30
Chevrons Strengths
  • Financial Ratios
  • Financial Condition
  • Current Ratio 1.6 1.1 1.5
  • Interest Coverage 51.6 24.7 3.4
  • High Returns on Investments
  • Return On Equity 28.9 24.4 14.7
  • Return On Assets 14.0 11.1 2.5
  • Return On Capital 23.6 21.2 7.0
  • Free Cash Flow
  • Net Income 13,328 7,230 1,132
  • FCFE 5,147 5,126 1,501 439
  • The company is currently underpriced because Ke(
    DCF model) gt Ke(CAPM)
  • 0.0474gt 0.0237
  • Beta Low Beta (Low Risk)
  • Investors always want a low risk stock with high
    returns.

31
Chevrons Weaknesses
  • Poor Debt/Equity Ratio
  • The current Debt/Equity ratio of Chevron is 22
    which is more than competitors in the industry of
    15. Chevron is using more debt to finance its
    operations however the debt ratio has been
    decreasing since 2002. Despite interest coverage
    being very high compared to the industry
    standard, Chevron still needs to improve its
    Debt/Equity ratio, and they are on the right
    track.
  • Poor Growth Rates
  • Sales (Qtr vs year ago qtr) 23.10 31.00 11.50
  • EPS (Qtr vs year ago qtr) 4.50 60.80 11.90
  • EPS (5-Year Annual Avg.) 17.00 17.67 4.71

32
Analysts Opinion
Zacks average brokerage recommendation Hold.
33
5-Year Stock Price
Since 2002 the price has been increasing.
34
Our Recommendations
  • We suggest Hold or Buy
  • Based on the following
  • Positive HPR
  • Increasing Cash Flows and Net Income
  • Low Beta
  • High Returns on Equity, Assets and Capital-
  • Stock is underpriced
  • Ke( DCF model) gt Ke(CAPM)
  • 0.0474gt 0.0237
  • Analysts Opinion

35
The End
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