Title: QUANTITATIVE METHODS FOR PROBLEMS IN
1QUANTITATIVE METHODS FOR PROBLEMS IN ENGINEERING
SCIENCE
FRANCESCO FEDELE Goddard Earth Sciences and
Technology center Global Modeling Assimilation
Office NASA Goddard Space Flight Center ,
Maryland, USA
2Unifying theme advanced quantitative methods as
Adjoint methods, numerical methods and advanced
stochastic nonlinear theory
3EXTREME WAVES IN NONLINEAR RANDOM SEAS
4A natural beauty.
5 Which can be anomalous! .. so-called FREAK
WAVES
6DRAUPNER EVENT JANUARY 1995
Hmax25.6 m ! 1 in 200,000 waves
7LINEAR WAVES GAUSSIAN SEAS
8TYPICAL WAVE SPECTRA OF THE MEDITERRANEAN SEA
Time covariance
Spectrum
from Boccotti P. Wave Mechanics 2000 Elsevier
9OCCURRENCE OF A HIGH WAVE IN GAUSSIAN SEAS
Theory of quasi-determinism, Boccotti P. Wave
Mechanics 2000 Elsevier
10SINGLE WAVE GROUP EVOLUTION
What happens in the neighborhood of a point x0
if a large crest followed by large trough are
recorded in time at x0 ?
Boccotti P. Wave Mechanics 2000 Elsevier
11SUCCESSIVE WAVE CRESTS IN TIME
(h02h12)1/2
12STOCHASTIC WAVE GROUP
What happens in the neighborhood of a point x0
if two large successive wave crests are
recorded in time at x0 ?
amplitude of the wave group is a random variable
13NONLINEAR RANDOM SEAS
Third order effects FOUR-WAVE RESONANCE
Second order effects BOUND WAVES
Crest-trough symmetry kurtosisgt3 Modulation
instability Effects on slow time scale gtgt wave
period DOMINANT ONLY IN UNIDIRECTIONAL
NARROW-BAND SEAS !
Cresttrough asymmetry skewnessgt0 Tayfun
distribution Effects on Short time scale wave
period
14NONLINEAR EVOLUTION OF A STOCHASTIC WAVE GROUP
t0
t-t0
(linear wave group)
h
hNLgth
x
wave action and wave momentum Always conserved
identities
x0
Hamiltonian invariant
Symmetric third order effects
HmaxhNLa (hNL)2f(h) a f(h)2
Asymmetric second order effects
h Rayleigh distributed
15THE PROBABILITY OF EXCEEDING A FIXED WAVE
AMPLITUDE
Wave tank experiments unidirectional
narrow-band seas ( Onorato et all. 2005) THIRD
ORDER MODULATION SECOND ORDER EFFECTS
P
P
H
h
Wave crest
Wave height
16OPTIMAL PERTURBATIONS IN QUASI-GEOSTROPHIC
ATMOSPHERE
SELF-SUSTAINING PROCESSESNONLINEAR TRAVELLING
WAVES
NON-MODAL ENERGY GROWTH MECHANISMS
OPTIMAL PERTURBATIONS
FEM AND BEM SOLUTION
Unifying theme adjoint methods
COMMON QUANTITATIVE METHOD USED ADJOINT
TECHNIQUES !
17OPTIMAL PERTURBATIONS IN PULSATILE PIPE FLOWS
t0
t1
t2
t3
18OPTIMAL PERTURBATIONS IN QUASI-GEOSTROPHIC
ATMOSPHERE
data measurements attained at time T
t
True trajectory Of State of atmosphere Wind,
humidity, Temperature
Kalman filtering
Unknown state at T
Known State at T0
19a)
b)
OPTICAL TOMOGRAPHY
FEM solution 7,000 FEM nodes reconstruction
time 10 minutes
BEM solution For photon light intensity
FEM mesh 6956 nodes
BEM mesh 708 nodes
d)
20(No Transcript)
21Questions ?
22RESEARCH PLANS
- Extreme wave statistics ( Shell , ONR YIP )
- Coastal processes (Skidaway Inst. of
Oceanography) - Turbulence
- Weak wave turbulence
- self sustaining processes
- in quasi-geostrophic atmosphere ( NASA )
- Atmospheric Data assimilation
- Reduced models and ensemble techniques ( NASA ,
NSF YIP ) - Optimal tomography
- Boundary element method ( NIH YIP )