Maurits Butter TNO

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European Co-operationin Foresight
Maurits Butter (TNO)
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Overview presentation

• Introduction to EFMN
• Foresight briefs and culture
• Cultural effects on doing a foresight
• Some conclusions

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Aim and objectives
Main aim
Systematically monitor foresight activities and
identify future emergingissues and innovations
as input for innovation policy and strategy
Objectives

• Foresight monitoring network
• Foresight briefs
• Foresight mapping

• Identify key emerging issues
• Annual workshops
• Information management infrastructure

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Approach
Mapping
Issueanalysis
Informationcollection
Informationtransfer
Briefsproduction
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Organization
Correspondents
Collection information and writing of briefs
Partners
Information gathering attacting new
correspondents
Core partners
management TNO
Atlantis
mapping Prest
briefs ARC-sys
MCST
Louis Lengrand Associates

Fraunhofer ISI
issue analysis VDI
informationCKA
TCP
Dialogik
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Results

• Over 150 correspondents
• Over 2000 foresight initiatives identified
• 160 briefs produced
• Four annual issue analysis workshops
• Well used website

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Foresight and culture
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Potential issues

• Poverty and hunger
• Migration
• Ethics around technologies
• Violation of human rights
• Social equality
• Clash of cultures
• Conservation of cultural heritage
• Social cohesion
• Nationalism
• Plurality of values in society

• Availability of informal care
• Rethinking privacy
• Euthanasia and palliative care
• Care for the elderly
• Arts, design, fashion
• Pressures on the educational system
• Child labor
• Emancipation of women
• (Anti) globalization

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Important issues of 160 foresights
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Cultural foresights

• Very limited, only a few briefs specially on
  cultural issues
• US families 2025
• Globalization in the 21st century
• 2020 Living in a networked world
• Agence future
• The future of design

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Touching cultural aspects

• More initiatives touching cultural aspects
• Austria's future
• Youth Foresight Germany 2020
• Achieving an ethical future for biomedical RD
• City 2030 Shaping the City of the Future
• Migration as a priority challenge
• Often connected to innovation topics, being a
  specific perspective

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Conclusion

• Limited coverage of the issue on culture in the
  briefs
• Mostly covered as an input perspective to the
  future
• But culture is essential to many socio-economic
  challenges

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Regions and foresight approaches

• Six regions
• Europe
• Latin America
• North America
• Asia
• Oceania
• International

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Outputs by region
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Conclusion on analysis

• Cultural differences lead to different foresight
  approaches
• Some approaches/methods are highly regional
• Some outputs are highly regional
• Cultural aspects have strong impact on doing
  foresight, but little is know about this

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Some overall conclusions

• It is undervalued, as it is a major driver
• There are few foresights Opportunity for the
  community
• Translation from culture to changes/actions is
  crucial to cultural foresights
• Further research is needed to link foresight to
  the cultural aspects of its environment