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Acquisition and Sale of Oil

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Custom Negotiated Transactions, Mid-Value Negotiated Sales, Live ... Mark Roach. Vice President. Technical Resources. Ken Olive. President & CEO (1) Houston ... – PowerPoint PPT presentation

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Title: Acquisition and Sale of Oil


1
Acquisition and Sale ofOil Gas
PropertiesHAPL Technical Workshop
  • April 24, 2008Houston, Texas

2
Topics
  • The Clearinghouse
  • U.S. MAD Overview
  • Sell Side Discussion
  • Buyer Process Guidelines

3
Company Services
A D Marketing Services
Hybrid Live/Internet Auction Exclusively Online
Auctions Mid-Value Negotiated Transactions Negotia
ted Transactions
Software, Data Services
Excalibur Enterprise Upstream Tobin Qbyte Entillig
ent Petroleum Financial, Inc.
4
The Perfect Venue for Every Property
Since 1993
Since 1999
5
The Clearinghouse - Unique to the Industry
  • Only marketing firm which offers multiple AD
    service lines
  • Custom Negotiated Transactions, Mid-Value
    Negotiated Sales, Live and Internet Auctions
  • 65 full-time staff in every discipline related to
    property sales and support
  • Unmatched engineering/geological/land support
    staff
  • Commitment to technical excellence and the
    credible, ethical presentation of reserve
    potential
  • 12 evaluation engineers, 4 geologists, 6 techs
    all employees or full-time contract
  • Eight full-time land professionals and techs
  • Regional Marketing Team
  • Business development representatives in Houston,
    Calgary, Dallas, Denver Oklahoma City
  • 10 full-time employees devoted exclusively to
    business development and marketing
  • Extensive Personal Contacts
  • Companys senior executives and marketing
    personnel have more contacts at more levels than
    any other AD service provider in the industry
  • Most significant property purchasers have bought
    and/or sold through The Clearinghouse
  • First only company to provide hybrid auctions
  • Simultaneous floor Internet bidding

6
TOTAL SALES US AUCTION TRANSACTIONS
Fiscal Year Ending September 30
GROSS SALES M
1 lot 1,
7
Average Hybrid Auction - US
Fiscal Year Ending September 30
SALE SIZE (M)
1 lot 1,
8
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9
  • U.S. MAD Overview

10
U.S. Upstream Activity
First Half
Source JS Herold
11
Historical Transaction Values(Asset Deals Only)
12
Product Prices vs. Acquisition Metrics(MCFE _at_
61)
Through July Asset Deals Only
13
Valuation Methods
  • Discounted Cash Flow - Risked
  • Risked present value of reserves to be produced
  • Generally, DCF is the most utilized and most
    accurate method of valuation
  • /BOE or /MCFE Reserves in the Ground
  • /BOEPD or /MCFED Price per Net Daily Barrel
  • Cash Flow Multiples
  • P/I Profit to Investment Ratio

14
Valuation Metrics Present Value
  • Discounted Cash Flow ()
  • Value today (present value) of future cash flow
    assuming a specified return on investment
  • Subjective calculation Based on estimate of
  • future recoverable reserves, flow rates and
    future prices
  • Proved undeveloped (PUD), probables and possible
    future reserves are risk adjusted
  • Return hurdles are often different for different
    reserve categories
  • Generally before Federal Income Taxes (BFIT)

15
Valuation Metrics Reserves in the Ground
  • Per Net BOE or MCFE (61)
  • Price paid per net barrel of oil equivalent for
    reserves in the ground
  • Subjective calculation Based on estimate of
    future recoverable reserves
  • Net after royalty deduction
  • Gas converted to oil equivalent on 61 ratio
  • Important to distinguish between PDP v. Total
    Proved calculations
  • Old rule of thumb 4-5 per BOE

16
Valuation Metrics Net Producing Unit
  • Per Net BOEPD or MCFED (101)
  • Price paid per net daily producing barrel
  • Pure calculation
  • Gross daily production x NRI divided by price
    paid
  • Gas/oil converted on either 101 or 61 ratio
  • Old rule of thumb 10,000 / net daily barrel
    (WI)
  • 30,000 / net daily barrel (RI)
  • Today 45,000 / net daily barrel (WI)
  • 90,000 / net daily barrel (RI)

17
Example BOEPD calculation
  • Assume a property in Permian Basin is sold for 4
    Million and is producing
  • 100 barrels of oil per day
  • 100 MCF per day (a.k.a. 100,000 cubic feet of
    gas)
  • (1 M 000)
  • Step 1 Convert gas to equivalent barrels of
    oil at 61 ratio
  • Divide 100 by 6 16.66 boe
  • .16 bo per 1,000 (M) of gas
  • Step 2 Add converted gas to oil production
  • 16.66 boe 100 bo 116.66 boe gross daily
    production
  • Step 3 Multiply gross daily boe by NRI to
    calculate Net boepd
  • 116.66 boe x 75 NRI 87.5 Net boepd
  • Step 4 Divide sales price by Net boepd
  • 4,000,000 Sale Price / 87.5 net boepd 45,714
    per net boepd

18
Valuation Metrics Cash Flow
  • Multiples of Cash Flow (months)
  • Price paid divided by current cash flow
  • Pure calculation Price divided by monthly cash
    flow amount
  • Define cash flow
  • Trailing average of last 6 months?
  • Most recent month?
  • Forecasted cash flow?
  • Not the same as Payout - Does not account for
    production decline
  • Old rule of thumb in Gulf Coast was 36 months for
    WI and 48 months for royalties/ORRI
  • CF metrics have not changed much, but vary widely
    by region

19
Industry Benchmarks

20
Industry Benchmarks - Property Types

WI
21
Valuing Upside - Types Associated Risking
22
Other Risk Factors for Consideration
  • Operations Control
  • PDP/Upside Ratio (Glass Ceiling 11)
  • Validity and Accessibility of Upside
  • Estimated Reserve Life
  • Location
  • Technical/Mechanical Risks
  • Liability Land, Environmental, Corporate

23
Examples Variance in Pricing by Basin
NPV (BFIT) ()
CF MULT (MOS)
PDP /BOE (61)
/BOEPD (61)
24
(No Transcript)
25
  • Sell Side Discussion

26
Keys to Successful Marketing
  • Use Appropriate Marketing Process for Each Asset
  • Full Exposure to the Market Place
  • Fair Offering Terms
  • Quality Evaluation Data Industry Standard for
    Comfort, Consistency
  • Competitive Bidding Process
  • Five Cs Clear, Complete, Credible, Compelling,
    Competitive

27
Case Study Clearinghouse ClientComprehensive
Marketing Approach
Utilizing the appropriate marketing technique for
each asset classificationmaximizes value
minimizes discounting of the lower 20 of a
portfolio
Seller
The Clearinghouse
79 MM
Negotiated Packages
  • Portfolio Analysis
  • Marketing
  • Recommendations
  • Packaging of Properties
  • Presentation to Market
  • Normalize negotiate offers
  • Established divestiture criteria
  • Identified divestiture properties

25 MM
Mid-ValueNegotiated Packages
Hybrid Live/Internet Auction
23 MM
Marketing
Pre-offering Estimated Value 105 MM
127 MM Actually Realized
E-Mail Notifications, Memoranda, Technical
Brochures, Live/Electronic Data Rooms,
Live/Internet Auctions
28
Divestment Process Considerations
Client Objectives
Property Characteristics
Market Conditions
Value Work Commitment Timing Consideration Terms
Operated/Non-operated Producing/Non-producing
Ratio Geographic Location Concentration Transactio
n Value
Capital Markets Product Pricing Competing
Opportunities Consolidation/Expansion Market
Perception
Evaluation Marketing Process
Mid-Value Negotiated
Hybrid Auction or Exclusively Online Absolute
or Minimum Bid
Negotiated Sale Packages
Clients Desired Results
29
Divestment AlternativesUS Canada
  • Negotiated Transactions
  • Geographically consolidated packages
  • PDP /or with substantial reserve upside
  • gt 20 MM property packages or companies
  • Technically or operationally complex
  • Mid-Value Negotiated Transactions
  • 5-25 MM with material reserve upside
  • Operated non-operated working interests
  • Auctions
  • Geographically diverse
  • Operated non-operated working interests
  • Premiums for royalties minerals
  • Individual property values 0-20 MM
  • Primarily PDP reserve (70)

30
Marketing Process Options
Complex
Negotiated
Technical Commercial Difficulty of Transaction
MVN
Auction
Simple
AUCTION
500 MM
0
Transaction Value
31
  • Buyer Process Guidelines

32
Purchasing Producing Assets
  • Specify Corporate Objectives Priorities
  • Identify Assets that Fit
  • Evaluate Reserves Other Value Keys
  • Determine a Purchase Price that Meets Specified
    Objectives
  • Determine Optimum Process (Time, Person, Level)
    for Approaching Seller
  • Make Clear, Compelling Offer
  • If Successful, Conduct Due Diligence to Confirm
    Assumptions Lead to Closing

33
AD Industry Overview
  • Activity Levels Have Been Strong but Not
    Exceptional
  • All-time high in 2007 for asset sale activity and
    acquisition prices
  • Acquisition prices actually fell somewhat
    mostly from first ½ of year
  • AD environment is relatively active
    Obama/Clinton Factor
  • Some of the most active historical buyers are now
    digesting
  • Asset Type is Driving Factor
  • Strong preference for resource plays Shales,
    Cotton Valley, Permian Basin
  • High rate/short lived reserves are out of favor
    Gulf Coast
  • MLPs Are (Were?) in the Forefront
  • Strong buyers of long-lived, well-developed
    reserves
  • Existing MLPs facing challenges with
    distributions, maintaining acquisitions pace
  • New MLP formation has basically died
  • Stock prices have fallen 20-40 in last six
    months equity leverage is gone
  • Abundance of Capital
  • Most EP companies have been unable to spend cash
    reserves fast enough
  • Private equity available (25 B?) in record
    amounts but not enough takers

34
AD Industry Overview
  • Product Prices
  • Oil is at unbelievable 120 per barrell gas
    prices nearing 12 / Mcf
  • NYMEX futures continue to be strong
  • Companies have adjusted to current price
    environment
  • Price comfort Tax Uncertainty AD activity
  • Outside Factors
  • Overall economy is slowing Inflation driven by
    energy cost
  • Geopolitical factors will continue to influence
    market
  • Canadian companies looking for US opportunities
    developing entry strategies
  • Weather This winter was 18 colder than normal
  • Election Concerns over treatment of industry in
    future
  • Prognosis
  • Little change in AD appetites and preferences
    (pending election)
  • Prices have been resistant to outside factors
    for how long?
  • Strong likelihood of increased corporate
    acquisitions by hungry buyers
  • No change in sight for preference for resource
    plays

35
Contact Information
Canada Calgary, Alberta Dave Horn -
President 2100, 639-5th Ave. SW Calgary, Alberta,
Canada T2P 0M9 Phone 403.775.1800 Fax
403.775-1801
United StatesHouston, TX Kenneth R. Olive, Jr. -
President CEO Geoff Roberts Sr. VP
Negotiated Transactions Ron Barnes - Sr. VP,
Business Development Kevin Townsend Client
Relations Manager P.O. Box 671787, Houston, TX
77267-1787 390 Benmar, Suite 100, Houston, Texas
77060 Phone 281.873.4600 Fax
281.873.0055 Dallas Jim Henry Client Relations
Manager Ph 214.696.6470 Cell 214
.455.1573 jhenry_at_ogclearinghouse.com Denver John
Klee Client Relations Manager Ph
303.744.8220 Cell 303.263.1946 jklee_at_ogclearingh
ouse.com Oklahoma City, Oklahoma Bob Dawson
Client Relations Manager Ph 405.728.2398 Cell
405.650.1266 bdawson_at_ogclearinghouse.com
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