Title: Acquisition and Sale of Oil
1Acquisition and Sale ofOil Gas
PropertiesHAPL Technical Workshop
- April 24, 2008Houston, Texas
2Topics
- The Clearinghouse
- U.S. MAD Overview
- Sell Side Discussion
- Buyer Process Guidelines
3Company Services
A D Marketing Services
Hybrid Live/Internet Auction Exclusively Online
Auctions Mid-Value Negotiated Transactions Negotia
ted Transactions
Software, Data Services
Excalibur Enterprise Upstream Tobin Qbyte Entillig
ent Petroleum Financial, Inc.
4The Perfect Venue for Every Property
Since 1993
Since 1999
5The Clearinghouse - Unique to the Industry
- Only marketing firm which offers multiple AD
service lines - Custom Negotiated Transactions, Mid-Value
Negotiated Sales, Live and Internet Auctions - 65 full-time staff in every discipline related to
property sales and support - Unmatched engineering/geological/land support
staff - Commitment to technical excellence and the
credible, ethical presentation of reserve
potential - 12 evaluation engineers, 4 geologists, 6 techs
all employees or full-time contract - Eight full-time land professionals and techs
- Regional Marketing Team
- Business development representatives in Houston,
Calgary, Dallas, Denver Oklahoma City - 10 full-time employees devoted exclusively to
business development and marketing - Extensive Personal Contacts
- Companys senior executives and marketing
personnel have more contacts at more levels than
any other AD service provider in the industry - Most significant property purchasers have bought
and/or sold through The Clearinghouse - First only company to provide hybrid auctions
- Simultaneous floor Internet bidding
6TOTAL SALES US AUCTION TRANSACTIONS
Fiscal Year Ending September 30
GROSS SALES M
1 lot 1,
7Average Hybrid Auction - US
Fiscal Year Ending September 30
SALE SIZE (M)
1 lot 1,
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9 10U.S. Upstream Activity
First Half
Source JS Herold
11Historical Transaction Values(Asset Deals Only)
12Product Prices vs. Acquisition Metrics(MCFE _at_
61)
Through July Asset Deals Only
13Valuation Methods
- Discounted Cash Flow - Risked
- Risked present value of reserves to be produced
- Generally, DCF is the most utilized and most
accurate method of valuation - /BOE or /MCFE Reserves in the Ground
- /BOEPD or /MCFED Price per Net Daily Barrel
- Cash Flow Multiples
- P/I Profit to Investment Ratio
14Valuation Metrics Present Value
- Discounted Cash Flow ()
- Value today (present value) of future cash flow
assuming a specified return on investment - Subjective calculation Based on estimate of
- future recoverable reserves, flow rates and
future prices - Proved undeveloped (PUD), probables and possible
future reserves are risk adjusted - Return hurdles are often different for different
reserve categories - Generally before Federal Income Taxes (BFIT)
15Valuation Metrics Reserves in the Ground
- Per Net BOE or MCFE (61)
- Price paid per net barrel of oil equivalent for
reserves in the ground - Subjective calculation Based on estimate of
future recoverable reserves - Net after royalty deduction
- Gas converted to oil equivalent on 61 ratio
- Important to distinguish between PDP v. Total
Proved calculations - Old rule of thumb 4-5 per BOE
16Valuation Metrics Net Producing Unit
- Per Net BOEPD or MCFED (101)
- Price paid per net daily producing barrel
- Pure calculation
- Gross daily production x NRI divided by price
paid - Gas/oil converted on either 101 or 61 ratio
- Old rule of thumb 10,000 / net daily barrel
(WI) - 30,000 / net daily barrel (RI)
- Today 45,000 / net daily barrel (WI)
- 90,000 / net daily barrel (RI)
17Example BOEPD calculation
- Assume a property in Permian Basin is sold for 4
Million and is producing - 100 barrels of oil per day
- 100 MCF per day (a.k.a. 100,000 cubic feet of
gas) - (1 M 000)
- Step 1 Convert gas to equivalent barrels of
oil at 61 ratio - Divide 100 by 6 16.66 boe
- .16 bo per 1,000 (M) of gas
- Step 2 Add converted gas to oil production
- 16.66 boe 100 bo 116.66 boe gross daily
production - Step 3 Multiply gross daily boe by NRI to
calculate Net boepd - 116.66 boe x 75 NRI 87.5 Net boepd
- Step 4 Divide sales price by Net boepd
- 4,000,000 Sale Price / 87.5 net boepd 45,714
per net boepd
18Valuation Metrics Cash Flow
- Multiples of Cash Flow (months)
- Price paid divided by current cash flow
- Pure calculation Price divided by monthly cash
flow amount - Define cash flow
- Trailing average of last 6 months?
- Most recent month?
- Forecasted cash flow?
- Not the same as Payout - Does not account for
production decline - Old rule of thumb in Gulf Coast was 36 months for
WI and 48 months for royalties/ORRI - CF metrics have not changed much, but vary widely
by region
19Industry Benchmarks
20Industry Benchmarks - Property Types
WI
21Valuing Upside - Types Associated Risking
22Other Risk Factors for Consideration
- Operations Control
- PDP/Upside Ratio (Glass Ceiling 11)
- Validity and Accessibility of Upside
- Estimated Reserve Life
- Location
- Technical/Mechanical Risks
- Liability Land, Environmental, Corporate
23Examples Variance in Pricing by Basin
NPV (BFIT) ()
CF MULT (MOS)
PDP /BOE (61)
/BOEPD (61)
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25 26Keys to Successful Marketing
- Use Appropriate Marketing Process for Each Asset
- Full Exposure to the Market Place
- Fair Offering Terms
- Quality Evaluation Data Industry Standard for
Comfort, Consistency - Competitive Bidding Process
- Five Cs Clear, Complete, Credible, Compelling,
Competitive
27Case Study Clearinghouse ClientComprehensive
Marketing Approach
Utilizing the appropriate marketing technique for
each asset classificationmaximizes value
minimizes discounting of the lower 20 of a
portfolio
Seller
The Clearinghouse
79 MM
Negotiated Packages
- Portfolio Analysis
- Marketing
- Recommendations
- Packaging of Properties
- Presentation to Market
- Normalize negotiate offers
- Established divestiture criteria
- Identified divestiture properties
25 MM
Mid-ValueNegotiated Packages
Hybrid Live/Internet Auction
23 MM
Marketing
Pre-offering Estimated Value 105 MM
127 MM Actually Realized
E-Mail Notifications, Memoranda, Technical
Brochures, Live/Electronic Data Rooms,
Live/Internet Auctions
28Divestment Process Considerations
Client Objectives
Property Characteristics
Market Conditions
Value Work Commitment Timing Consideration Terms
Operated/Non-operated Producing/Non-producing
Ratio Geographic Location Concentration Transactio
n Value
Capital Markets Product Pricing Competing
Opportunities Consolidation/Expansion Market
Perception
Evaluation Marketing Process
Mid-Value Negotiated
Hybrid Auction or Exclusively Online Absolute
or Minimum Bid
Negotiated Sale Packages
Clients Desired Results
29Divestment AlternativesUS Canada
- Negotiated Transactions
- Geographically consolidated packages
- PDP /or with substantial reserve upside
- gt 20 MM property packages or companies
- Technically or operationally complex
- Mid-Value Negotiated Transactions
- 5-25 MM with material reserve upside
- Operated non-operated working interests
- Auctions
- Geographically diverse
- Operated non-operated working interests
- Premiums for royalties minerals
- Individual property values 0-20 MM
- Primarily PDP reserve (70)
30Marketing Process Options
Complex
Negotiated
Technical Commercial Difficulty of Transaction
MVN
Auction
Simple
AUCTION
500 MM
0
Transaction Value
31 32Purchasing Producing Assets
- Specify Corporate Objectives Priorities
- Identify Assets that Fit
- Evaluate Reserves Other Value Keys
- Determine a Purchase Price that Meets Specified
Objectives - Determine Optimum Process (Time, Person, Level)
for Approaching Seller - Make Clear, Compelling Offer
- If Successful, Conduct Due Diligence to Confirm
Assumptions Lead to Closing
33AD Industry Overview
- Activity Levels Have Been Strong but Not
Exceptional - All-time high in 2007 for asset sale activity and
acquisition prices - Acquisition prices actually fell somewhat
mostly from first ½ of year - AD environment is relatively active
Obama/Clinton Factor - Some of the most active historical buyers are now
digesting - Asset Type is Driving Factor
- Strong preference for resource plays Shales,
Cotton Valley, Permian Basin - High rate/short lived reserves are out of favor
Gulf Coast - MLPs Are (Were?) in the Forefront
- Strong buyers of long-lived, well-developed
reserves - Existing MLPs facing challenges with
distributions, maintaining acquisitions pace - New MLP formation has basically died
- Stock prices have fallen 20-40 in last six
months equity leverage is gone - Abundance of Capital
- Most EP companies have been unable to spend cash
reserves fast enough - Private equity available (25 B?) in record
amounts but not enough takers
34AD Industry Overview
- Product Prices
- Oil is at unbelievable 120 per barrell gas
prices nearing 12 / Mcf - NYMEX futures continue to be strong
- Companies have adjusted to current price
environment - Price comfort Tax Uncertainty AD activity
- Outside Factors
- Overall economy is slowing Inflation driven by
energy cost - Geopolitical factors will continue to influence
market - Canadian companies looking for US opportunities
developing entry strategies - Weather This winter was 18 colder than normal
- Election Concerns over treatment of industry in
future - Prognosis
- Little change in AD appetites and preferences
(pending election) - Prices have been resistant to outside factors
for how long? - Strong likelihood of increased corporate
acquisitions by hungry buyers - No change in sight for preference for resource
plays
35Contact Information
Canada Calgary, Alberta Dave Horn -
President 2100, 639-5th Ave. SW Calgary, Alberta,
Canada T2P 0M9 Phone 403.775.1800 Fax
403.775-1801
United StatesHouston, TX Kenneth R. Olive, Jr. -
President CEO Geoff Roberts Sr. VP
Negotiated Transactions Ron Barnes - Sr. VP,
Business Development Kevin Townsend Client
Relations Manager P.O. Box 671787, Houston, TX
77267-1787 390 Benmar, Suite 100, Houston, Texas
77060 Phone 281.873.4600 Fax
281.873.0055 Dallas Jim Henry Client Relations
Manager Ph 214.696.6470 Cell 214
.455.1573 jhenry_at_ogclearinghouse.com Denver John
Klee Client Relations Manager Ph
303.744.8220 Cell 303.263.1946 jklee_at_ogclearingh
ouse.com Oklahoma City, Oklahoma Bob Dawson
Client Relations Manager Ph 405.728.2398 Cell
405.650.1266 bdawson_at_ogclearinghouse.com