Title: THE AMERICAN MONSOONS
1 THE AMERICAN MONSOONS AND THEIR ROLE IN THE
WATER CYCLE E. Hugo Berbery, Estela Collini,
Viviane Silva Department of Meteorology
University of Maryland with thanks to Julia
Nogués-Paegle, Lee Byerle, Brant Liebmann, Rong
Fu PACS PI Meeting - Boulder
2- Outline
- 1. The North American monsoon and the low-level
jets - 2. The South American monsoon
- a. Advective processes
- b. Surface processes
-
- Keywords
- Low-level Jet
- Sources of moisture
- Land surface atmosphere feedbacks
- Hydrologic Cycle
3Summer Monsoons LLJs MCCs Impact on large
basins LS-A feedbacks
4Great Plains
Gulf of California
Berbery and Fox-Rabinovitz (2003)
5Byerle and Paegle
LLJ and Precipitation Response to Ambient Zonal
flow and Orography Deviations from
Climatology
wet
U200 hPa
Forcing
Response
dry
LLJ
correlation coefficients shown (JJA 1951-2000)
6Byerle and Paegle
LLJ and Precipitation Response to Ambient Zonal
flow and Orography Deviations from
Climatology
LLJ
wet
U200 hPa
Forcing
dry
Response
correlation coefficients shown (DJF 1951-2000)
7The mechanical blocking of the upstream zonal
winds by Andes has a strong control on SALLJ,
especially on seasonal and intraseasonal scales
Strong northerly SALLJ
Strong westerly upstream westerly wind to the
west of Andes
Wang and Fu, 2003, J. Climate
8Berbery and Barros, 2002 JHM
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10Liebmann et al.
11Annual cycle of precipitation (mm/day) as a
function of the latitude.
From Berbery and Barros 2002, JHM.
12The Eta model
- Model Configuration
- Horizontal resolution
- 80 km and 22 km
- (tests at 48, 25, 15)
- Vertical resolution
- 38 lyrs (tests w/ 45 lyrs)
- Initial and boundary conditions
- AVN NCEP Reanalyses
- Further online information and forecasts
http//www.atmos.umd.edu/berbery/etasam
13While there is an excess of model precipitation
over the Monsoon region, the Eta model
successfully reproduces the day to day
variability. In the southern region, the model
reproduces the variability and magnitude of the
precipitation.
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17The structure of the summer LLJ estimated from
the Eta at two resolutions 80 km and 22 km
18Composites based on P gt Pm 1.5 Psd
Moisture flux at 925 hPA
V. Silva
19Precipitable Water
20 Theta-e
21 Precipitation
22 Runoff
23The South American monsoon region
Precipitation
Runoff
24Land surface - atmosphere processes
Drier land surface (lower surface latent flux and
higher Bowen ratio) during dry and early
transition seasons appears to be the cause of
strong delay (gt 1.5 months) of the wet season
onset.
1979 Early onset
1984 late onset
1986 late onset
1990 normal
Fu and Li, 2003, J. Theor. obs. Clim., LBA
special issue
25Land surface ? Precipitation
26Austral Summer
Latent heat
Sensible heat
Soil Moisture vs Surface variables
Precipitation
Bowen Ratio
Each dot represents a 15-day average
27Schematic of the precipitation-soil moisture
feedback
Increased Soil Moisture (time scales of 2 weeks
or longer)
Decreased Sensible Heat
Increased Latent Heat
Decreased Bowen Ratio (and increased Evaporative
Fraction)
Increased Precipitation
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29Eta model simulations - October 1983
IC SM() -45, -30, -15, 15, 30, 45
E. Collini
30- Summary
- The role of advective and local processes was
discussed and their impact on precipitation and
runoff was assessed. - Two precipitation regimes whose centers form a
dipole pattern were discussed their
active/break periods seem to be associated with
lateral shifts of the Low-level Jet east of the
Andes. - The precipitation-soil moisture interactions
over SAM reveal a positive feedback at time
scales larger than 2 weeks.
31The Eta model (2)
Alternative settings Large domain for seasonal
simulations Higher resolution domain for
studies of hydrologic impacts
32VIC Hydrologic Model
Input Runoff baseflow at each grid
cell Output River discharge at the basins
exit point
33River routing model resolution 1/8 degrees