Title: Roles of Common Factors
1Roles of Common Factors Therapist Effects
in Therapy Outcomes Session 0931
G.S. (Jeb) Brown, Ph.D. Center for Clinical
Informatics
2Common factors
- The effectiveness of all treatments is due, in
some part, to factors common to all treatments. - Contact with a helping, caring professional
fosters hope and expectancy. - We have come to accept the potency of placebo
effects, and insist that the effectiveness bona
fide treatments exceeds that of placebo
treatments - So far, so good. Who can argue with this?
3Randomized double-blind placebo controlled drug
trials
- Double blind placebo controlled drug studies
provide an exemplar for estimating the role of
common factors. - Traditionally, the drug is interpreted as the
difference between placebo and the active drug. - Meta-analysis of multiple studies of
antidepressants lets us estimate the relative
importance of common factors (placebo effects)
versus drug effects.
4Meta-analyses and placebo
- Meta-analysis involves the use of a statistical
techniques to combine results from multiple
studies in order in an effort to generalize
findings. - Meta-analysis of multiple studies of
antidepressants let us estimate the relative
importance of common factors (placebo effects)
versus drug effects. 1-3
5Drug effect accounted for 25 of measured
improvement
6Evidenced based psychotherapy
- For several decades psychotherapy researchers
have attempted to design randomly controlled
trails (RCT) to investigate the effectiveness of
specific methods of psychotherapy. - Study design analogous to pharmacy trials, except
that designing credible placebo treatments is
much more problematic. - Various treatment methods are being touted as
evidenced based by citing the number of RCTs
providing evidence that the treatment exceeded
placebo (or some other treatment).
7Psychotherapy brands
- The advocacy for the use of specific therapies is
analogous to the advertising of brands of
antidepressant medication. - Calls for wide spread use of evidence based
treatments in psychotherapy is analogous to the
FDAs insistence that a drug may not be marketed
for the treatment of depression until at least
two studies have shown superiority to placebo. - Advocates and practitioners of various evidence
based treatments have a vested interest in
discouraging the use of unproven treatments.
8Brand differentiation
- Advocates of psychotherapy brands insist on the
uniqueness of their therapy and the need to
adhere to specific treatment procedures - Research methodology requires the use of manuals
and other techniques to standardize treatments - Treatment effectiveness presumed to be dependent
on the correct application of the active
ingredients in the psychotherapy method.
9The Dodo Bird Effect
- Rosenzweig S. (1936)
- Some implicit common factors in diverse methods
of psychotherapy At last the Dodo said,
Everybody has won and all must have prizes. - Am J Orthopsychiatry 6412-5.
10The Dodo Bird Lives!
Wampold BE, Mondin GW, Moody M, et al. (1997). A
meta-analysis of outcome studies comparing bona
fide psychotherapies Empirically, All must have
prizes. Psychol Bull 122203-15. Luborsky,
L., Rosenthal, R., Diguer, L., et al. 2002 The
dodo bird verdict is alive and well--mostly. J.
Psychotherapy Integration Vol 12(1) 32-57
11Meta-analysis common factors
- Over two decades of meta-analytic studies have
served to reinforce Rosenzweigs 1936 observation
that different methods of psychotherapy tend to
produce comparable outcomes the Dodo Bird
Effect - Lack of evidence for specific treatment effects
bolster the argument that almost all of the
effects of psychotherapy are due to factors
common to all psychotherapies. 5-11
12Real world example
- Human Affairs International (HAI) collected
outcome data from a large number of clinicians
between 1996 and 1998. - Clinicians were asked to specify the primary
method of psychotherapy (or medication management
only) - Analyses revealed no significant differences in
the outcome or mean number of sessions across all
treatment methods, including medication
management.
13Treatment outcomeHAI data
14Fidelity and practicality
- Propagation of evidenced based treatment methods
requires some method of measuring fidelity to the
treatment. - BIG PROBLEM!
- If clinicians reports using Cognitive Behavioral
Therapy, how can we have any confidence that what
that clinician did with a specific patient was
comparable to the Cognitive Behavioral Therapy
in the RCTs?
15Goldilocks Effect
- Clinicians tend to be eclectic and flexible in
their choice of treatment methods. - Clinicians and patients tend to try different
treatments until they find something that is
just about right for them. - Patients and clinicians tend to adjust the number
and frequency of sessions depending on the
patients level of distress and rate of
improvement. - Result All treatments appear to have similar
outcomes and patients with good outcomes tend to
use fewer session than patients with poor
outcomes.
16Recommended reading
Rigorous review and analyses of controlled
studies on psychotherapy outcome. Conclusion
much more variance resides with the clinician
than with the treatments.
17Therapists effects
- Wampold and others argue that researchers have
ignored the individual therapist as a source of
variance.11, 16-24 - The person of the therapist is necessary to
delivery the treatment, and personal
characteristics of the therapist modify the
effect of the treatment. - Factors contributing to therapists effects may
include elements clinical skill and knowledge as
well as personality traits.
18RCT and ANOVA brief history
- Some of the earliest applications of randomized
control group design and analysis of variance
were in agriculture and education. 12,13 - RCT methodology later adopted by medicine and
eventually psychotherapy research. 11,14 - Simple ANOVA is appropriate only if the
individual farmer, teacher or clinician has
little or no impact on the effectiveness of the
farming, teaching or treatment method!
19HLM therapist effects
- Hierarchical Linear Modeling (HLM) is an advance
in statistical methodology that permits us to
model variance at the clinicians level and as
well as the treatment level. - An rapidly growing body of published research
points to the conclusion that therapist effects
almost certainly exceed specific treatment
effects by a large margin.
20Variance due to the clinician
- Published research making use of HLM points to
the conclusion that the clinician accounts for
much more of the variance in psychotherapy
outcomes that treatment method per se. 11, 17-21 - Analyses of PacifiCare Behavioral Healths
massive database database on patient outcomes
confirms significant variance in psychotherapy
outcomes at the clinician level. 24,25
21PacifiCare Behavioral Health ALERT System
- Initiated an outcomes management program in 1998
using 30 item patient self report questionnaires
administered at regular intervals in treatment. - ALERT System used to capture data and monitor
patient outcomes in real time. - Currently over 7,000 clinicians are contributing
outcome data on a regular basis. - Probably largest database on mental health
outcomes in the world.
22PBH research collaboration
- PBH actively sought the involvement of leading
psychotherapy outcomes researchers from leading
academic institutions. - External researchers actively involved in design
of the measurement system and ongoing analysis of
the data. - PBH encouraged publication of findings in
academic journals.
23The (almost) Bell Curve PBH data
Solo clinicians with sample sizes gt 20
24Where is the variance?
25 of variance due to therapists in the real
world
- Analysis of PacifiCare Behavioral Health (PBH)
data reveals 6 of variance due to therapist. 25 - Patients on medication have a higher of
variance due the therapist than those receiving
psychotherapy alone. - Huh??
26Therapists and meds
Outcomes (residualized scores) of 15 therapists
for patients with concurrent medication or no
medication 25
27Test scores and medicationPBH data
28Which treatment is best? Goldilocks Effect
Clients tend to get the treatment that is just
about right for them.
Normal functioning
Severe symptoms
29Cross validation analysis
- Psychotherapists in PBH network ranked based on
all cases from 1999-2002 if sample size gt30
N116. - If a therapists mean residualized final score lt
0 then clinician rated Highly effective else
clinician rated Less effective. - Outcomes evaluated in the 2003-2004 cross
validation period for a new sample of cases.
30Cross validation results
31Risk of not using HLM
- Wampold and colleagues at the University of
Wisconsin recently reanalyzed data from the
National Institute of Mental Healths Treatment
of Depression Collaborative Research Program
(TDCRP) study using HLM. 26-28 - Prior published reports found significant
differences between two methods of psychotherapy
as well as between placebo and antidepressant
medication. - Reanalysis of psychotherapy data using HLM
revealed that 0 of the variance was due to the
psychotherapy methods, while 8 was attributable
to the therapists. 27
32Psychiatrist effects
- Wampold and colleagues also used HLM to reanalyze
the results antidepressant and placebo legs of
the TDCRP study. 28 - Included the 9 individual psychiatrists as a
variable. - Outcome measured by change on patient self report
measure (Beck Depression Inventory). - 9.1 of the variance due to the psychiatrist
only 3.4 due to the medication. - Top third of psychiatrists achieved a better
outcome with placebo than bottom third achieved
with the antidepressant.
33Placebo therapist effects
- Hypothesis Placebo/common factor effects are
mediated by the clinician/patient relationship. - Common factors tend to account for much more of
the variance than specific treatment effects. - If the effects of common factors are mediated by
the clinician/patient relationship, then we would
naturally find much of the variance in outcomes
would be due to the clinician. - The human factor matters!
- DUH!
34Whats a clinician to do?
- If a wide variety of treatments appear to be
equally efficacious, can a therapist do to
achieve the best outcomes possible for their
patients? - A growing body of research supports the use of
repeated administrations of patient self report
outcome questionnaires to monitor response to
treatment. - Routine measurement and and early identification
of patients with a poor response to treatment has
been shown to reduce treatment failures. 29-36
35Therapeutic alliance
- A large body of evidence suggests that the
relationship and working alliance between the
clinicians and patient is an important factor in
the outcome. 39-45 - Routine use of a session rating/therapeutic
alliance scale may permit clinicians to identify
and repair problems in the working alliance.
36Outcomes informed care
- Meta-method designed to improve outcomes across
all patients and diagnoses, regardless of
treatment method. - Routine use of patient self report questionnaires
to track symptom severity and therapeutic
alliance. - Use of feedback mechanisms to alert clinicians to
patients at risk for poor outcomes. - Performance feedback to clinicians, including
comparison to outcomes to those of clinicians
treating similar patients. - Preferential referrals to highly effective
clinicians.
372 case studies
- Resources for Living (RFL) provides telephonic
EAP services. Customers include Walmart. - Accountable Behavioral Healthcare Alliance (ABHA)
is a managed behavioral healthcare organization
servicing Oregon Health Plan members in 5 rural
county area
38Case history 1 RFL
- Began using the 4 item Outcome Rating and Session
Rating Scales in 2002 - Administered over the phone as part of telephonic
counseling sessions. - Baseline data collected for 5 months
- Baseline data used to create trajectory of change
graphs - Real time feedback provided to counselors via
SIGNAL System
39RFL Signal System results
Training and feedback
Baseline period
40Case history 2 ABHA
- Began utilizing the 4 item Oregon Change Index
(OCI) in 2004. - OCI administered at every session in outpatient
and day treatment settings. - OCIs collected at over 80 of all sessions.
- Collected baseline data for 18 months, began
giving feedback in mid 2005. - Updated Excel based Active Case Report contains
outcome data on all cases seen within the last 6
weeks is emailed to the clinicians weekly.
41ABHA results
42Implications for clinicians
- Good news The clinician matters!!!!!!
- All treatments (including medications!?) are only
as effective as the clinicians delivering the
treatment. - Clinicians have an ethical responsibility to
assess and improve their personal effectiveness
as clinicians they cannot rely on the treatments
alone to be curative. - Effective clinicians deliver high value services
and are worth more money!!!
43Implications for administrators policy makers
- Exclusive focus on the effectiveness of
treatments rather than the value of the
clinicians limits the potential to improve
outcomes. - Use of effective clinicians tends to lower costs.
- Administrators and policy makers have an
obligation to consumers to assure that they have
access to effective clinicians. - Failure to monitor outcomes at the clinician
level places consumers at risk.
44References
- Kirsch, I Sapirstein, G. 1998. Listening to
Prozac but hearing placebo A meta analysis of
antidepressant medication. Prevention
Treatment. 1, Article 0002a, No Pagination
Specified - Kirsch, I. 2000. Are drug and placebo effects in
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2002. The emperor's new drugs An analysis of
antidepressant medication data submitted to the
U.S. Food and Drug Administration. Prevention
Treatment. 5(1), No Pagination Specified - Rosenzweig S. 1936. Some implicit common factors
in diverse methods of psychotherapy At last the
Dodo said, Everybody has won and all must have
prizes. Am J Orthopsychiatry 6412-5. - Shapiro DA Shapiro D. 1982. Meta-analysis of
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92581-604.
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53About the presenter
- G.S. (Jeb) Brown is a licensed psychologist with
a Ph.D. from Duke University. He served as the
Executive Director of the Center for Family
Development from 1982 to 19987. He then joined
United Behavioral Systems (an United Health Care
subsidiary) as the Executive Director for of
Utah, a position he held for almost six years.
In 1993 he accepted a position as the Corporate
Clinical Director for Human Affairs International
(HAI), at that time one of the largest managed
behavioral healthcare companies in the country. - In 1998 he left HAI to found the Center for
Clinical Informatics, a consulting firm
specializing in helping large organizations
implement outcomes management systems. Client
organizations include PacifiCare Behavioral
Health/ United Behavioral Health, Department of
Mental Health for the District of Columbia,
Accountable Behavioral Health Care Alliance,
Resources for Living and assorted treatment
programs and centers throughout the world. - Dr. Brown continues to work as a part time
psychotherapist at behavioral health clinic in
Salt Lake City, Utah. He does measure his
outcomes.
54 http//www.clinical-informatics.com jebbrown_at_clin
ical-informatics.com 1821 Meadowmoor Rd. Salt
Lake City, UT 84117 Voice 801-541-9720