Business Surveys Integration Project

1
Business Surveys Integration Project
NS Economy TWG26 April 2005

• Martin BrandDirectorDesigning Sources
• ONS

2
Objectives of business surveys redesign

• Develop world class integrated portfolio of
  business surveys
• Better quality, more coherent and reliable
• More flexible and responsive service
• Increased value for money
• Use admin data to minimise compliance costs to
  businesses
• Respond to key recommendations of Allsopp Review
  incl regional outputs

3
Future vision of business data sources
MBS monthly ?quarterly
BRES annual
BOS annual or quarterly
ABS annual
100 strata Core GVA variables (ABI/2 short
form) Filter questions
Detailed components (ABI/2 long form)
purchases (PI) products/services (PRODCOM, SERV
COM) Capex Inventories
Turnover (MIDSS, MPI, RSI) Inventories? Capex?
Profits? (QPI) Employment? (MIDSS, MPI, RSI,
GAPS, QLA)
LU employment business structure (BRS) annual
employment (ABI/1)
New policy demands ad hoc demands
E-commerce
R D
ITIS
Sampled strata Core GVA variables (ABI/2 short
form) Filter questions
Detailed components (ABI/2 long form)
E-commerce
PAYE employment
VAT turnover
R D
Purchases (PI)
NES REP Earnings hours annual (ASHE)
PRICES REP Prices - monthly or quarterly RPI
PPI EPI IPI CSPI
PENSIONS REP Financial sector surveys FDI
Products/services (PRODCOM, SERVCOM)
ITIS
Earnings monthly (MWSS)
Capex
?FSA data
Inventories
KEY
Business Surveys Integration Project
Admin data source
COTAX company acounts self-employed self
assessment
Integration subproject
ABC
Existing survey
REP
4
Business Surveys Integration Project (BSIP)

• Three proposed elements
• Business Register and Employment Survey BRES
• Monthly Business Survey MBS
• Annual Business Survey Regional ABS(R)

5
BRES - Purpose, assumptions, and benefits

• Purpose maintain LU data on IDBR and support
  regional estimation, and provide annual estimates
  of employment
• (at present, ABI/1 collects employment at co
  level, BRS collects for sites)
• Issues
• not yet clear how far integration will be
  possible
• develop in parallel with IDBR re-eng
• Assumption expanded sample to improve regional
  level register data

6
BRES - Purpose, assumptions, and benefits

• Statistical benefits
• essential support to IDBR to enable good quality
  regional (and subregional) level outputs
• improve efficiency of production of employment
  estimates
• improve timeliness of IDBR employment data, hence
  improve accuracy of survey outputs
• more robust and accurate national and regional
  annual employment estimates.

7
MBS - Purpose, assumptions and benefits

• Purpose collect monthly turnover from all
  sectors and possibly monthly/quarterly employment
  and/or inventories etc.
• Issues
• sample expansion to support early estimates of
  annual regional GVA
• admin data already available, can offset
  compliance rise
• topic coverage needs to be agreed for integrated
  design
• Assumptions double sample size 25 admin data
  initially possible to obtain/model regional
  data of satisfactory quality

8
MBS - Purpose, assumptions and benefits

• Statistical benefits
• improve efficiency through sample optimisation
  and improved methodology
• improved regional level outputs of sufficient
  quality to support policy needs
• improve efficiency and quality of monthly indices
  of production and distribution
• minimise increase in data collection and business
  compliance costs.

9
ABS - Purpose, assumptions and benefits

• Purpose replace ABI(2), to meet needs for annual
  business data for GDP and GVA estimates, to
  produce regional and national data
• Issues
• assumed 2 stages (i) better estimation and
  sample expansion for regional estimates ABS(R)
  (ii) full modular design later
• admin data not yet available so very high
  processing and compliance costs in medium term
• Assumptions triple sample size no admin data
  initially

10
ABS - Purpose, assumptions and benefits

• Statistical benefits
• - ABS (R)
• improved regional level outputs of sufficient
  quality to support policy needs for regional
  accounts at NUTS1
• - Full ABS
• improved manuf/services balance
• reductions in collection/compliance costs
  eventually

11
Dependencies, timing and resources

• Dependencies
• BRES depends on IDBR re-eng (and vice versa)
• MBS and ABS depend on BRES and IDBR re-eng
• MBS and ABS need to be consistent.
• Resource constraints
• funding (ONS Board considering Option 4)
• ONS staff, especially MG
• business compliance costs, especially small and
  medium businesses.
• Other timing issues
• other modernisation work
• SIC2007
• new SNA.

12
(No Transcript)
13
How much of Allsopp does BSIP cover?

• Covers
• regional GVA estimates, incl design of ABI and
  short-term inquiries, and apportionment
  methodology
• simplify/amalgamate surveys, use admin data
• review industry stratification and alternative
  estimation for detailed outputs
• more sophisticated role for IDBR, incl
  maintenance, integration with surveys, estimation
  and apportionment techniques
• fully coherent business survey system
• Does not cover
• EFS SERVCOM regional prices price surveys
  trade in services public sector jobs

14
Consultation

• Extensive internal consultation eg. workshops
  already carried out
• No formal external consultation until
  funding/scope is confirmed
• Expect to set up a BSIP Steering Group with
  external membership
• As well as SG, will be consultation through web,
  meetings with Depts etc.