Title: Providian Investor Day
1Morgan Stanley Convertible ConferenceSeptember
24, 2003
2Forward Looking Information
- Certain statements contained in this presentation
are forward-looking statements within the
meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of
1933, as amended, and Section 21E of the
Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, and
are subject to the safe harbor created by those
sections. Forward-looking statements include
expressions of belief, anticipation, or
expectations of management, statements as to
industry trends or future results of operations
of the Company, and other statements that are not
historical fact. Forward-looking statements are
based on certain assumptions by management and
are subject to risks and uncertainties that could
cause actual results to differ materially from
those in the forward-looking statements. These
risks and uncertainties include, but are not
limited to competitive pressures factors that
affect liquidity, delinquency rates, credit loss
rates and charge-off rates general economic
conditions consumer loan portfolio growth
changes in the cost and/or availability of
funding due to changes in the deposit, credit or
securitization markets, changes in the way in
which the Company is perceived in such markets,
and/or conditions relating to existing or future
financing commitments the effects of government
policy and regulation, whether of general
applicability or specific to the Company,
including restrictions and/or limitations on the
Companys minimum capital requirements, deposit
taking abilities, reserve methodologies, dividend
policies and payments, growth, and/or
underwriting criteria year-end audit
adjustments changes in accounting rules,
policies, practices and/or procedures the
success of product development efforts legal and
regulatory proceedings, including the impact of
ongoing litigation interest rates acquisitions
one-time charges extraordinary items the
ability to attract and retain key personnel and
the impact of existing, modified or new strategic
initiatives. These and other risks and
uncertainties are described in detail in the
Companys Annual Report on Form 10-K and Annual
Report to Stockholders for the fiscal year ended
December 31, 2002 under the headings Cautionary
Statement Regard Forward-Looking Informationand
Risk Factors. You are cautioned not to place
undue reliance on any forward-looking statement,
which speaks only as of the date thereof. The
Company undertakes no obligation to update any
forward-looking statements.
3Providian Financial Corporation
- Top ten bankcard issuer
- Managed receivables of approximately 17.8 B
- Over 11 MM customer accounts
- Over 5,600 employees in 9 locations across the
U.S. - Restructuring timeline
- Late-2001 implemented 5-point plan began
assembling new management team - 2002 developed 3-year capital plan that was
accepted by regulators significantly
restructured the portfolio resulting in enhanced
liquidity capital stabilized credit trends - Mid-2003 credit trends improving launch of
new middle America marketing focus
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4New Management Team
5Industry Ranking
- Providian is smaller as a result of restructuring
initiatives, but still remains among the nations
top bank card issuers
Total Managed Receivables and Accounts
35
20
17.2
30
30.1
15
12.9
25
11.4
20
Accounts in Millions
19.6
10
17.8
Managed Receivables in Billions
15
10
5
5
7 Providian Financial 17.80
0
0
Q2 2001
Q2 2002
Q2 2003
Managed Receivables
Number of Accounts
The Nilson Report, s in billions
6Facility Workforce Reduction
- Commensurate with our size and increased
operational efficiency, our facilities and
workforce have been downsized
More than 50 reduction in total workforce
Four facilities closed in 2002
15,000
12,631
8,393
10,000
Total employees
5,692
5,000
- California
- San Francisco
- Oakland
- Pleasanton
- Sacramento
- Fairfield
5,000
- Texas
- Arlington
- San Antonio
- Austin
- El Paso
0
Q2 2001
Q2 2002
Q2 2003
Forecast Q4 2003
7Equity Market Reaction
- Providians stock has tracked our restructuring
progress - 2003 year-to-date stock has appreciated by over
80
SP 500 Index Annual Price Returns
Providian Financial 82.82
-93.83 Providian Financial
Based on PVN stock price of 12.00 on
September 18, 2003 Based on PVN stock prices
Dec. 31, 2000 - 57.50, Dec. 31, 2001- 3.55
Dec. 31, 2002 - 6.49
8Restructuring Remains on Track
- Providian is a stronger entity and remains
solidly on track with its restructuring - Finance Strengthened capital, funding and
liquidity positions - Marketing Executing new middle market
strategy developing new distribution
channels - Credit Reduced net credit losses and improving
delinquency rates - Operations Retooled for greater operational and
cost efficiency
9Finance
- We continue to maintain a solid financial
foundation - Liquidity 6.6 billion
- Capital 2.3 billion
- Reserves 702 million
- Providian National Banks total risk-based
capital ratios remain in excess of 10
well-capitalalized levels - Call Report Basis 15.08
- Subprime Guidance Basis (1) 13.76
- Primary funding sources remain deposits,
securitization and unsecured debt
Combined represent 47 of on-balance sheet loans
(1) Subprime guidance basis excluding the effect
of adopting the regulatory guidance on the
accrued interest receivable asset.
10Funding Sources
Capital
9
Institutional Other
7
FDIC-Insured
Deposits
Securitization
48
36
Total Funding of 25.1 Billion as of June 30, 2003
11 Convertible Note Issuance in May
- Providian Financial Corp. completed a 287
million, 5-year convertible senior note issue on
May 27, 2003 - Summary of key terms
- Oversubscribed, upsized from 150 million
- Coupon 4 fixed rate
- Conversion premium 60
- Conversion price approximately 13.01 per share
- Proceeds to be used for general corporate
purposes, repurchase of outstanding debt or other
purposes consistent with our banking
subsidiaries Capital Plans
12Marketing Priorities
- Pro-actively manage our existing portfolio to
optimize performance - Maintain yields and reduce interest rate risk
while improving credit quality of the portfolio - Pursue a new account acquisition strategy to
recruit high quality, profitable prospects - Migrate acquisitions emphasis to Middle Market to
capture greater profit potential and market
opportunity - Develop new programs and channels to generate
profitable growth consistent with our Middle
America emphasis - Reposition the company by providing compelling
new value propositions and customer experience - Leverage partner relationships
13Portfolio Management
- Portfolio management has included account
repricings, credit line reductions and conversion
from fixed to variable rates
of Fixed and Variable Rate Balances
Purchase APRs - Open Accounts
(Managed Basis)
(Managed Basis)
100
92.5
90
80
30
70
25.9
56.3
23.2
22.2
22.1
60
43.7
18.8
20
50
15.5
40
30
10
20
7.5
10
0
0
Dec-01
Dec-02
Dec-01
Dec-02
lt 600
600-669
670
Fixed
Variable
14New Account Balance Growth
- New account and balance growth is achieving
planned results and reflects our increased
emphasis on the Middle Market
New Accounts Booked
New Account Balances
800
2,500,000
710
700
700
2,000,000
690
600
680
500
1,500,000
Balances ( Million)
Accounts (000s)
670
400
FICO Score
660
1,000,000
300
650
200
640
500,000
100
630
0
0
620
Q2
Q3
Q4
Q1
Q2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Q1
Q2
2002
2002
2002
2003
2003
2002
2002
2002
2002
2003
2003
15The New Providian
- We have an opportunity to excel by focusing our
company on serving Middle Americans - The Middle America market is attractive
- Its large and targetable
- Its profitable
- Its receptive, less competitive and largely
underserved - We have distinctive competencies and
differentiated products and services which can be
honed to enhance our competitive advantage - These competencies can be leveraged to
differentiate Providian products and services,
both under our own brand, and through relevant
partner relationships
16The New Providian
- Within the total universe of individuals with
credit bureaus, a target subset creates our ideal
target market - Pass underwriting criteria and meet proprietary
targeting profile - Predominantly found in the FICO 600 to 739 bands
25
20
Credit Eligible (130MM)
15
Individuals (MM)
Credit Promotable (80MM)
10
Providian Target (30MM 40MM)
5
0
gt 800
600 to 619
620 to 639
640 to 659
660 to 679
680 to 699
700 to 719
720 to 739
740 to 759
760 to 779
780 to 799
Source Credit Bureau Data
17The New Providian
- Consumers that fall into this sweet spot
control almost 200 billion in unsecured credit
Unsecured Credit Held by Providians Target
Customers
50
45
40
35
32
30
Balances (Bn)
24
21
19
20
14
10
0
600-619
620-639
640-659
660-679
680-699
700-719
720-739
Source Credit Bureau Data
18The New Providian
- Importantly for growth, their wallets are less
crowded, and they are more receptive to new card
offers
Credit Card Accounts (Owned,
Used, Opened and Activated)
7
100
Average Number of Credit Cards
Owned Average Number of Credit Cards Used
6
80
5
60
4
of Cards Used / Owned
of Consumers Opening / Active
3
40
2
20
1
0
0
760
600-619
620-639
640-669
670-699
700-729
730-759
FICO Bands
Source National Credit Bureau
19The New Providian
- Based on the findings of our strategic planning
efforts, we saw an opportunity to create a better
kind of company focused on serving Middle
American consumers
FAIR CREDIT
CLEAR COMMUNICATION
ATTENTIVE CUSTOMER CARE
NEW POSITIONING
REAL REWARDS
REAL INFORMATION
REAL VALUES
20Strategic Marketing Partnerships
- Strategic marketing partnerships are expected to
be a core component of our future marketing
efforts - We are in latter stages of discussions with
several entities on co-branded relationships - Consistent with strategy
- Expected to begin producing accounts before
year-end - PayPal co-branded program is producing solid
results - Working with partner to expand distribution
21Credit Collections
- Credit performance continues to show improvement
- Managed net credit loss dollars continue to
decline - Managed 30 day delinquency rate in single digits
- Managed net credit losses first half 2003 1.59
B - Managed net credit loss guidance
- Full-year 2003 net credit losses 2.85 B
- Third quarter 2003 650 MM
22 Credit Performance
Credit performance continues to show improvement
Managed Portfolio
20
17.61
17.53
17.34
16.84
16.71
12
15.05
15
11.23
11.11
10.31
10.16
10.22
9.72
8
Managed Net Credit Loss Rate
10
Managed 30 Day Delinquency Rate
4
5
0
0
Q1 2002
Q2 2002
Q3 2002
Q4 2002
Q1 2003
Q2 2003
23Impact of Credit Initiatives
1998 - 2001 vintages
Early- 2002 vintages
Mid-2002 to early 2003 vintages
24Operations Enterprise Technology
- Focus on quality performance and creating
customer centric culture and processes - Develop flexible, robust platforms to support new
opportunities - Conversion to TS2 completed in August
- Build a culture of continual improvement and cost
reduction - Eliminate redundancies and outsource non-core
activities to realize savings - Outsourced development activities to Accenture in
August
25Summary
- Providian is a stronger entity and remains
solidly on track with its restructuring - Finance Strengthened capital, funding and
liquidity positions - Marketing Executing new middle market
strategy developing new distribution
channels - Credit Reduced net credit losses and improving
delinquency rates - Operations Retooled for greater operational and
cost efficiency
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27Financial Addendum
28Organizational Structure
Ratings as of September 2003 as provided by
Standard and Poors, Moodys and FitchRatings,
respectively
29Borrowings
-
- Outstanding Maturity
- Providian Financial Corporation
- 3.25 convertible senior notes 343.3 MM
August 15, 2005 - 4.00 convertible senior notes 287.5 MM May
15, 2008 - Zero coupon convertible senior notes(1) 433.6 MM
February 15, 2021 - 9.525 coupon capital securities 104.3 MM
February 1, 2027 - Providian National Bank
- 6.65 senior bank notes 108.8 MM February
1, 2004
(1) Amount includes accreted portion of a yield
to maturity of 4.00 per year. Holders are due
full principal amount of 884.0 million at
maturity.
30Non-GAAP Managed Financial Information
- Loans that have been securitized and sold to
third party investors are not considered to be
our assets under GAAP and therefore are not shown
on our balance sheet. However, the interests we
retain in the securitized loan pools create
financial exposure to the current and expected
cash flows of the securitized loans. Although
the loans sold are not on our balance sheet,
their performance can affect some or all of our
retained interests as well as our results of
operations and our financial position. In
addition, we continue to service these loans. - Because of this continued exposure and
involvement, we use managed financial information
to evaluate our historical performance, assess
our current condition, and plan our future
operations. We believe that managed financial
information supplements our GAAP information and
is helpful to the readers understanding of our
consolidated financial condition and results of
operations. Reported financial information
refers to GAAP financial information. Managed
financial information is derived by adjusting the
reported financial information to add back
securitized loan balances and the related finance
charge and fee income, credit losses, and net
interest costs. - The Company discloses certain projected financial
measures relating to expected performance on a
managed basis, such as net credit losses, net
interest income margin and non-interest income
margin. The Company develops such projections on
a managed basis using managed financial
information and does not in the normal course
derive comparable GAAP projections. Developing
such comparable GAAP projections would be
unreasonably burdensome and in the opinion of
management such comparable GAAP projections would
not provide to the users of the financial
information a significant benefit in
understanding the Companys expected future
performance.
31Reconciliation of Reported and Managed Financial
Measures
Reported
Securitization
Managed
Reported
Securitization
Managed
Reported
Securitization
Managed
2003
2003
2003
2003
2002
2002
(in millions)
QTR 02
Adjustment
QTR 02
QTR 01
Adjustment
QTR 01
QTR 04
Adjustment
QTR 04
Earnings
Interest Income Loans
247.7
581.9
829.6
310.3
586.0
896.3
323.5
613.2
936.6
Interest Income Investments
(1)
43.9
(14.7)
29.2
41.9
(13.0)
28.9
42.6
(8.6)
34.1
Interest Expense
163.8
45.5
209.3
171.8
47.9
219.7
179.9
56.2
236.1
Net Interest Income
127.8
521.7
649.5
180.4
525.1
705.5
186.2
548.4
734.6
Non-Interest Income
(1)
393.3
1.0
394.3
417.5
13.4
430.9
293.1
(9.3)
283.8
Total Net Revenue
521.1
522.7
1,043.8
597.9
538.5
1,136.4
479.3
539.1
1,018.4
Financial Data
Quarter
Net Credit Losses
(2)
237
523
760
296
539
835
299
539
838
-
-
Quarter End
Total Loans
(3)
6,417
11,381
17,798
7,147
11,323
18,470
6,908
12,720
19,628
Total Assets
16,206
8,925
25,131
16,607
8,925
25,532
16,710
9,833
26,543
Quarter Average
Total Loans
6,684
11,361
18,045
7,500
11,452
18,952
8,046
11,294
19,344
Earning Assets
14,048
11,361
25,409
13,604
11,452
25,056
14,236
11,298
25,534
Total Assets
16,460
8,925
25,385
16,518
8,976
25,494
16,757
9,465
26,222
32Reconciliation of Reported and Managed Financial
Measures
Reported
Securitization
Managed
Reported
Securitization
Managed
2002
2002
2002
2002
QTR 03
Adjustment
QTR 03
QTR 02
Adjustment
QTR 02
(in millions)
Earnings
328.2
656.2
984.4
350.5
654.5
1,005.0
Interest Income Loans
60.3
(13.2)
47.1
53.9
(14.7)
39.2
Interest Income Investments
(1)
189.0
62.7
251.7
196.0
65.0
261.0
Interest Expense
199.5
580.3
779.8
208.4
574.8
783.2
Net Interest Income
465.1
(21.0)
444.1
509.9
22.7
532.6
Non-Interest Income
(1)
664.6
559.3
1,223.9
718.3
597.5
1,315.8
Total Net Revenue
Financial Data
Quarter
244
559
804
269
598
867
Net Credit Losses
(2)
Quarter End
8,198
11,255
19,453
7,513
12,126
19,639
Total Loans
(3)
17,218
9,675
26,893
17,799
10,215
28,014
Total Assets
Quarter Average
7,305
11,932
19,237
7,578
12,195
19,773
Total Loans
15,011
11,932
26,942
14,243
12,195
26,438
Earning Assets
17,384
10,127
27,511
18,319
10,257
28,576
Total Assets
33Reconciliation of Reported and Managed Financial
Measures
Excluding Discontinued Operations
Reported
Securitization
Managed
Reported
Securitization
Managed
2002
2002
2001
2001
Q1
Adjustment
Q1
Q2
Adjustment
Q2
(in millions)
Earnings
647.2
677.2
1,324.4
488.1
738.9
1,227.0
Interest Income Loans
44.0
-
44.0
Interest Income Investments
44.2
(13.5)
30.7
(233.4)
(185.9)
(419.3)
207.0
88.3
295.3
Interest Expense
325.3
637.1
962.4
457.8
491.3
949.1
Net Interest Income
894.6
(111.2)
783.4
1,113.2
(34.1)
1,079.1
Non-Interest Income
1,438.5
603.0
2,041.5
1,352.4
380.1
1,732.5
Total Net Revenue
Financial Data
Quarter
371
380
751
413
603
1,016
Net Credit Losses
Quarter End
14,060
15,992
30,052
Total Loans
9,913
12,231
22,144
20,917
15,144
36,061
Total Assets
18,729
10,265
28,994
Quarter Average
14,266
14,649
28,915
11,758
15,246
27,003
Total Loans
17,690
14,649
32,339
Earning Assets
16,427
15,246
31,673
20,237
14,008
34,245
Total Assets
19,275
13,392
32,667
34 Reported Credit Performance
Credit performance continues to show improvement
Reported Portfolio
20
12
15.79
14.88
14.21
15
14.19
14.04
13.38
8
Reported Net Credit Loss Rate
10
Reported 30 Day Delinquency Rate
4
5
0
0
Q1 2002
Q2 2002
Q3 2002
Q4 2002
Q1 2003
Q2 2003
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