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Hypothesis test involving m, s unknown

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Using the table, we are somewhat limited by the ... We can use software to calculate a p-value. ... Hypothesis-Testing Procedure for population proportion: ... – PowerPoint PPT presentation

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Title: Hypothesis test involving m, s unknown


1
Hypothesis test involving m,s unknown
  • We have seen how to conduct hypothesis tests
    involving µ when we have a normal distribution
    and known s, using the z distribution.
  • We now turn to the situation where s is unknown
    but has a normal distribution (because the
    sample size is large or the sample population is
    normal).
  • Since s is unknown, we use s in its place.
  • However, the random variable does not
    have a have a standard normal distribution so we
    do not call it z and we cannot refer to the z
    table for comparison.
  • Instead, the we will use the t distribution, and
    the test statistic will be

2
  • Example A random sample of 25 students
    registering for classes showed the mean waiting
    time in the registration line was 22.6 minutes
    and the standard deviation was 8.0 minutes. Is
    there any evidence to support the student
    newspapers claim that registration time takes
    longer than 20 minutes? Use a 0.05 and assume
    waiting time is approximately normal.
  • Solution
  • 1. State the null and alternative hypotheses
  • H0 m 20 () (no longer than)
  • Ha m gt 20 (longer than)

3
  • Determine the type of test The sampled
    population is approximately normal. s is
    unknown. Use t with df n - 1 24
  • Define the Rejection RegionThis is a
    right-tailed test with a.05, so we reject H0 if
    .
  • Calculate the test statistic
  • State the conclusion We do not reject H0, so we
    do not have sufficient evidence to support the
    student newspapers claim that registration time
    takes longer than 20 minutes, in other words, we
    will assume the true registration time is less
    than or equal to 20 minutes.

4
  • Using the p-value procedure
  • Note
  • 1. If this hypothesis test is done with the aid
    of a computer a fairly precise p-value can be
    calculated. Using the table, we are somewhat
    limited by the probabilities available.
  • We can use the t-table to place bounds on the
    p-value.0.05 lt p lt 0.10
  • We can use software to calculate a p-value.The
    p-value is not smaller than the level of
    significance, a.

5
  • Hypothesis-Testing Procedure for population
    proportion
  • For hypothesis tests concerning the binomial
    parameter p, use the test statistic z
  • Example (Probability-Value Approach) A hospital
    administrator believes that at least 75 of all
    adults have a routine physical once every two
    years. A random sample of 250 adults showed 172
    had physicals within the last two years. Is
    there any evidence to refute the administrator's
    claim? Use a 0.05.

6
  • Solution
  • 1. State the null and alternative hypotheses
  • H0 p 0.75
  • Ha p lt 0.75
  • 2. Determine the type of test
  • Underlying binomial distribution.
  • Test statistic z.
  • n 250gt30
  • np (250)(0.75) 187.5 gt 5
  • nq (250)(0.25) 62.5 gt 5
  • Level of significance a 0.05

7
  • 3. Rejection Region Reject H0 if plt.05.
  • 4. Calculating the test statistic
  • a. Sample information
  • b. The test statistic

8
  • b. The p-value is smaller than the level of
    significance, a.
  • 5. Conclusion There is evidence to suggest the
    proportion of adults who have a routine physical
    exam every two years is less than 0.75.

p-value
9
  • Example A university bookstore employee in
    charge of ordering texts believes 65 of all
    students sell their statistics book back to the
    bookstore at the end of the class. To test this
    claim, 200 statistics students are selected at
    random and 141 plan to sell their texts back to
    the bookstore. Is there any evidence to suggest
    the proportion is different from 0.65? Use a
    0.01.
  • Solution
  • 1. The null and alternative hypotheses
  • H0 p 0.65
  • Ha

10
  • 2. Determine the type of test
  • Underlying binomial distribuiton
  • Test statistic z
  • n 200
  • np (200)(0.65) 130 gt 5 nq
    (200)(0.35) 70 gt 5
  • Level of significance a 0.01
  • 3. Rejection Region Reject H0 if zgt2.58 or
    zlt-2.85
  • 4. Calculate the value of the test statistic

11
  • 5. Conclusion There is no evidence to suggest
    the true proportion of students who sell their
    statistics text back to the bookstore is
    different from 0.65.

12
  • Note
  • 1. There is a relationship between confidence
    intervals and two-tailed hypothesis tests when
    the level of confidence and the level of
    significance are complementary.
  • 2. The confidence interval and the width of the
    noncritical region are the same.
  • 3. The point estimate is the center of the
    confidence interval, and the hypothesized mean is
    the center of the noncritical region.
  • 4. If the hypothesized value of p is contained in
    the confidence interval, then the test statistic
    will be in the noncritical region.
  • 5. If the hypothesized value of p does not fall
    within the confidence interval, then the test
    statistic will be in the critical region.
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