Linking P16 Education To Economic Development

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Linking P-16 Education To Economic Development

• Bluegrass Region P-16 Council Meeting
• January 18, 2005

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• ThinkLink thinking about the problem
• Council on Postsecondary Educaiton (CPE)
• Department for Workforce Development (
• Dept. for Innovation and Commercialization for a
  Knowledge-Based Economy (ONE)
• Education and Professional Standards Board (EPSB)
• GearUp
• Kentucky Adult Education (KYAE)
• Kentucky Board of Education
• Kentucky Community and Technical College System
  (KCTCS)
• Kentucky Department of Education
• Kentucky Education Cabinet
• Kentucky Workforce Investment Board (KWIB)
• Partnership for Kentucky Schools
• TeachKentucky

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Regions that accumulate the most human capital
will prosper in the 21st century economy.
Source Strategic Plan for the Office for the New
Economy 2002
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Kentuckys ability to sustain and propel a 21st
century Knowledge-based economy is dependent on
intellectual capital.
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• Four observations to consider
• 1. Kentucky is unprepared and is not adequately
  preparing for a knowledge-based economy.
• 2. Our future as a state depends on our
  preparation.
• 3. There are solutions.
• 4. We all have a role to play in providing
  solutions.

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Observation 1
1. Kentucky is unprepared and is not adequately
preparing for a knowledge-based economy.
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Current data paint a bleak picture for our
future. . . Source US Census Data, 2000
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With regards to the number of adult Kentuckians
with less than a 9th grade education . . .
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• US average 7.4
• KY average 11.7
• 110 KY counties below the national average

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• Adults with less than a 9th grade education
• US Average 7.4
• Oldham 4.8
• Boone 4.8
• Fayette 5.1
• Jefferson 5.1

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• US Average 7.4
• Magoffin 28.5
• Clinton 29.3
• Clay 31.9
• Owsley 33.8

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Counties exceeding the national rate (7.4) for
more than a 9th grade education among adults 25
10/120 counties
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With regards to adult Kentuckians who have at
least a high school diploma . . .
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• US average 80.4
• KY average 74.1
• 109 KY counties below the national average

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• Adults with at least a HS diploma
• U.S. Average 80.4
• Woodford 82.6
• Boone 85.1
• Fayette 85.8
• Oldham 86.5

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• Adults with at least a HS diploma
• U.S. Average 80.4
• Lee 50.9
• Magoffin 50.1
• Clay 49.4
• Owsley 49.2

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Counties at or above the national average (80.4)
for adults 25 with a high school diploma.
11/120 counties
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With regards to the number of Kentuckians with a
college degree . . .
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• US average 24.4
• KY average 20.8
• 115 KY counties below the national average

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• Adults with at least at least a BA
• US Average 24.4
• Jefferson 24.8
• Woodford 25.9
• Oldham 30.6
• Fayette 35.6

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• Adults with at least at least a BA
• US Average 24.4
• Leslie 6.3
• Lee 6.3
• Magoffin 6.3
• Edmonson 4.9

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Counties exceeding the national average (24.4)
of adults ages 25 with 4 or more years of
college. 5/120 counties
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• There were many sad things in Kentuckys bad
  marks on a national economic development report
  card . . .Sadder still was that there were so few
  surprises.
• Source Lexington Herald-Leader December 12, 2004

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• We know our education system is not preparing
  our children to succeed in a new, technologically
  based economy.
• Source Lexington Herald-Leader December 12, 2004

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• Entrepreneurial Resurgence Marks Beginning of
  Longer Road toward Job Recovery
• The 18th annual Development Report Card for the
  States (DRC) finds a resurgence in
  entrepreneurial activity within the states.
  However, this resurgence isn't yet mature or
  widespread enough to provide a sufficient number
  of quality jobs to make up for the losses in
  recent years.
• Sourcehttp//drc.cfed.org/

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• The needs of the 21st Century workforce have
  changed significantly.

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1997
1950
Unskilled 15
Skilled 20
Skilled 65
Professional 20
Unskilled 60
Professional 20
ThinkLink
National Summit on 21st Century Skills for 21st
Century Jobs
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• Where does Kentucky stand for meeting the needs
  of the 21st Century workforce?

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• The reality is . . .
• In 1990, we were 49th
• in high school completions and GEDs

ThinkLink
1990 Census, Adults 18-64
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ThinkLink
Adults 18-64, Decennial Census 1990, 2000
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• But we still face great challenges that have
  long-term implications . . .

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CFED Kentucky Rankings 2004

• 42 High School Attainment
• 43 University Research and Development
• 43 SBIC Financing
• 44 Income Distribution
• 44 Per Capita Energy Consumption
• 44 Greenhouse Gas Emissions
• 45 PhD Scientists and Engineers
• 45 Households with Computers
• 45 SBIR Grants
• 46 New Companies
• 46 Basic Educational Skills Proficiency - Math
• 46 College Attainment
• 48 Federal Research and Development

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• What this means in practical, economic terms . . .

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Percentage of Kentucky 18-64 year olds not in
the labor force
65
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14
Less than 9th Grade
High School Graduate
College Graduate
Census 2000
ThinkLink
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• If we were at the national average for
  educational attainment levels, what would it mean
  for the tax revenues on the workers lifetime
  earnings?

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• High School graduates
• Additional 333 million in local tax receipts
• Additional 1.3 Billion in state tax receipts

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• College graduates
• Additional 635 million in local tax revenues
• Additional 2.5 billion in state tax revenues

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International Factors

• The rest of the world is not standing still
• Competition for unskilled labor
• Competition for skilled labor

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Observation 2

• 2. Our success as a state is dependent on how we
  meet this challenge.

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• Making the necessary changes may seem like a
  heavy task . . .

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• The solution is not to focus solely on attracting
  new jobs in the traditional sectors.
• In the 21st century economy, technology and
  earnings are inextricably linked
• Source Carnevale, 2004

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• K-16
• A look at options
• Stay the course
• Change the course

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• Redefining the enemy
• Jim Collins in Good to Great
• We dont have great schools, principally because
  we have good schools.

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• In Kentucky we are firmly on the road
• From Good to . . .
• Gooder

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Observation 3

• 3. There are solutions for Kentuckys current
  position.

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• Refocusing Secondary Work
• Focus on learning not time
• End of Course assessments
• Replacing the PreCollege Curriculum
• Extended Learning Opportunities

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• Build and sustain a strong research and
  development capacity.

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• Create and maintain a thriving entrepreneurial
  climate supported by programs that inspire and
  facilitate the commercialization of ideas.

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• Foster and retain a highly motivated, highly
  educated workforce which can participate in and
  prosper from the commercialization of ideas.

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Observation 4

• 4. We all have a role to play in the resolution
  of this problem.

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• Public advocacy for the commitment to forge ahead
  even in the face of uncomfortable data.
• Commitment to the long-term nature of the
  solutions.

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• A commitment to a P-16 strategy for the State.
• A clear understanding of the consequences of
  failure in the New Economy.

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In the 21st Century, we cannot continue to allow
geography to be the determinant for educational
opportunities for any student in this state.
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Each student must be provided with the
opportunity for learning at the highest possible
levels.
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We are responsible to see that each student
receives the education opportunities best matched
for his/her individual needs . . .
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To thrive in this new world, it will not be
enough indeed, it will be counterproductive
simply to intensify current stimuli, policies,
management strategies and to make incremental
improvements to organizational structures and
curricula. National Innovation Initiative Final
Report
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In the innovation ecosystem, there are three
foundational requirements The quality of the
labor pool The societys capacity to take risks,
especially for long-term investment The
continual creation of an infrastructure that
anticipates future innovation
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Some Essential Questions

• What is our focus for Kentuckys economic
  infrastructure?
• How will we build Kentuckys intellectual
  capital?
• Can we afford to continue optimizing for
  efficiency and quality rather than innovation?

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The future of our citizens and the economic
future of our communities and the State rests on
our success in producing life-long learners,
capable of participating in the
New Economy.
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There ARE alternative ways to think about the
future of education in our Commonwealth. . .
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. . .and we must be about the business of
providing them.
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• For further information, contact
• Tom Welch
• Tom.welch_at_ky.gov Or twelch_at_kde.state.ky.us
• 502.564.4403 x 4300
• 859.576.0878