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New Mexico State University USDA-ERS Cooperative Agreement Research

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2003 Distribution of Imported Mexican Calves (1.2 million animals) ... Millimeters. Cattle Price Ratio, 1994 - 2003. 0.0. 0.5. 1.0. 1.5. 2.0. 2.5. Jan-1994. Jan-1995 ... – PowerPoint PPT presentation

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Title: New Mexico State University USDA-ERS Cooperative Agreement Research


1
New Mexico State University USDA-ERS Cooperative
Agreement Research
  • Rhonda Skaggs, Ph.D.
  • Dept. of Ag Economics Ag Business
  • NMSU
  • Las Cruces, NM

2
History
  • Research since 1999
  • 2 agreements
  • NMSU located in Las Cruces, NM
  • Proximity to Santa Teresa, NM
  • Four masters students supported
  • Diana Lopez Mitchell (MS)
  • René Acuña (MS)
  • Christie Guinn (MAG)
  • Cristina Carmona (MAG)

3
Collaboration with
  • New Mexico Department of Agriculture
  • New Mexico Livestock Board
  • Unión Ganadera Regional de Chihuahua
  • Universidad Autónoma de Chihuahua

4
2003 Distribution of Imported Mexican Calves
(1.2 million animals)
5
1 Econometric Analysis of Cattle Movements
from Mexico to the U.S. (D. Lopez Mitchell)
  • Need for information on annual flow of calves by
    port by month
  • Allocation of inspection services and personnel
  • Budgeting
  • Development of models to explain predict
    Mexican calf imports
  • Precipitation (seasonality)
  • U.S. prices

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Calves Imported at Santa Teresa, NM
  • When the price ratio ?, calf imports ?
  • When rainfall in Chihuahua ?, calf imports ?
  • Model explained 75 of variability

10
Results for Other Ports-of-Entry
  • Eagle Pass, TX 60
  • Del Rio, TX 68
  • Hidalgo, TX 34
  • Laredo, TX 71
  • Presidio, TX 68
  • Columbus, NM 66
  • San Luis, AZ 60
  • Douglas, AZ 63
  • Nogales, AZ 79

11
2 - Identification of Origins Destinations of
Imported Mexican Cattle (R. Acuña)
  • Initiated Spring 2001
  • Interest in livestock traceability
  • Europe, Canada
  • Food Mouth Disease, BSE
  • Data for imported Mexican calves
  • Santa Teresa / San Jerónimo

12
Sources of Data
  • Origins of calves in Mexico
  • Certificado Zoosanitario Unión Ganadera
  • 900 observation The Ins
  • Destinations of calves in the U.S.
  • Unión Ganadera, bills of lading
  • 4,025 observations The Outs
  • New Mexico Livestock Board
  • 2,278 observations Inspection certificates

13
Procedures
  • Create database in MS-Access
  • Convert data files
  • Import data to Arc-View
  • Join data for the imported calves with geographic
    data
  • States, counties, zip codes, municipios
  • Derive sums, maps, tables
  • Tuberculin number is common between New Mexico
    inspection form and Mexican certificado
    zoosanitario

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3 - Overview of North American Cattle Trade (C.
Guinn)
  • North American Beef and Cattle Trade A Current
    Perspective
  • Publication describes status of US-Mexico-Canada
    beef cattle trade
  • NM AES technical report

20
  • Live Cattle Imports by Port of Entry from Mexico
    to the United States Data Models
  • Update Lopez Mitchell work
  • Models explanatory power ?
  • As US-Mexico live cattle price ratio ?, imports ?
  • Rainfall coefficients not different from zero
  • NM AES research report
  • Currently revising existing US livestock sector
    model to better capture Mexican imports

21
Current model revision work
  • Animal products branch quarterly livestock model
  • (R. Stillman)
  • This model treated cattle beef imports as
    exogenous
  • We are trying to endogenize the imports

22
4 The Chihuahua, Mexico Export Cattle Industry
(C. Carmona)
  • Procedures for Exporting Cattle from Chihuahua,
    Mexico to the USA
  • Detailed description of Mexican policy
    environment, regulations current procedures for
    exporting cattle to the US.
  • NM AES technical report

23
Tuberculosis and Brucellosis Test
Certificate of Herd of Origin
Cattle Movement Permit
Exportation to United States
Certificate of Ovariectomy Spaying
Zoosanitary Certificate
24
  • Results of a Survey of Cattle Exporters in
    Chihuahua, Mexico
  • Develop information for the population of cattle
    exporters in Chihuahua, Mexico
  • Provide an overview of how Mexican cattle
    exporters perceive US-Mexico cattle trade
  • Random sample survey
  • Data from 143 cattle exporters
  • Interviews during Summer 2004
  • UACh collaboration

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  • Results of a Survey of Cattle Exporters in
    Chihuahua, Mexico
  • Mean cattle exported 549
  • Exports ranged from lt 50 - 3,000 head
  • Export to US for better prices, ability to sell
    large lots
  • Avg. 18 years of exporting to US
  • 80 have received government subsidies (genetics)

27
Survey of Chihuahua Cattle Exporters
  • Pessimism about Mexican market
  • Predict more US sanitary barriers
  • Reasons for involvement in livestock industry
  • Tradition, culture, lifestyle, social status
  • Enterprise diversification
  • Developing producer/exporter typology
  • W 192

28
Other activities
  • Effect of US brand laws on imports of Mexican
    cattle
  • C. Guinn
  • Development of an improved bill of lading for use
    at NM ports of entry
  • C. Carmona

29
Thank You Gracias!
30
  • Rhonda Skaggs, Ph.D.
  • Professor, Agricultural Experiment Station
  • Dept. of Ag Economics Ag Business
  • Box 30003 MSC 3169
  • New Mexico State University
  • Las Cruces, NM 88003
  • Tel 505-646-1344 or 505-646-2401
  • Fax 505-646-3808
  • Email rskaggs_at_nmsu.edu
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