Title: Please note: this presentation has not received Director
1Please note this presentation has not received
Directors approval and is subject to revision.
2USGS American Alligator and Amphibian Research in
the Everglades
USGS Center for Water and Restoration Studies
3Collaboration
- Co-Pis
- Logistical support
- Students
- Temporary hires
4Do Alligators Need Restoration?
Longer Age to Maturity
Lower Growth Rates
Smaller Clutch Size
Decreased Population Size
Increased Nest Flooding
Skewed Size Distribution
Higher Mercury Levels
Decreased Nest Production
Large Canal Populations
Fewer Alligator Holes
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6Population Models
7Vital Rates/Parameters
- Spatial, temporal, and hydrological gradients.
- Model Parameters.
- Movement/spatial dynamics
- Habitat use
- Thermoregulation
- Condition
- Growth
- Survival
8Telemetry
9Adult home range and movement
10Alligator Habitat Use
11Monitoring
- Across space and time.
- 8 populations in South Florida.
- Parameters
- Population Trends
- Size Distributions
- Condition
- Growth
- Mercury and other contaminants
- Blood characteristics and health
- Food habits
12Body Condition
13Growth
- Collaborators
- Allan Woodward
14Skeletochronology
15Field Activities FY04
- Alligator monitoring program.
- Density, Size distribution, Condition.
- Correction factors.
- Alligator holes.
- Mapping.
- Ecological characterization.
- Juvenile movement.
- GPS telemetry
- Habitat use in Big Cypress
16Models
- Production Index
- M. Palmer, UT
- Stage/Age-based Population Model
- D. Slone, USDA
17ATLSS Alligator Population Model
- Stage/Age Structured Matrix Model
- Runs on PC in Matlab
18User Interface
19Daily water levels (SFWMD and ATLSS)
Yearly nesting submodel (ATLSS API)
20Alligator densities, Calibration data
21Alligator population densities metadata on
condition
22Basic model cycle
Starting alligator densities
Survival and Development
Alligator habitat area
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24Virtual Night-Light Survey Airboat Trails
25Model CalibrationVirtual Night-Light Surveys
Shark Slough
26Model Calibration(Water Conservation Area 2A)
27Alt D13R compared with 1995 Base
28Alt D13R compared with F2050
29Alt D13R compared with 1995 Base in a dry year
30Egg production of Alt D13R compared with 1995
Base in a wet year
31APM FY04
- Continue validation.
- Project modeling.
- New areas/hydrologic models.
- Canal models.
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333 speciesPig frog, Southern Toad, Leopard Frog
34Testing Restoration Hypotheses
B
A
B
A
B
Restoration Target
Current Conditions
In 5 years
E
Monitoring
E
D
C
D
C
D
C
Hypothesis
Restoration Success
Restoration Gain
35Thanks!!