Appendix A

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Appendix A

• Regression of Predictions on Actual Temps Highs

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• x-axis predicted values
• y-axis actual values
• y actual predicted line
• fitted values line linear regression

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Appendix B

• Regression of Predictions on Actual Temps Lows

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• x-axis predicted values
• y-axis actual values
• y actual predicted line
• fitted values line linear regression

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Appendix C

• Regression of Hist. Averages on Actual Temps
  Highs

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• x-axis average values
• y-axis actual values
• y actual average line
• fitted values line linear regression

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Appendix D

• Regression of Hist. Averages on Actual Temps
  Lows

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• x-axis average values
• y-axis actual values
• y actual average line
• fitted values line linear regression

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Appendix E

• Residuals from Regression of Predictions on
  Actual Temps Highs

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• x-axis represents rank order of cities
  organized by temperature
• y-axis residual values from predictions
• Blue dots represent cold states, red dots
  represent hot states
• Graphs are ordered by day

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Appendix F

• Residuals from Regression of Predictions on
  Average Temps Highs

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• x-axis represents rank order of cities
  organized by temperature
• y-axis residual values from averages
• Blue dots represent cold states, red dots
  represent hot states
• Graphs are ordered by day

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