Balancing Aviation Safety

1
Balancing Aviation Safety Security with
Industry Growth The AACO Region Case

• Captain Mohammed Aziz, Ph.D.
• Advisor to Chairman
• Chairman AACO Security WG Safety SC

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Structure of the Presentation

• Industry environment in the AACO region
• Economical challenges
• Safety challenges
• Security challenges
• AACO challenges
• Facing the challenges
• Future outlook

3
The AACO Region
Syria Lebanon Jordan Iraq Kuwait KSA Bahrain Qatar
UAE Oman Yemen
Algeria Tunisia Libya Morocco Egypt Mauritania Sud
an Somalia Djibouti Comoros
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AACO members

• Middle East Airlines
• Trans Mediterranean Airways
• Kuwait Airways
• Saudi Arabian Airlines
• Gulf Air
• Qatar Airways
• Emirates
• Etihad Airways
• Air Arabia
• Oman Air
• Yemenia

• Royal Air Maroc
• Air Algerie
• Tunis Air
• Libyan Airways
• Afriqyah
• Egypt Air
• Sudan Airways
• Palestinian
• Royal Jordanian
• Jordan Aviation
• Syrian Arab Airlines
• Iraqi Airways

5
Catalysts for Growth

• Oil at record prices
• New oil and gas potential
• Evolving infrastructure
• Political stability and governance
• Business tourism growing across the region
• Record investments spurring economies
• Liberalization
• Population growth
• Emerging global hubs

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Industry Growth
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Sample Forecasted growth
Source Dubai DCA
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Regional Economical challenges

• Inconsistent availability of financial and/or
  human resources to the national CAAs in the
  region
• Difficulties to retain adequately qualified and
  experienced personnel within some CAAs
• Transition form a protective regulatory
  environment to a liberal one, at times
  unilaterally
• Transition from state owned and supported
  airlines to market driven privatized ones
• Aviation generated State income is not
  necessarily invested in the industry

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Regional Safety Challenges

• National oversight
• Flag of convenience
• Aging aircraft
• Rapid expansion
• Training challenges
• Regional statistics
• Emergency response
• Safety culture

Source ICAO AIG
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BEA Report on Cotonu Accident

• The investigation demonstrated that the lack of
  regulatory structure and safety oversight in
  certain states does not allow an appropriate
  level of safety for passengers and persons on
  ground
• Those weaknesses are the results of many factors,
  mainly economical considerations and the
  conviction that flight safety rests primarily on
  the decisions taken in real time by the front
  line actors, i.e. the pilot in command

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Impact on industry

• Investigation conclusions supported by ICAO
  Safety Oversight Audit data
• This situation jeopardizes the organization of
  international civil aviation, founded on trust
  and mutual acceptance of licenses and agreements
• Many CAA are establishing Black Lists of
  carriers and countries
• The unhealthy risk of seeing double or multiple
  standards in the industry is growing and
  threatening to disturb the air transport system
  and the economies of many States and regions

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Regional Security Challenges

• Unresolved Arab-Israel conflict inflames
  regional tensions threats
• Islamic radical militant groups threatens safety
  and security globally
• Iraq, Afghanistan Pakistan instability and
  insurgency active anti-government insurgencies
  considered a threat to regional security

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Regional Security Challenges

• Iranian nuclear and political ambitions
  potential threats of actions and counter-actions
• Rising insurgencies in central and sub-Saharan
  Africa Chad, DRC, Niger, Nigeria, Somalia
  Sudan, ongoing instability. Generally, endemic
  poverty, crime corruption, refugees, militancy
  and separatist insurgencies oil gas
• Different national requirements LAG,
  No-Fly-List / PPP, etc

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• 6 fatal accidents in 2004 with 209 deaths

AACO Members
Zero Fatality
2 SD
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AACO Challenges

• Impact of regional safety statistics
• Liberalization policies aiming at enhancing the
  air traffic industry without proper oversight
• Transition from government ownership to
  privatization
• Competing with big alliances and charter
  companies while maintaining the highest
  operational safety standards, efficiency and
  sustainable growth
• Promote safety and security culture at regional
  level
• Design and maintain contingency plans to face
  threats and manage the associated risks

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AACO Leadership

• AACO Safety Audit guidelines produced in 1995 and
  revised in 2001 by Safety SC members and
  Secretariat
• Support the SMS and SEMS concept
• Joint approach to AOs for IOSA and full support
  for the program
• Lobbying with ACAC and succeeding in making IOSA
  as an oversight tool
• Support for Authorities through scholarships by
  AACO TC and technical assistance from members
• ERP Task Force with a view for mutual assistance
  in cases of emergency

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AACO support activities

• Participation in international and regional
  initiatives, seminars and working groups
• Training through ATC Amman and in-house
• Annual Technical Forum
• Full support for ICAO and IATA safety and
  security assistance programs
• Full support for ICAO and IATA safety and
  security oversight programs
• Security WG lobbying for standardized security
  regulations

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Future Outlook

• Maintain a safe, secure and sustainable growth,
  through regional and international cooperation
• Members unconditional support for all ICAO, IATA
  and FSF initiatives aiming at making our skies
  safer
• A call to standardize the protocols for the PPP
• Spiral growth through proper and efficient
  planning, training, quality performance and
  oversight
• On-going commitment to our customers for their
  continuous support and deserved trust
• Advance the region economy through the industry
  by creating new opportunities

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AACO belief

• Our regional activities contribute to enhance
• Global civil aviation safety
• Global civil aviation security
• Global economy and commerce
• The efficiency of aviation operations
• The continuity of the aviation industry
• The customers opportunities to communicate and
  interact safely, securely, comfortably and
  efficiently at a global level

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Thank you!