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ECONOMICS

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Title: ECONOMICS


1
ECONOMICS
  • School of Business and Economics
  • University of Jyväskylä
  • Finland

2
I An introduction to research in economics in
Jyväskylä
3
Index
  • Introduction
  • Applied research on regional labour markets
  • Applied research on financial markets
  • 1. Staff and orientation in research
  • 2. Publishing
  • 3. Doctoral training
  • 4. Research collaboration
  • 5. Societal influence

4
1. Staff and orientation in research Staff
  • 4 professors
  • Jaakko Pehkonen empirical labour economics
  • Hannu Tervo empirical regional economics
  • Markku Lanne empirical financial economics
  • on leave 2005-06, Ari Hyytinen deputizing for
  • Kari Heimonen (fixed term) empirical
    international and financial economics
  • Other staff
  • Esa Mangeloja, Ph.D., lecturer empirical
    economics
  • Mika Haapanen, Ph.D., senior assistant
    empirical labour economics
  • Juhani Raatikainen, senior assistant empirical
    financial economics
  • Tuomo Nenonen, Ph.D., lecturer empirical
    regional economics
  • Jani Luoto, university lecturer empirical macro
    economics
  • Jutta Moisala, assistant empirical labour
    economics
  • on leave, Riikka Penttinen deputizing for
    empirical regional economics
  • Jari Ritsilä, leading researcher (Expert
    services) empirical regional economics

5
Staff and .Orientation in research
  • Applied research
  • Two main fields
  • Labour and regional economics
  • Regional labour markets
  • Financial economics

6
2. Publishing
  • Number of WP-publications in 2000-2004 is 55 (see
    the attached list)
  • Refereed articles in 2004-2005
  • Hynninen, S. (2005) Matching across space
    Evidence from Finland, Labour Review of Labour
    Economics and Industrial Relations, 19 (4)
    (Forthcoming).
  • Hynninen, S. (2005) Labour market status of job
    seekers in regional matching processes, 45th
    Congress of the European Regional Science
    Association, Amsterdam. Paper presented in
    R-sessions (refereed-paper sessions), CD-ROM.
  • Hyytinen A. Ilmakunnas, P. Entrepreneurial
    aspirations Another form of job search, Small
    Business Economics, forthcoming.
  • Hyytinen A. Takalo, T. Corporate law and small
    business finance Mandatory v. enabling rules,
    European Business Organization Law Review,
    forthcoming.
  • Kangasharju, A., Pehkonen, J. Pekkala, S.
    (2005) Returns to scale in a matching model,
    Applied Economics 37 115-118.
  • Pehkonen, J., Kangasharju, A. Pekkala, S.
    (2004) Matches, on-the-job search and temporal
    aggregation evidence from the Finnish panel
    data, the 16th Annual EALE Conference, Lissabon,,
    congress CD-ROM.
  • Koskinen, H. (2004), Modelling of structural
    changes in demand for money cointegration
    relations, Finnish Economic Papers 17 63-72.
  • Lahtonen, J. (2004) Open vacancies and
    educational level of job seekers in Finland, The
    16th Annual EALE Conference, Lissabon, congress
    CD-ROM.
  • Lanne, M., Liski, M. (2004) Trends and Breaks in
    Per-Capita Carbon Dioxide Emissions, 1870 2028,
    Energy Journal 25 41-65.

7
2. Publishing
  • Number of WP-publications in 2000-2004 is 55 (see
    the attached list)
  • Refereed articles in 2004-2005
  • Mukkala, K. (2004) Agglomeration economies in the
    Finnish manufacturing sector. Applied Economics,
    36 2419-2427.
  • Niittykangas, H., Tervo, H. (2005) Spatial
    variations in intergenerational transmission of
    self-employment, Regional Studies (2005) 319-332
  • Ollikainen, V. (2005) Gender differences in
    transitions from unemployment Micro evidence
    from Finland, Labour Review of Labour Economics
    and Industrial Relations
  • Tervo, H. (2005) Regional population development
    in Finland an economic perspective,
    Abwanderung, Geburtenrückgang und regionale
    Entwicklung, (ed.) Christiane Dienel
    (forthcoming).
  • Tervo, H. (2004) Self-employment dynamics in
    rural and urban labour markets, Regional Science
    Association International European Regional
    Science Association 44th European Congress,
    Porto. Paper presented in R-sessions
    (refereed-paper sessions), CD-ROM.
  • Tervo, H. (2005)Regional policy lessons from
    Finland, Berlin Springer-Verlag. Regional
    disparities in small countries / (eds.) D.
    Felsenstein, B.A. Portnov , 2005, 267-282.
  • Tervo H. (2005) Regional unemployment,
    self-employment and family background. Applied
    Economics (forthcoming)
  • Heimonen, K. (2005) Time-varying fundamentals of
    the euro-dollar exchange rate, International
    Economic Journal, (forthcoming).
  • Heimonen, K. (2005) Nonlinear adjustment in PPP
    Evidence from threshold cointegration, Empirical
    Economics, (forthcoming)
  • Tohmo, T. (2004) New Developments in the Use of
    Location Quotients to Estimate Regional
    Input-Output Coefficients and Multipliers.
    Regional Studies, 38, 1 43-54.

8
3. Doctoral training Ph.D. students
  • Research training is organized by the Graduate
    School of the School of Business and Economics
    and through the national program FDPE (KAVA)
  • The number of active Ph.D. students has strongly
    increased, being now 18
  • Funding 80 external (Academy of Finland, Yrjö
    Jahnsson Foundation, KKsäätiö)
  • New competent doctoral students are actively
    recruited and financing for them is sought for
  • 15 PhDs since 1990. Most of the PhDs work in
    various research institutes (e.g. Government
    Research Institute, Labour Research Institute,
    Bank of Finland, Ministry of Finance) or in
    Academia (Universities in Jyväskylä, Joensuu,
    Kuopio and Turku)

9
Doctoral training Ph.D. students
  • Doctoral degrees in 2000-04
  • Sari Pekkala, Regional Convergence and Migration
    in Finland 1960-95
  • Jari Ritsilä, Studies on the Spatial
    Concentration of Human Capital
  • Antti Moisio, Essays on Finnish Municipal
    Finance and Intergovernmental Grants
  • Mika Haapanen, Studies on the Determinants of
    Migration and the Spatial Concentration of
    Labour
  • Esa Mangeloja, Nordic Stock Market Integration
  • Doctoral degrees in 2005
  • Sami Yläoutinen, Development and Functioning of
    Fiscal Frameworks in the Central and Eastern
    European Countries
  • In progress (pending for oral examination)
  • Virve Ollikainen, financing from the FDPE,
    Gender Differences in Unemployment in Finland
  • Jukka Lahtonen, Academy of Finland, Matching
    Heterogeneous Job-seekers and Vacancies
  • Hannu Koskinen, financing from the University
    Studies on Demand for Money, Inflation and
    Labour Market Dynamics in Some EU Countries

10
DOCTORAL TRAINING
  • Finnish Doctoral Program in Economics
  • (FDPE)
  • Courses
  • Seminars
  • Workshops
  • National and international collaboration

  • Graduate School of the
  • School of Business and
  • Economics
  • Recruiting students
  • Support for funding arrangements
  • Thesis supervision
  • Complementary courses
  • Support for interdisciplinary work
  • Seminars in fields of expertise

  • Finnish Doctoral Program in Business Studies
  • (KATAJA)
  • Courses
  • Seminars
  • Tutorials
  • Workshops
  • National and international collaboration

11
4. Research collaboration (1) FDPE
  • Research collaboration with the Finnish Doctoral
    Programme in Economics (FDPE)
  • Economics faculty
  • Members of FDPE-board and FDPE-steering committee
    (previously)
  • Coordinators of research workshops in
  • Econometrics and computational economics
  • Macroeconomics and political economy
  • Labour economics (previously)
  • Applied econometrics (previously)
  • Expert advisors of research workshops in
  • Econometrics and computational economics
  • Capital markets and financial economics
  • Labour economics
  • Ph.D. students
  • Hold (and have held) FDPE-fellowships
  • Active participation in FDPE -research workshops

12
Research collaboration (2) organization of
congresses
  • Economics is an active unit in organizing
    congresses and seminars
  • Since 1983, the unit has organized the Annual
    Summer Seminar for Economic Researchers
  • 81 presentations and 165 participants in 2005
  • In 2001, the SBE in co-operation with the EALE
    Secretariat organized the 13th annual conference
    of European Association of Labour Economists
  • 300 participants, most of them international
  • In 2003, the SBE organized the 43rd Congress of
    the European Regional Science Association
  • 500 participants, over 400 of them international
  • The congress was highly praised a congress of
    innovations the most successful ERSA congress
    so far ... (see the attachment)

13
Research collaboration (3) joint projects (int.)
  • Markku Lanne Helmut Lütkepohl (European
    University Institute)
  • Sari Pekkala Robert E.B. Lucas (Boston
    University)
  • Jaakko Pehkonen Klas Fregert (Lund University)
  • Esa Mangeloja Tomi Ovaska (University of
    Regina)
  • Timo Tohmo Anthony Flegg and Don Webber
    (University of the West-England)
  • Ari Hyytinen Sofia Lundberg (Umeå University)
    ( Otto Toivanen (Hecer))
  • Participation in international book projects

14
Research collaboration (4) joint projects (nat.)
  • Markku Lanne Pentti Saikkonen (HY) (Financial
    Return Volatility)
  • Jaakko Pehkonen Aki Kangasharju Sari Pekkala
    (Government Institute of Economic Research) (Job
    Matching)
  • Kari Heimonen Juuso Vataja (University of
    Vaasa) (Exchange Rate and Equity Markets)
  • Hannu Tervo Statistics Finland (Regional
    Input-Output project)
  • Ari Hyytinen Tuomas Takalo (Bank of Finland)
    (Law and Finance -project)

15
Research collaboration (5) interdisciplinary c-o
within JYU
  • Our Annual Summer Seminar gathers researchers
    from many disciplines (history, social sciences,
    politics, education, business economics)
  • Joint projects with
  • Department of Economic History (Jaakko Pehkonen
    Jari Ojala)
  • Department of Social Sciences (Hannu Tervo
    Jouko Nätti)
  • Statistics, University of Tampere (Jani Luoto
    Jan-Erik Antipin)
  • Entrepreneurship (Hannu Tervo Hannu
    Niittykangas)
  • Marketing (Kari Heimonen Outi Uusitalo)

16
Research collaboration (6) refereeing, editorial
activity
  • Refereeing activity (selected)
  • Australian Journal of Labour Economics, Applied
    Economics, Contemporary Economic Policy, Economic
    Journal, Empirical Economics, European Economic
    Review, European Journal of Spatial Planning,
    European Accounting Review, Finnish Economic
    Papers, Finnish Journal of Business Economics,
    International Regional Science Review,
    International Tax and Public Finance, Journal of
    Economic Behaviour and Organization, Journal of
    Economic Studies, Journal of Macroeconomics,
    Journal of Comparative Economics, Journal of
    Industrial Economics, Labour Economics, Oxford
    Economic Papers, Papers in Regional Science,
    Review of Labour Economics and Industrial
    Relations, Regional Studies, Scandinavian Journal
    of Economics, Journal of Business, Journal of
    International Financial Markets, Institutions and
    Money
  • Editorial activity
  • Finnish Economic Journal (Kansantaloudellinen
    aikakauskirja)
  • Finnish Economic Papers

17
5. Societal influence Policy-making
  • The expertise of the staff has been materialized
  • in a number of research projects that have
    provided funding for PhD students,
  • in a number of publications of a good
    international level as well as
  • in policy oriented research for the purpose of
    regional and national level decision-making
  • The expertise and research of the staff has also
    been utilized in various policy projects both at
    regional and national level (selected)
  • Governments Employment Committee, 2003
  • Prime Minister Offices Economic Council
    Working Group Report on Regional development and
    regional policy in Finland 2001
  • Economic Council, Ministry of Finance, member
    2003-2006
  • Scientific Council, Statistics Finland, member
    2004-2005
  • Regional Council of Central Finland
  • Regional Champers of Commerce

18
Societal influence Participation in Public
Discussion
  • Active participation in public (policy)
    discussion
  • Writings in periodicals, magazines and newspapers
  • c. 60 columns in newspapers
  • List (selected)
  • Keskisuomalainen (major regional news paper)
  • Helsingin Sanomat (major national news paper)
  • Suomen Kuvalehti (major Finnish magazine)
  • Dissemination of scientific knowledge
  • Active participation in panels, seminars and
    other social occasions
  • Both nationally and regionally
  • Awards Schild Award, Eero Fredrikson Award,
    Award for promoting the dissemination of
    scientific knowledge

19
Societal influence Expert services
  • Evaluation of the Effectiveness and Functioning
    of the Aid Scheme under the Aid to Business Act
    (Ministry of Trade and Industry)
  • Evaluation of the Structural Fund Activities in
    the Administrative Sector of Ministry of Trade
    and Industry (Ministry of Trade and Industry)
  • Evaluation of developing regional competence and
    regional effects of projects under to European
    Social Fund (Ministry of Education)
  • General Framework for Long-Term Social Impact
    Evaluation of the Employment Strategy (Ministry
    of Labour)
  • Supporting the Contribution of Higher Education
    Institutions to Regional Development (OECD)
  • Innovation Strategies, Local Operational
    Environments and Interaction Networks of Small
    and Medium Sized Enterprises (Ministry of
    Agriculture and Forestry)
  • Evaluation of Jyväskylä Science Park (JSP Oy)
  • Midterm Evaluation of Objective 2 programme of
    Western Finland (Ministry of Interior)
  • Evaluation of the Horizontal themes of
    Anticipation and Sustainable Development in the
    Context of European Social Fund (Ministry of
    Labour)

20
II Applied research on regional labour markets
21
Applied research on regional labour markets
  • University of Jyväskylä is well-known about its
    applied research on regional labour markets
  • Empirical research on regions and labour markets
    has a long tradition in the University of
    Jyväskylä
  • This research is directed at the analysis of
    functioning, development, interrelationships and
    policies of regional economies and labour
    markets, the main focus being in regional labour
    markets
  • Advanced econometric methods and both macro and
    micro data are utilized
  • Longitudinal micro data sets have become more and
    more important

22
Researchers
  • Research leaders are Professors Jaakko Pehkonen
    and Hannu Tervo
  • Multilayered research cooperation
  • Senior researchers ? post doc-researchers
  • ? Ph.D. students ? master theses
  • National and international networks

23
Doctoral students
  • Jukka Haukka, researcher in Expert services,
    Evaluation of regional economic processes and
    policies in the assisted areas
  • Tatu Hirvonen, financing from the University,
    Economics of growth and happiness
  • Sanna-Mari Hynninen, Academy of Finland,
    Matching of job seekers and vacant jobs in
    regional labour markets
  • Signe Jauhiainen, Yrjö Jahnsson Foundation,
    Regional concentration of human capital
  • Jouni Kaipainen, Chydenius-institute, Economic
    value of the countryside
  • Kirsi Mukkala, researcher in Expert services,
    Regional concentration and knowledge spillovers
  • Jutta Moisala, assistant (at present researcher
    in the Labour Institute for Economic Research),
    Wages and economic adjustment
  • Satu Nivalainen, Academy of Finland, Labour
    mobility and families in Finland
  • Riikka Penttinen, assistant, Cultural activities
    in regional development
  • Timo Tohmo, financing from the University,
    Studies on the regional development and
    production structure in Finland
  • Anu Tokila, Yrjö Jahnsson Foundation,
    Entrepreneurship, self-employment and public
    interventions

24
Achievements
  • Research results have been presented in various
    scientific congresses around the world and
    published in many edited books as well as in
    high-level journals such as
  • Scandinavian Journal of Economics, European
    Economic Review, Labour, Applied Economics,
    Regional Studies, Papers in Regional Science,
    Small Business Economics, International Review of
    Regional Studies, Applied Economics Letters,
    Finnish Economic Papers, Oxford Bulletin of
    Economics and Statistics
  • Organized international congresses EALE 2001,
    ERSA 2003
  • Dissertations
  • Prizes
  • The Epainos Prize for the best paper presented at
    the ERSA meetings by a young regional scientist
    has been awarded three times for a Ph.D. student
    from Jyväskylä (Aki Kangasharju 1998, Sari
    Pekkala 2000 and Mika Haapanen 2001)
  • The OKO Foundation has rewarded Kari Hämäläinen
    from the best licentiate work
  • The Yrjö Jahnsson Foundation and other
    foundations have rewarded numerous students from
    Jyväskylä for their master theses
  • Societal activity
  • Policy projects
  • Writings and columns in periodicals, magazines
    and newspapers

25
Research projects funding
  • Academy of Finland 5 projects in 2002 - 2007
  • (total of about 1 million euro)
  • Foundations about 20 research grants in 2000 -
    2005 (totalling about 0.4 million euro)

26
Research projects list of projects
  • Externalities, Education, and Job Competition
    Matching in the Finnish Labour Market
  • Labour Market Flows, Mismatch and Structural
    Unemployment in Finland
  • Labour Market Flows in Finland in the 1990s and
    2000s
  • Migration, Labour Market Adjustment and
    Convergence
  • Human Capital, Agglomeration Economies and
    Regional Concentration
  • Who Becomes an Entrepreneur - When and Why? Who
    Survives?
  • Projects of Expert services

27
Externalities, Education, and Job Competition
Matching in the Finnish Labour Market
  • The project is funded by the Academy of Finland
    for the period of 2005-2007
  • Jaakko Pehkonen with Hannu Tervo with researchers
    Sanna-Mari Hynninen and Jukka Lahtonen. The
    research team also includes Dr. Aki Kangasharju
    (VATT)
  • The project examines questions related to job
    matching in Finnish labour markets. The research
    focuses on spatial and temporal aggregation in
    the matching function as well as efficiency of
    matching across labour offices.
  • Results so far
  • Lahtonens PhD under review
  • 2 refereed articles, 3 under review, 3 conference
    papers (ERSA, EALE)

28
Labour Market Flows, Mismatch and Structural
Unemployment in Finland
  • The project was funded by the Academy of Finland
    for the period 2003-2004
  • Jaakko Pehkonen and Hannu Tervo with a research
    group (Dr. Aki Kangasharju (VATT), Dr. Kari
    Hämäläinen (VATT), Mika Haapanen, Hannu Koskinen
    and Virve Ollikainen)
  • The main questions related to the questions of
    regional mobility, gender differences and youth
    labour markets
  • The project was successful
  • 1 doctoral dissertations (Haapanen), one PhD
    under review (Ollikainen), 1 licentiate thesis
    (Koskinen)
  • 4 articles in refereed international journals and
    several conference papers
  • Several articles and writings in Finnish journals
    and periodicals

29
Labour Market Flows in Finland in the 1990s and
2000s
  • The project was conducted during the period of
    2002-2003
  • Jaakko Pehkonen and Hannu Tervo together with
    researchers Virve Ollikainen, Mika Haapanen, and
    Ulla Hämäläinen (Labour Institute for Economic
    Research)
  • The main questions related to the questions of
    regional mobility, gender differences in
    unemployment and youth labour markets
  • The project was successful
  • 1 licentiate thesis (Haapanen) and several master
    theses
  • 2 articles in refereed international journals
  • 4 articles in compiled books and several articles
    and writings in Finnish journals and periodicals

30
Migration, Labour Market Adjustment and
Convergence
  • The project started already in 1998 and was
    funded by the Academy of Finland with 3 different
    financial decisions
  • Hannu Tervo together with Jaakko Pehkonen and the
    research team Jari Ritsilä, Sari Pekkala, Satu
    Nivalainen and Merja Kauhanen (post-doc
    researcher)
  • The main questions related to the questions how
    regional mobility affects economic growth and
    regional development, and how regional income
    differences have developed
  • The project was very successful
  • 2 doctoral dissertations (Ritsilä and Pekkala), 2
    licentiate theses and several master theses
  • 15 articles in refereed international journals
  • 4 articles in compiled books and several articles
    and writings in Finnish journals and periodicals

31
Human Capital, Agglomeration Economies and
Regional Concentration
  • The project is funded by the Academy of Finland
    during the period of 2003-2006
  • Hannu Tervo together with Jaakko Pehkonen and
    Jari Ritsilä
  • The project has employed several post graduate
    students Kirsi Mukkala, Signe Jauhiainen, Timo
    Tohmo, Jukka Haukka, Anu Tokila and Satu
    Nivalainen
  • The main objectives
  • Impacts of geographical concentration and human
    capital on regional economic growth
  • Knowledge spill-overs and the high-tech sector in
    regional growth
  • Education and human capital accumulation in
    regional growth
  • The publications of the project so far consist of
  • 3 articles in refereed journals and books
  • 3 articles in referee process
  • 3 articles in congress cd-roms
  • 1 article in a Finnish journal
  • 5 working papers

32
Who Becomes an Entrepreneur - When and Why? Who
Survives?
  • A microeconometric study of self-employment and
    entrepreneurship in Finland in 1987-2002
  • The project has started in 2003 and funding has
    now been applied from the Academy of Finland
    (LIIKE2)
  • Hannu Tervo together with Jari Ritsilä, Jaakko
    Pehkonen, Hannu Niittykangas (professor in
    entrepreneurship), Jouko Nätti (academy research
    fellow, department of social sciences), Mika
    Haapanen (senior assistant) and Anu Tokila, (Ph.
    D. student)
  • The main aim is to analyze entries into and exits
    out of self-employment as well as dynamics and
    duration of self-employment periods
  • Special interest will be directed at
    self-employment of students and young workers,
    knowledge-based and high-potential
    entrepreneurship and regional differences in
    self-employment
  • The project has produced 4 papers so far (2 in
    refereed journals)

33
III Applied research on financial markets
34
Overview
  • Relatively recent initiative
  • Type of work that is being done
  • Mostly applied empirical / econometric work
  • Past and on-going research
  • Econometric modeling of financial data
  • Applications to asset pricing and risk management
  • International finance and macro
  • Empirical corporate finance

35
Researchers
  • Research leaders
  • Professor Markku Lanne
  • Currently on leave (Jean Monnet Fellow at the
    European University Institute Florence)
  • Focus on econometric modeling of financial time
    series
  • On-going work on GARCH models, models for
    realized volatility, range-based volatility
    measures, etc.
  • Dr., docent Ari Hyytinen deputizes Sept. 2005 ?
  • Professor (fixed term) Kari Heimonen
  • Focus on empirical studies on international
    finance, especially on exchange rates and
    currency substitution
  • On-going work on exchange rates and equity flows
  • Other researchers
  • Ph.D., senior lecturer Esa Mangeloja
  • Focus on portfolio investments in a global world
  • Senior assistant Juhani Raatikainen
  • Focus on modelling FX and stock index returns by
    linear and non-linear models
  • 6 doctoral students

36
Doctoral students
  • Tuuli Koivu, Bank of Finland, Financial Markets
    in Transition Economies (International Finance
    and Macro)
  • Hannu Koskinen, financing from the University
    Studies on Demand for Money, Inflation and
    Labour Market Dynamics in Some EU Countries
    (International Finance and Macro)
  • Helinä Laakkonen, financing from the FDPE,
    Exchange Role Volatility and the Role of New
    Information (Modeling Financial Data /
    International Finance and Macro)
  • Jani Luoto, assistant, Prices and Long-run
    Growth Bayesian Approach (International
    Finance and Macro)
  • Juhani Raatikainen, senior assistant, Modelling
    Financial Time Series with Non-linear Models A
    Forecasting Comparison (Modeling Financial Data)
  • Sami Yläoutinen, Ministry of Finance,
    Development and Functioning of Fiscal Frameworks
    in the Central and Eastern European Countries
    (International Finance and Macro, thesis was
    defended in October 27, 2005)

37
Research projects
  • Examples of past and on-going work
  • Modeling Financial Data
  • Modeling and forecasting realized and range-based
    volatility
  • GARCH models for financial return volatility
  • The trading dynamics of a stock listed on
    multiple exchanges
  • Effect of transaction costs on exchange rate
    volatility
  • Identification of shocks in vector autoregressive
    models
  • International Finance and Macro
  • The Euro-Dollar Exchange Rate and Equity Flows
  • The Euro and the Dollar Role of Currency
    Substitution and Equity Markets
  • Equity markets and the real euro-dollar exchange
    rate
  • Empirical Corporate Finance
  • Capital market imperfections and availability of
    capital to small businesses
  • The effects of legal system on SME finance

38
Modeling Financial Data
  • Professor Markku Lanne, Modeling and forecasting
    realized and range-based volatility
  • The study compare forecasts produced by the
    long-memory linear models and short-memory
    nonlinear models
  • Extentions of the short-memory multiplicative
    error model of Engle (2002)
  • Model estimated for the logarithm of realized
    volatily as in Andersen et al. (2003)
  • The nonlinear short-memory model is likely to
    produce more accurate forecasts

39
Modeling Financial Data
  • Professor Markku Lanne,
  • GARCH models for financial return volatility
  • 1. GARCH-in-Mean models and asset pricing
  • Applies the GARCH-in-Mean model in testing the
    ICAPM
  • Finds support for the ICAPM theory as well as the
    presence of conditional skewness in postwar U.S.
    excess stock returns

40
Modeling Financial Data
  • Professor Markku Lanne,
  • GARCH models for financial return volatility
  • 2. Mixture CARCH Models
  • Formulates GARCH Models to incorporate
    heterogeneity due to agents different investment
    horizons and the uncertainty of the state of the
    economy
  • The mixture GARCH Model should be capable of
    explaining the long memory in financial market
    volatility and have a relative computational
    simplicity

41
Modeling Financial Data
  • Professor Markku Lanne,
  • GARCH models for financial return volatility
  • 3. Multivariate factor GARCH Models
  • Introduces a new kind of multivariate GARCH Model
    which impose a factor structure that both reduces
    the number of parameters and allows easier
    interpretation of in economic terms
  • Could be used in large system in empirical
    finance

42
Modeling Financial Data
  • Professor Markku Lanne, The trading dynamics of
    a stock listed on multiple exchanges
  • Uses Autoregressive Conditional Duration (ACD) of
    Engle and Russel (1998) to examine the effects of
    trading volume on the time between consecutive
    price changes both in the domestic and the
    foreign markets
  • Professor Markku Lanne, The trading dynamics of
    a stock listed on multiple exchanges
  • Informed investors in Nokia mainly trade in the
    US market whereas Helsinki is the more
    liquidity-oriented trading place

43
Modeling Financial Data
  • Professor Markku Lanne, Effect of transaction
    costs on exchange rate volatility
  • Examines the effects of transaction costs on
    financial market volatility using daily
    intradaily foreign exchange data
  • (i) Whether an increase in transaction costs
    stabilize markets
  • (ii) What factors drive the relationship
    between transaction costs and foreign exchange
    volatility

44
Modeling Financial Data
  • Professor Markku Lanne, Identification of shocks
    in vector autoregressive models
  • Research project with Helmuth Luthkepohl (EUI)
  • Search for the general conditions required for
    identification of stationary VAR models and
    nonstationary cointegrated vector error
    correction models (VECM)
  • Comparison of results with the traditional
    identification schemes

45
International Finance and Macro
  • Professor Kari Heimonen (fixed term)
  • Work concentrates on empirical international
    finance and macro
  • Currency substitution
  • Determination of exchange rates
  • Monetary policy in open economy

46
International Finance and Macro
  • Professor Kari Heimonen, The Euro-Dollar
    Exchange Rate and Equity Flows
  • Examines the impacts of the equity flows between
    the EMU and the US on the Euro-Dollar exchange
    rate
  • Changes in equity returns cause reallocation of
    equity portfolio. An increase in the value of EMU
    equity portfolio implies equity flows into the US
  • Portfolio reallocation implies order-flow in
    foreign exchange markets, which has an impact on
    exchange rate
  • An increase in equity returns in the EMU area
    causes an equity flow into the US, which
    devaluates the euro against the US dollar

47
International Finance and Macro
  • Professor Kari Heimonen, The Euro and the
    Dollar Role of Currency Substitution and Equity
    Markets
  • Examines the economic interdependency between the
    US and the EMU in terms of currency substitution
    and equity flows
  • The spill-over effects were prevalent although
    the impacts from the US on EMU were stronger than
    from the EMU to the US

48
International Finance and Macro
  • Professor Kari Heimonen, Equity markets and the
    real euro-dollar exchange rate
  • Research project with Juuso Vataja (University of
    Vaasa)
  • Incorporates equity markets in modeling the
    dynamics of the real euro-dollar exchange rate
  • Tests whether the equity markets could partly
    explain the recent dynamics in the real
    euro-dollar exchange rate

49
Empirical Corporate Finance
  • Empirical work on capital market imperfections
    and availability of capital to small businesses
  • Examples of recent work
  • Hyytinen, A. and Väänänen, L., Where do financial
    constraints come from? An empirical analysis of
    adverse selection and moral hazard in capital
    markets, Small Business Economics, forthcoming.
  • Hyytinen, A. and Toivanen, O., Do financial
    constraints hold back innovation and growth?
    Evidence on the role of public policy, Research
    Policy, forthcoming.
  • The effects of legal system on SME finance
  • Examples of recent/on-going work
  • Hyytinen, A. and Väänänen, L., Mandatory auditor
    choice and small firm finance Evidence from
    Finland
  • Hyytinen, A. and Takalo, T., Corporate law and
    small business finance Mandatory v. enabling
    rules, European Business Organization Law Review,
    2005, Vol. 6, Issue 3, pp. 449-466.
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