PaxtonTBW Products and Services

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Paxton/TBW Products and Services
04/15/04
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Last 6 months... (twang)

• My linux laptop died...
• The boss left...
• And the work has been piling up...

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Last 6 months... (twang)

• My laptop died...
• The boss left...
• And the work has been piling up...
• I did get a new car

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SR Formatter Team

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SR Formatter Team
A talented group...
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SR Formatter Team
A talented group...
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SR Formatter Team
Paul Kirkwood SRH Dissemination
Charlie Paxton Tampa SRF, MVF, Hazards
Steve Nelson Norman ZFP, Hazards Jamie
Frederick Tulsa NOW, TAF Scott
Plischke Amarillo XNOW, Hazards Matt
Foster Shreveport FWF Table, FWM Clay
Anderson San Antonio CCF, PFM, AFM and SFT.
Brian Curran Midland ZFP, AFD, SAF Ed
Tirado San Juan CWF Ken
Drozd Albuquerque FWF Narrative
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Recent Changes toCWF

• Improved wind trending
• More local effects
• Chop phrase works from seperate edit area

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GFE SURVEYCWF

• Charlie the cat

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GFE SURVEYCWF

• What problems are you having?

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GFE SURVEYSRF

• Who is issuing SRF?

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GFE SURVEYSRF

• Who is issuing SRF from GFE formatter?

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GFE SURVEYSRF

• Tabular
• Weather/Sky
• Winds
• Surf
• Swell
• Rip Currents
• Tides

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Survey Schedules

• Who is on the A, I, R Shifts?

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TBW Schedules

• Y, G, P
• Long term/Aviation
• Short Term/Products
• P shift checks products in que

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• TBW Methodology

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• TBW Methodology
• Add scratch/model grids for day 7
• Edit four key fields in ISC
• Collaborate
• Wx, T, Td, Wind
• Initiate procedures that call SmartTools
• Check/final edits

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Smart Tools

• Radiation/Sea Fog
• Severe Weather
• Lightning gt wx, sky, pop, lal, qpf
• Surge Coastal Flood

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Analysis for Severe Weather Prediction

• TORNADO!

Tornado Warning
Gulf of Mexico
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Composite Chart

• Fundamental Step in Severe Weather Recognition

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Producing a Composite

• Sounding parameters for
• Various seasons
• Severe Weather Types
• Determine thresholds for
• Low
• Moderate
• High

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Checklist and Thresholds
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Tailor the Tool!
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Value Max Near CAPE Max
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Build a better mouse trap...
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Localized Surge Forecasting

• Chronic Coastal Flooding

• Cronic Coastal Flooding

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Localized Surge Forecasting Flash Surge!
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Coastal Flood Smart Tool

• Developed from coastal flood climatology
• Forecaster can quickly adjust to fit scenario
• Longer term predictions - may be model based
• Short term predictions - satellite, radar, buoy
  based
• Topo based calculations show inundation of water
  over land

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Using ClimatologyGrids

• This hourly lightning climatology becomes a basis
  for summer storm predictions.

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Using ClimatologyGrids

• This is better than any current model!
• This will help us provide more detail!

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GFE Marine Products

• TBW Test Site for Marine Only NWR
• GFE Text products with greater temporal detail

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Fire Weather

• Wildfire threat

Mixing Height

• mixed layer (variable)

• Stability

• Surface and Average RH

• Surface and average wind

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Cool Down
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The End!
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04/15/04
Paxton/TBW Products and Services
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Future GFE Products

• TBW Test Site for Marine Only NWR
• Detailed near shore forecasts and location
  specific forecasts (harbor entrances)

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Extended Capabilities...
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Coming Soon

• TBW Test Site for Marine Only NWR
• GFE Text products with greater temporal detail

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Future GFE Products

• Graphical Warnings

Tornado Warning
Tampa Bay
Gulf of Mexico
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Future GFE Products

• GIS and Image backgrounds showing streets,
  houses, etc.

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Graphical AnalysisSevere Predictors
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Future GFE Products
2nd Anniversary!

• Graphical Warnings

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Graphical Forecast Editor Extended Capabilities
Charlie Paxton National Weather Service Tampa Bay
Area - Ruskin, FL
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GFE
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Using LightningClimatologyGrids
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Using ClimatologyGrids

• This is better than any current model!
• This will help us provide more detail!