Title: SUMMARY OF THEORETICAL IMPLICATIONS steady state
1SUMMARY OF THEORETICAL IMPLICATIONS steady
state
2SUMMARY OF THEORETICAL IMPLICATIONS
- When there are a
two-way causality between E and H, and time
preferences affect the two stocks in the same
direction - So what?
3Comparative dynamics - simulation
- DYNAMICS
- Above we analysed the effects on steady state of
a change in time preferences. Analyses of
trajectories when exogenous variables change is
more difficult. One alternative is state-phase
analysis - This not achievable for non-autonomous systems
(explicit time dependence) - Another alternative is to use simulation
technique (there are mathematical methods which
are applicable, though Ried, 1998)
4HUMAN CAPITAL the relationship between E and H
- Trajectories
- Investment trajectories can be derived from
5Comparative dynamics - simulation
- Illustration Simulation working paper Bolin et
al. (2005) (preliminary work) - Specification (assuming dominant efficiency
effect in the production of health investments,
and vice versa)
6Comparative dynamics - simulation
- Illustration Simulation working paper Bolin et
al. (2005) - Calibration so that hump shaped educational
capital curve was obtained, and a downward
sloping health-capital curve.
7Comparative dynamics - simulation
- Simulation, Parametrization
8Comparative dynamics - simulation
9HUMAN CAPITAL extensions
- Health capital and health capital investments in
a Nash-bargaining family (JHE, Bolin et al
2001) - St
- Implications the income-dependence of child
health partly determines outside opportunities
10HUMAN CAPITAL extensions
- Nash-bargaining family, results
- Outside opportunities affect allocation of
investments in health capital inside the family - The treat points can also be interpreted as
non-cooperative outcomes INSIDE the family - The decision-making process assumes cooperation
on behalf of the parties, but there are
incentives for ex-post cheating, i.e., when one
party has made irrevocable decisions the other
party may find it in his or her interest not to
follow the agreement - There are arguments for that the incentives for
cheating are not that strong repeated games,
punishment and reputation
11HUMAN CAPITAL extensions
- Health capital and health-capital investments
when family members act strategically (JHE, Bolin
et al. 2002) - Spouses solve maximisation problems separately,
assuming that each spouse is able to produce
investments in the spouses health (Seirstad and
Sydsaeter, 1987) - The usefulness of this strategic optimum is that
it can model, for instance, the situation at
divorce when parents still have incentives for
investing in child health (and other components
of human capital) (JLE Weiss and Willis, 1985)
12HUMAN CAPITAL extensions
- Strategic family, results
- Inefficient investments in spousal health
- Inefficient investments in child health
- Reason Public goods and external effects -
- Mechanisms that will mitigate this inefficiency
regarding investments in child health (or other
parts of the stock of human capital) - Remains to be done assume that one spouse has a
first-mover advantage Stackelberg equilibrium - Possible source of this husbands on average are
older than their wives and, hence, they have
already made decisions concerning their degree of
attachment to the labour market - To the extent that investments in child human
capital is time-consuming this will have
implications for the amount of investments
13HUMAN CAPITAL extensions
- Health capital and health-capital investments
when an employer has incentives for investing in
employee health (JHE, Bolin et al. 2002) - Assumption the employer can invest in the health
of the employee the employer seeks to maximise
the present value of the caompany - Formally
- Where K is physical capital
14HUMAN CAPITAL extensions
- Optimality for the employers demand for employee
health - The higher the value of the marginal product, the
healthier the employee
The net benefit accruing to the employer from an
additional unit of employee health
15HUMAN CAPITAL extensions
- Uncertainty Liljas (JHE, 1998) A recent paper
by Laporte and Ferguson (JPE, 2007) - Liljas approach involves treating the THE STOCK
OF HEALTH as a stochastic variable - The approach consistent with a capital
accumulation model must involve stochastic
changes in the stock that works through changes
in the depreciation rate - The approach taken Laporte and Ferguson
- This involves a dynamic optimisation problem with
a stochastic differential equation for the
movement of the stock
16HUMAN CAPITAL extensions
- Assume that there exist physiologically optimal
values regarding for instance weight and
exercise, and that deviations from these optima
represent a negative health investment - Formally (W is weight)
- Weight becomes an additional state variable.
Equation of motion for weight - Levy (JHE, 2002) unstable time-path of weight
rational eating can lead to underweightness/overwe
ightness
17HUMAN CAPITAL extensions
- A similar analysis can be done for physical
activity - st
18Health and education a European example
- Institutional differences and human capital a
European perspective - Most studies on institutional differences have
been performed on US data - The Survey of Health and Retirement in Europe
SHARE is the first longitudinal cross-country
data for Europe. - The objectives of SHARE
- To facilitate research concerning the various
effects of the ageing population - Example of the relationship between attained
education and health from the SHARE data
19(No Transcript)
20The relationship between health and education
the SHARE data
- Focuses the 50 populations in Europe
- Eleven countries have contributed data to the
2004/5 SHARE baseline study. They are a balanced
representation of the various regions in Europe,
ranging from Scandinavia (Denmark and Sweden)
through Central Europe (Austria, France, Germany,
Switzerland, Belgium, and the Netherlands) to the
Mediterranean (Spain, Italy and Greece). - Human capital related issues are included health
(various measures) and attained education - About 27.000 individuals participated in the
2004/2005 wave. - The largest (in monetary units) social-science
project that has ever been funded by the European
Commission.
21The relationship between health and education
the SHARE data
- Findings from the SHARE data
- Education keeps us fit Within all 11 countries,
there is a strong relation between health and
health behaviour and socioeconomic status. For
instance, compared to individuals with a higher
education, individuals with a low education are
70 percent more likely to be physically inactive
and 50 percent more likely to be obese. - Low wealth, particularly in the northern
countries of Europe.
22The relationship between health and education
the SHARE data
23The relationship between health and education
the SHARE data
- HERE SHOULD HISTOGTRAMS OVER HEALTH BY
EDUCATIONAL GROUP BE
24Assignments
- Background the ongoing demographic transition
will make questions regarding the formation of
human capital increasingly important. This is so
since human capital is one important determinant
of economic growth - Assignment, alternative 1 Theoretical modelling
of parental investments in child human capital - Issues
- Altruism
- Competition between siblings
- E.g., the provision of informal care
- Strategic behaviour between parents and children
- E.g., the provision of informal care
- The lifespan what happens when parents die?
25Assignments
- Assignment, alternative 2 Timing of human
capital investments when technologies for making
investments are improving over time what is the
importance of the stock of education? Are the
more educated less or more inclined to postpone
investments?
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