Title: Generations of wireless networks
1Generations of wireless networks
21G wireless standards
32G wireless
43G wireless
54G wireless
6Where is wireless access going???
- Many (maybe too many) wireless technology choices
are available today - Short-range (WLANs, sensor technologies such as
Bluetooth or Ultra Wideband) - Long-range (Cellular)
- Broadband (WiMAX/WiBRO, Flash-OFDM, etc.)
- Broadcast (DVB-H, DMB, MediaFLO)
- Device segmentation is not universal
- Can vendors address the needs of the subcontinent
while still making a global product? - Democratization of wireless technologies
- Sales channels in the subcontinent are so varied
do device features have to stop with the
original manufacturer?
7Air Interface Technologies
8So Many Technology Choices
6.
3.9G
5.
3GHSDPA
3GHSUPA
4.
WiBRO
WiMAX (fixed)
WiMAX (mobile)
3.
WLAN Hotspots
2.
Flash-OFDM
802.20
1.
3GPP2 systems (1X, EV-DO, nxDO, Phase II
Evolution)
2009
2005
2006
2007
2008
9- Cellular technologies
- Mature GSM/EDGE, CDMA
- Voice-only products approaching commodity status
- Ongoing rollout 3G (WCDMA) and 1X-EV-DO (CDMA
evolution) - What are the usage scenarios in the subcontinent?
- Bringing the internet to underserved user
segments? - Fancy services for a very small, very rich niche?
- Future 3.9 G
- Extending the high throughput capabilities of
WLAN technologies into cellular - Short range technologies (WLAN primarily)
- Not much good without an internet backbone goes
hand-in-hand with broadband penetration
10- Wireless broadband
- Slowly gaining traction in the West telecom
operators are cautious because of previous
overinvestment in other broadband technologies
(DSL, optical) - Very clear usage scenario in the subcontinent
- Strong backbone solution can bring internet
access to remote areas and villages - Is there enough business to get a major telecom
vendor excited? - Broadcast for wireless (DVB-H, DMB, MediaFLO)
- Certainly a proven appetite in Asia for TV
- Hard to say if users in the subcontinent will
watch TV on small devices
11Future Wireless System Development
- Increasing penetration
- Lowering costs of devices
- Improving return for operators
- Customizing services for the local population
- There is a quandary with going forward with a
regional technology - Will global vendors support it?
- If not, is there a local vendor base?
- Is the scale of the technology large enough to
drive down cost?
12- Low penetration provides some opportunity
- Legacy of cellular circuit-switched services
(particularly voice) not insurmountable - Rather than develop a new technology for South
Asia, subcontinent researchers should try to
drive locally enabling technologies through
standardization, for example - Improve cellular technologies for VoIP, enabling
lower cost backbone - Advanced cellular receiver design to improve
voice capacity - Driving targeted features in global
standardization would be a win-win scenario for
South Asia and the global vendor community - Global technologies mean large scale costs can
go down - Opportunity for Asian researchers to influence
standards that are deployed over the world - Cellular is the best choice
13Devices
14Wireless Access Mapping
- Voice-only
- 2G (GSM, cdma2000 1X)
- Messaging and limited data services
- 2G (GSM, cdma2000 1X)
- Advanced wireless
- 2G (GSM, cdma2000 1X)
- 3G (WCDMA, cdma2000 1X-EV-DO)
- High-end business/multimedia
- 3G (WCDMA, cdma2000 1X-EV-DO)
- Complimentary access (WLAN a definite, maybe
WiMAX)
15Democratization of Wireless Technologies
- Example Research conducted in Delhi by Nokia
Research Centers Usability Group, Tokyo
16Karol Bagh market area of Delhi, India 200
small indoor shops, and 100 outdoor market stalls
17this one building, approx. 60 small shops spread
over 4 stories
wholesaling phone accessories and repair equipment
small workshops actively repairing phones, and
offering training
18 minimal street customer care center flat
surface screwdriver new component knowledge
19What can we take away?
- Huge after market service industry has developed
in South Asia - Phone repair, re-sale
- Reconditioned phone sales may be the ticket to
providing new cellular service to customer
segments, e.g. - Basic voice to BOP
- Advanced multimedia to existing voice-only users
- Large proliferation of after-market services may
also be able to provide some limited enhancement
to cellular devices - If multinational vendors can tap into this more
effectively rather than view it as a threat, then
consumer insight could result - Are there low-cost innovations that could better
serve an emerging market?
20Wide Area Wireless Technology
- What are the next few years going to bring?
21- From the Seventies through the Nineties, most
cellular systems were developed through consensus
and standardization - AMPS was a technology delayed nearly 20 years due
to building consensus! - GSM has proven to be long-lasting and
widely-supported also developed through
industry cooperation - In the Nineties, proprietary technologies emerged
- IS-95 (CDMA), proposed by Qualcomm Inc.
- Followed by 1X-EV-DO in the late Nineties
- Nowadays, several more proprietary alternatives
to standardized cellular technologies have gained
notoriety (not necessarily widespread adoption) - Flarions Flash OFDM
- Other technologies may be nearly proprietary,
with a small number of companies driving
development
22- What makes proprietary technologies attractive?
- Good ideas are sometimes compromised in the
standardization process - Standardization process can delay product
development - Proprietary route has pitfalls
- Lack of widespread vendor support for a given
technology - Intellectual property concentrated in the hands
of a few players - Is there a middle ground?
- Yes, when a small group of companies who can
support a given technology develop it together
outside of standards - Standardization can follow, to allow other
equipment manufacturers exposure to the
technology and ensure interoperability
23Where does spectrum come into the picture?
- Spectrum is not as cheap as once thought
- North American example recent consolidation
among operators has left winners and losers in
spectrum - New 3G spectrum auctions (1.7/2.1 GHz) have not
happened fast enough to address this - Operators want to evolve existing cellular
technologies in a manner that continues to
leverage their huge investment in 3G equipment - Backwards-compatibility will be a driver
- Makes it difficult to find a disruption point for
good proprietary technologies - The overlap period becomes a driver how long
does the network operator have to support legacy
subscribers while the new technology is being
introduced?
24- These are issues that will influence the
evolution of cellular technologies - New cellular systems will leverage as much as
they can from legacy systems - For example, reuse of control/overhead mechanisms
from legacy - Baggage from the legacy systems can reduce the
benefits from innovation in evolution systems - In response, wireless vendors need to get more
creative as to what defines backwards
compatibility - Need to be selective in what is actually
leveraged from the legacy system - Also, need to consider how much evolution in the
air interface technology is necessary for
improving system performance - Can improved performance be addressed through
software/middleware innovation?
25- Wireless broadband (802.16)
- Slowly gaining traction in the West telecom
operators are cautious because of previous
overinvestment in other broadband technologies
(DSL, optical) Technology positioning is a
problem for cellular operators already deploying
3G - The target customer base overlaps
- Broadcast for wireless (DVB-H, DMB, MediaFLO)
- Certainly a proven appetite in Asia for TV bodes
well for DMB in East Asia - European and North American markets unproven yet
for handheld digital TV
26What about Voice Services?
- Voice is still the killer app for cellular
- Without a compelling data application for 3G, it
may be a safe starting point to say that VoIP
will be the killer app for 3G evolution - This profoundly affects cellular evolution
- Air interface must be optimized for low rate, low
delay service such as voice - This could come in conflict with design goal of
extending high speed capabilities seen in WLAN to
cellular - As long as voice is perceived as a separate
revenue stream rather than just another IP-based
service, this could hamper cellular evolution - In other words, should future cellular systems
performance be benchmarked primarily by voice
spectral efficiency?
27Quality-of-Service for Internet
ApplicationsShould cellular provide the same as
broadband?
- Many internet applications are not designed with
a cellular link in mind - Underlying expectation of relatively constant
quality of service (QoS) - Throughput is assumed to be known during session
setup - Certainly totally different applications can be
designed for cellular, but some innovation in the
middleware area may improve application
performance over cellular without - Redesigning air interface
- Rewriting application
- Example online multiplayer gaming (First
person shooter) - Player actions based on other player actions
- Near real time