Low Income and Welfare Client Priorities:

1
Low Income and Welfare Client Priorities

• Peter Mueser David Stevens
• Presentation August 27, 2003
• U.S. Department of Labor

2
Overview

• What are patterns of employment, earnings and
  TANF receipt before and after WIA participation?
• How do these differ by type of WIA participation?
• Are there important differences across states?

3
Method of Analysis

• PY2000 (7/00-6/01) Adult and Dislocated Worker
  records are extracted from WIASRD state data
  files.
• State Unemployment Insurance wage record data
  are matched, providing quarterly earnings in
• 2 years prior to program year
• program year
• year following program year
• State administrative data identify TANF receipt
  over same period.

4
Method of Analysis

• Employment, mean earnings, and receiving TANF
  are tabulated for each quarter
• States include
• Florida
• Georgia
• Illinois
• Maryland
• Missouri
• Texas

5
Adult Employment
6
Large Employment Gains
Adult Employment
7
Large earnings gains, especially for Training
Employed Adult Earnings
8
States have very similar patterns
Adult Earnings (Training) By State
9
PY2000
Dislocated Worker Employment
10
Employment declines and recovery largest for
Training participants
PY2000
Dislocated Worker Employment
11
Earnings recover but not fully
Dislocated Worker Earnings
12
Adults TANF
13
TANF receipt declines, especially for Training
participants
Adults TANF
14
Very little TANF receipt
Dislocated Workers TANF
15
Concluding Comments

• Adults have large employment gains, whether in
  Core Intensive or Training.
• Adults have earnings gains, very large for
  Training participants.
• Following losses, employment of Dislocated
  Workers recovers, especially for those in
  Training.
• Earnings losses only partly recover.

16
Concluding Comments (contd)

• Adult TANF receipt declines, especially for those
  in Training activities.
• Dislocated Workers are very unlikely to receive
  TANF.
• Despite some interesting differences,
  similarities between states in basic patterns are
  striking.