Toward a Brand-new Interaction

1
Toward a Brand-new Interaction

• Yoshinov YAMAMOTO
• Yoshinov.yamamoto_at_aist.go.jp
• Yoshinov.yamamoto_at_am.sony.com
• Yoshinov_at_i.am
• Yoshinov_at_csli.stanford.edu

2
Introduction

• A trend of communication media.
• Increase of the importance of the small amount
  of bits stream information.

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Communication Media

• The trend of the market of the information
  services from the point of view communication
  media

4
Trend
amount of information (communication) on the
electrical networks
1876 // 1970 2000 2005 2010
2015
5
Telephone Era.

• Telephone was invented in 1876.
• At first telephone was criticized.
• But now, many people spent much time using
  telephones despite the fact that telephone
  communication lacks expression, body language,
  and relies solely on someone's voice.

amount of information (communication) on the
electrical networks
Telephone (voice)
1876 // 1970 2000 2005 2010
2015
6
E-mail Era

• In 1970 e-mail appeared and began to boom.
• In 1999, the amount of information exchanged
  globally by e-mail is larger than the amount
  communicated by telephone in the U.S.

amount of information (communication) on the
electrical networks
E-mail (text)
Telephone (voice)
1876 // 1970 2000 2005 2010
2015
7
ICQ/ IM (Instant Message) Era

• In the year 2000 ICQ/ IM is the mainstream mode
  of communication media.
• AOL currently has 40,000,000 members, ICQ
  currently has 38,000,000 members, for a total of
  about 80,000,000 members who are exchanging
  8,500,000,000 messages per day.

amount of information (communication) on the
electrical networks
ICQ/IM (short text)
E-mail (text)
Telephone (voice)
1876 // 1970 2000 2005 2010
2015
8
Small Bits

• To use the least amount of information.
• The mode of communication media which requires
  the least amount of information pushes out the
  previous generation mode of communication media.

amount of information (communication) on the
electrical networks
ICQ/IM (short text)
E-mail (text)
Telephone (voice)
1876 // 1970 2000 2005 2010
2015
9
In 2010, PING Era

• I definitely think that in the year 2010, only 1
  bit of information will be the main traffic on
  the net.
• We will call this signal or indicator "ping."

A distance troubleless communicationDont
Disturb context shared media)
amount of information (communication) on the
electrical networks
ICQ/IM (short text)
E-mail (text)
Telephone (voice)
1876 // 1970 2000 2005 2010
2015
10
Important Points of the Ping?

• Ping new sense of value.
• There are three points.
• Nobody want to bother someone.
• No message to other person.
• Full schedule of 24 hours.

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No One Wants to Bother Someone
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Nobody Has a Message or Something, Everyday
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Full Schedule of 24 Hours.

• Most important point in the market.
• Time management will become more and more
  important in daily life for people.
• If you want to have someone use your new media,
  that media should be fight with Nintendo!

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Ping Is the New Communication Trend

• Even if the network is enriched, will TV phones
  suddenly overtake in popularity all other
  communication medias? I don't think so.
• TV phone users will definitely increase in the
  future but that doesn't guarantee that TV phones
  will become a mainstream mode of communication
  media.
• Ping will be get many users. Ping signals will
  become a mainstream in the next generation
  internet. Because this media create a signal
  automatically and continuously.

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Not Only Media

• In summery, I talked about the a new
  communication media trend that is ping.
• My conclusions is.
• We should sight the small bits media.
• However, this is not only communication media
  but also the possibility of the idea of small
  bits strongly suggest a brand-new market for
  information services in near future.

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Interaction Cost
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What Is Real Breakthrough?

• Nowadays, many people argue about what the next
  generation internet. They think, there will be a
  huge communication cable provided globally for
  satellite medicine, satellite conferences, etc...
  In the future. Visual data use (like TV phones)
  will increase more than you can imagine.
• Compare with it, most important thing is we can
  send only 1 bit by suitable cost for only 1 bit.
  Its not we can send a large data stream for
  multi media.
• The most important thing that happened was that
  the cost to transmit data has been lowered
  according to its size. In other words, today we
  can send small data for almost free.

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PUBi and Information Board

• Therefore we should make a tiny device to connect
  between end-application and broadband network.
• This device doesnt have a display but it has
  CPU, memory, some buttons, I/O, battery and ID.
• Target cost should be under 10. (Thats suitable
  device for tiny end applications.)

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New software model is needed

• Server Client
• Distributed, Concurrent, Parallel
• Connectionist, Agent Oriented
• PUBi Information Board Server

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PUBi, IB and Server

• The Information board works as
• A display for your tiny devices.
• A poster column for your advertisement.
• An information KIOSK.
• A clipboard. You can exchange your data to
  someone via the board like you can exchange data
  between WORD and PowerPoint on the Windows98.
• An antenna base or gateway for the wireless
  devices network without huge budget. Because a
  manager of a shop will buy it!
• A lighthouse for the personal navigation system.

Ordinary, this board displays general info. When
a user approach the board, it will display
individual information.
E-coupon, Scheduler, Game, E-ticket, Etc. It
looks like a ticket for using network information
services on our server.
PUBi (Bluetooth)
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To be continue next presentation
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Conclusion

• Small bits market is an undeveloped area.
• Its a gold mine.
• Real breakthrough is to reduce the cost to send
  small bits.
• Dont be seduced the multi media and large bits
  stream! We need a small and poor but inexpensive
  device for a user!
• We should make a tiny hardware as a ticket to use
  any information service on our server.