Pitfalls with IRR Lending vs Borrowing

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Pitfalls with IRR Lending vs Borrowing

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Title: Pitfalls with IRR Lending vs Borrowing


1
  • Pitfalls with IRR Lending vs Borrowing
  • Calculate the IRR and NPV for the projects below

50 36.4 50 - 36.4
Both projects have the same IRR but Project J
contributes more to the value of the firm.
Obviously, you should prefer Project J!
.
2
  • Pitfalls with IRR Lending vs Borrowing
  • Project J involves lending 100 at 50 interest.
  • Project K involves borrowing 100 at 50
    interest.
  • Which option should you choose?
  • Remember
  • When you lend money, you want a high rate of
    return.
  • When you borrow money, you want a low rate of
    return.

.
3
  • Pitfalls with IRR Lending vs Borrowing
  • The IRR calculation shows that both projects have
    a 50 rate of return and are equally desirable.
  • You should see that this is a trap!
  • The NPV rule correctly warns you away from a
    project which involves borrowing money at 50.

.
4
Multiple Rates of Return
  • Assume you are considering a project for which
    the cash flows are as follows
  • Year Cash flows
  • 0 -252
  • 1 1,431
  • 2 -3,035
  • 3 2,850
  • 4 -1,000

5
Multiple Rates of Return (continued)
  • Whats the IRR? Find the rate at which the
    computed NPV 0
  • at 25.00 NPV 0
  • at 33.33 NPV 0
  • at 42.86 NPV 0
  • at 66.67 NPV 0
  • Two questions
  • 1. Whats going on here?
  • 2. How many IRRs can there be?

6
Multiple Rates of Return (concluded)
NPV
0.06
0.04
IRR 1/4
0.02
0.00
(0.02)
IRR 2/3
IRR 1/3
IRR 3/7
(0.04)
(0.06)
(0.08)
0.2
0.28
0.36
0.44
0.52
0.6
0.68
Discount rate
7
  • Year
  • 0 1
    2 3 4
  • Project A 350 50 100 150 200
  • Project B 250 125 100 75 50
  • IRR(A) 12.91
  • IRR(B)17.8
  • Is B better than A?

8
Net present value
160
140
120
100
80
60
40
Crossover Point
20
0
20
40
60
80
Discount rate
100
2
0
6
10
14
18
22
26
IRR A IRR B
9
Question
  • Two project, calculate NPV assuming r10. If
    interest rates go up which project is
    comparatively better off?

10
Winnebegal Corporation
  • Winnebagel Corp. currently sells 18,500 motor
    homes per year at 37,500 each, and 5,000 luxury
    motor coaches per year at 62,000 each. The
    company wants to introduce a new portable camper
    to fill out its product line it hopes to sell
    13,500 of these campers per year at 10,000 each.
    An independent consultant has determined that if
    Winnebagel introduces the new campers, it should
    boost the sales of its existing motor homes by
    3,500 units per year and reduce the sales of its
    motor coaches by 1,200 units per year. What is
    the amount to use as the annual sales figure when
    evaluating this product?

11
Preparing Pro Forma Statements
  • Suppose Norma Desmond Enterprises is considering
    a new project with the following information.
    Should the firm invest in this project? Why or
    why not?
  • 1. Sales of 10,000 units/year _at_ 5/unit.
  • 2. Variable cost per unit is 3. Fixed costs are
    5,000 per year. The project has no salvage
    value. Project life is 3 years.
  • 3. Project cost is 21,000. Depreciation is
    7,000/year.
  • 4. Additional net working capital is 10,000.
  • 5. The firms required return is 20. The tax
    rate is 34.

12
Example 2 Fairways Equipment and Operating Costs
  • Two golfing buddies are considering starting a
    new golf facility to there entertainment company.
    Because of the growing popularity of golf, they
    estimate the facility will generate rentals of
    20,000 buckets of balls at 3 a bucket the first
    year, and that rentals will grow by 750 buckets a
    year thereafter. The price will remain 3 per
    bucket. Should they pursue this new venture?
  • Capital spending requirements include
  • Ball dispensing machine 2,000
  • Ball pick-up vehicle 8,000
  • Tractor and accessories 8,000
  • 18,000
  • All the equipment is Class 10 CCA (30), and is
    expected to have a salvage value of 10 of cost
    after 6 years. (Assume that there are many assets
    in this asset class apart from the golf
    business).
  • Anticipated operating expenses are as follows

13
Example Fairways Equipment and Operating Costs
(concluded)
Working Capital Initial requirement 3,000
Working capital requirements are expected to
grow at 5 per year for the life of the
project. Companys tax rate is 20. Cost of
capital is 10.
  • Operating Costs (annual)
  • Land lease 12,000
  • Water 1,500
  • Electricity 3,000
  • Labor 30,000
  • Seed fertilizer 2,000
  • Gasoline 1,500
  • Maintenance 1,000
  • Insurance 1,000
  • Misc. Expenses 1,000
  • 53,000

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Question
  • Now lets put our new-found knowledge to work.
    Assume we have the following background
    information for a project being considered by
    Gillis, Inc.
  • See if we can calculate the projects NPV and
    payback period. Assume
  • Required NWC investment 40 project cost
    60 3 year life
  • Annual sales 100 annual costs 50
    straight line depreciation to 0
  • Tax rate 34, required return 12
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