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Global Risk Assessment Device

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Title: Global Risk Assessment Device


1
Global Risk Assessment Device
  • Licking County Juvenile Court
  • Follow-Up Training

2
Follow-Up Training Agenda
  • Part 1 The Data
  • Part 2 Current Usage and Upgrades

3
Follow-Up Training Agenda
  • Part 1 The Data
  • Overall Sample Characteristics
  • Overall GRAD Scores and Trends
  • Breakdown by Demographics
  • Age, Gender, and Household Composition
  • Youth and Parent reports compared and contrasted
  • Overall Referral Patterns

4
Follow-Up Training Agenda
  • Part 2 Current Usage and Upgrades
  • Special Recognitions
  • New Cut-off Scores
  • New Interpretation and Recommendation Pages
  • New Parent Pages
  • Multiple Referrals
  • New custom features

5
The Overall Sample
  • Who is in your data deck?
  • 100 cases as of 8/5/03!
  • Excellent job gathering
  • this data so quickly!

6
Slight Reduction in the Numbers
  • Our stated goal was to have all paired data
  • A hallmark that makes Licking County truly
    unique!
  • Out of the first 100 cases, however
  • 3 cases were not paired
  • For todays report
  • 97 youth
  • 97 adults

7
Data from the Youth
  • Who are the 97 youth in your data deck?
  • N 91 White, non-minority youth
  • N 6 Minority youth
  • Overall sample
  • 94 White
  • 4 African American
  • 2 Bi-racial

8
Data from the Youth
  • Average age 14.9 years
  • Approximately one-half of the sample is 14, 15,
    or 16 years of age (Range 10-18 years)
  • Females are 45 of the sample
  • Average age 14.6 years
  • Males are 55 of the sample
  • Average age 15.1 years
  • This age difference between males and females is
    not statistically significant however

9
Data on the Families
  • What do the families of these youth look like?
  • Household composition
  • 34 stepfamily arrangement
  • 29 single-parent mother-headed
  • 27 married biological parents
  • 5 single-parent father-headed
  • 2 grandparent-headed
  • 2 foster family
  • 1 other

10
Data on the Families
  • Where does these families live?
  • Almost 80 come from 3 zip codes
  • 43055
  • 43056
  • 43062

11
Mental Health Issues
  • 39 of youth had prior experience with some form
    of mental health counseling
  • 19 of youth had family members with prior mental
    health counseling experience

12
Overall GRAD scores(Youth Report)
  • Overall Licking County sample scores (using the
    youth reports) are lower than the Franklin County
    scores used to set your original cut-offs (and
    lower than Cuyahoga County scores as well)
  • In a short while, we will be talking about how
    the parent reports are remarkable similar to what
    the youth reported

13
The Cutoff Scores
  • Therefore, keep in mind that Licking Countys
    moderate and high risk youth may have been
    labeled low and moderate at times due to the
    higher cut points

14
GRAD scores(Youth Report)
  • Variation by demographic characteristics
  • Effects of age
  • Gender differences
  • Effects of household composition

15
Age and GRAD scores(Youth Report)
  • Youth divided into 3 groups
  • 13 years and under
  • 14 and 15 years of age
  • 16 and older
  • 2 significant differences
  • Education/vocation risk
  • Mental health

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Take Note (Part 1)!
  • Your youngest youth seem to be presenting with
    the greatest educational risk levels
  • Youth with the greatest mental health risks may
    be those in the early years of high school

19
Gender and Grad Scores(Youth Report)
  • One significant gender difference
  • Females displaying significantly higher risk in
    the peer relationships domain
  • General trends regarding gender and GRAD scores
    are similar for all other domains except
    substance abuse
  • this trend suggests that males are using
    substances at higher levels than females

20
Take Note (Part 2)!
  • Females on average may be presenting with greater
    risk levels than males
  • This finding is consistent across counties
  • In fact, the Cuyahoga and Franklin data decks
    display many of these differences as significant
    ones

21
Differences by Gender and Household Composition
  • Because of the gender differences noted above,
    Male and Female youth data were analyzed
    separately regarding the potential effects of
    household composition

22
Household Data
  • Household composition divided into 3 groups as
    follows
  • married
  • stepfamily
  • single-parent and all other forms

23
Gender and Houshold
  • For the females, there were no significant
    differences among the three household composition
    categories
  • 2 domains approached significance
  • Education
  • Traumatic events

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Gender and Household
  • For the males, significant differences by
    household composition were found in the following
    domains
  • Education
  • Accountability
  • Leisure
  • Sociability
  • Traumatic events
  • In all cases, males most at risk resided in
    stepfamily arrangements

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So What Does This Mean?
  • There is a pronounced
  • Home by Gender
  • Interaction in your sample!

33
Differences by Household Composition
  • Further analysis conducted with the entire sample
    on all GRAD domains with Gender and Household
    Composition controlled
  • Significant interactions found on
  • Mental health
  • Family
  • Traumatic events
  • Education
  • Accountability

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39
Take note (Part 3)!
  • Overall, youth at greatest risk in Licking County
    tend to be females from single-parent families
  • Males residing in stepfamilies often are another
    group tending to display higher risk levels as
    well

40
Use of the Parent Reports
  • What makes the Licking County
  • Data truly unique!

41
Parent and Youth Data
  • The relationships between parent and youth
    reports are all highly correlated
  • Pearson r ranged between .45 and .85
  • Hence, parents and youth tend to give very
    similar reports on average

42
Parent and Youth Data
  • At the same time, there are differences between
    parent and youth reports that are noteworthy
  • Youth on average report higher risk levels than
    parents in all domains except
  • Accountability
  • Sociability

43
Take note (Part 4)!
  • On the one hand, there seems to be some solid
    evidence to indicate that what the youth and
    parent report is very similar
  • As we shall see in a bit, however, the difference
    between what youth and parents report is
    predictive of higher risk levels as well

44
Take note (Part 4)!
  • On the other hand, youth tend to report higher
    levels of risk in most all domains (probably
    because they know more!)
  • Parents report tend to report higher levels of
    risk in 2 domains associated with responsibility
    and social competence
  • The evidence seems to point directly to the need
    to gather multiple family member viewpoints
    whenever possible!

45
Last but not least.. where are these youth
going?
  • Analysis of data regarding where the youth and
    family were referred for services

46
Referred versus Non-referred
  • 47 youth were referred to some type of service
  • 50 youth received no referrals

47
Who are the Non-referred Youth?
  • Both youth and parents report lower risk on the
    prior offense domain for the non-referred youth
  • At the same time, however..
  • Non-referred Youth report Higher risk on five
    domains
  • Family/parenting Peers Health
  • Sociability Mental health
  • Non-referred Parent report Higher risk on 1
    domain
  • Mental health

48
What is happening with these youth?
  • Looking at low prior involvement in illegal
    behavior alone, a case can be made for the least
    amount of intervention.
  • Left unaddressed is what happens to these youth
    and families when other risk domains are not
    taken into account.

49
Top 5 Most Utilized ServicesWhen Referral Made
  • Community service (53)
  • Individual Counseling (40)
  • Urinalysis (38)
  • Victim awareness (28)
  • Victim apology (15)

50
Who Is Being Referred toCommunity Service?
  • Significantly higher GRAD scores on the substance
    abuse domain as reported by both youth and
    parents
  • No other significant differences

51
Who Is Being Referred toIndividual Counseling?
  • Significantly higher scores on
  • Education/vocation
  • While not significant, the majority of other GRAD
    domains also trended toward higher risk levels,
    including the mental health domain
  • Another important note the discrepancy between
    youth/parent reports on educational risk was
    significantly greater for those referred to
    individual counseling

52
More on mental health
  • Having reported previous mental health counseling
    experience was not related to whether or not the
    youth was referred to individual counseling

53
Still more on mental health
  • However, those youth with previous counseling
    experience also reported significantly higher
    risk in ALL domains except substance use and
    prior offenses
  • And their parents also reported significantly
    higher risk levels in the same domains

54
Even more on mental health
  • And finallythe discrepancy between youth/parent
    reports was significantly greater for those with
    previous counseling experience in 5 domains
  • Mental health Accountability
  • Family/parenting Health risks
  • Education/vocation

55
Who Is Being Referred toUrinalysis?
  • Higher scores on Substance Use
  • As reported by both youth and parents
  • Also, the discrepancy between youth/parent
    reports on substance use was significantly
    greater for those referred to urinalysis

56
Who Is Being Referred toVictim Awareness?
  • Youth reports indicated significantly lower risk
    levels in the following domains
  • Family
  • Traumatic events
  • Mental health

57
Who Is Being Referred forVictim Apology?
  • Significantly higher scores from youth reports
    on
  • Traumatic events
  • Also, the discrepancy between youth/parent
    reports on both accountability and prior offenses
    was significantly lower for those asked to make
    an apology to their victim

58
Where We Are Going with the Data
  • There are many more issues to be addressed in
    upcoming analyses, most importantly including the
    role that discrepancy scores play in the further
    classification of youth with the greatest
    risks/needs

59
Stay Tuned!
60
Follow-Up Training Agenda
  • Part 2 Current Usage and Upgrades
  • Special Recognitions
  • New Cut-off Scores
  • New Interpretation and Recommendation Pages
  • New Parent Pages
  • Multiple Referrals
  • New custom features

61
Special Recognitions
  • Special! Special! Special! thanks to
  • Dave Vozzella
  • Tara Lifland
  • For their tireless work in service to norming the
    GRAD
  • 51 and43 paired GRADs respectively!!!

62
Special Recognitions
  • Other contributors to the GRAD database included
  • Nikki Debo
  • Deb DePaso
  • Shannon Horton

63
New Upgrades to the GRAD Site
  • Thank You for your patience and support during
    the initial pilot phase of this project!

64
New Features and Upgradesto the GRAD site
  • We are in the process of upgrading and opening
    some basic non-customized features that had been
    suppressed to ensure a complete and timely data
    collection.
  • New Cut-Off Scores
  • Interpretations of Risk
  • Treatment Recommendations
  • Parent Pages
  • Multiple Referral Feature

65
New Cut-Off Scores
  • Your cut-off scores are uniformly going to drop.
    This means that
  • It will take more identified concerns to have a
    youth score moderate risk and high risk in
    all of the domains

66
New Interpretation Pages
  • 2 components
  • 1. What does this domain actually measure?
  • 2. Where is this youths risk score in
    comparison to all other youth?

67
This youth has scored HIGH RISK on the
Family/Parenting domain.
What does this mean?
68
Example High Risk Family/Parenting Page
  • This means that this youth has scored higher than
    2/3 of the youth who have been assessed with the
    GRAD instrument on questions pertaining to
  • Various forms of conflict within the home
  • Evidence of verbal and physical aggression in the
    home
  • Lack of appropriate supervision of the youth
  • Use of inconsistent and/or inappropriate
    discipline methods
  • Problematic family interaction and relationships
  • Stressors related to basic family needs being met

69
You also have access to interpretations
of Moderate and Low Risk Levels
70
New Recommendation Pages
  • What considerations do you make in determining
    referral/disposition?

71
This youth has scored HIGH RISK on the
Family/Parenting domain.
What do I do?
72
Example High Risk Family/Parenting
  • The evidence that the family plays a major role
    in delinquency has prompted interest in treatment
    programs that include the family of the offender.
    The different types of family-based intervention
    that the juvenile justice professional should
    consider include the following
  • Family therapy
  • Home-based family-preservation
  • In the event that it is not possible for the
    youth to remain in her or his home while
    treatment is taking place, a foster care option
    may need to be exercised.

73
You also have access to recommendations
for Moderate and Low Risk Levels
74
Parent Pages
  • In addition to the interpretations and
    recommendations sections created for the worker
    we have also included three pages for parents
  • 1. Talking to parents about their high risk youth
  • 2. Talking to parents about moderate risk youth
  • 3. Talking to parents about low risk youth

75
Parent Pages
  • Includes Bell curve interpretation
  • Provides tips on talking to parents
  • Monitoring and supervision
  • Communication
  • Peers
  • Leisure
  • Seeking professional help
  • Further assessment
  • Open fields for the worker to mark areas they
    have discussed with the parent

76
Multiple Referrals Function
  • Referral Page currently requires one referral to
    be made between GRADs
  • Problems with this system of completing
    referrals
  • The user conducting the assessment is not always
    the person who is making the referral
  • Initial referrals are made to programs where the
    true recommendations will be made
  • Result The loss of valuable referral
    information and/or the cluttering of the database
    with false GRADs

77
Multiple Referrals Function
  • The new referral function will allow the user to
    enter multiple referrals between GRADs
  • Where is this function located?
  • User enters a youth ID number on the GRAD
    homepage
  • User is asked to verify the information is
    correct
  • The user is sent to the GRAD score page that asks
    the user
  • Run another assessment
  • Complete a referral

78
What do you see?
79
New Custom Features
  • Aggregate reports
  • Demographics
  • Referral disposition

80
When will you see these features?
  • Users will see these new features implemented
    over the next few weeks
  • Directions will be provided on the website
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