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Chapter 11: Cash Flows

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Title: Chapter 11: Cash Flows


1
Chapter 11 Cash Flows Other Topics in Capital
Budgeting
2
Capital Budgeting the process of planning for
purchases of long-term assets.
  • example
  • Our firm must decide whether to purchase a new
    hot dog processing machine for 127,000. How do
    we decide?
  • Will the machine be profitable?
  • Will our firm earn a high rate of return on the
    investment?
  • The relevant project information follows

3
  • The cost of the new machine is 127,000.
  • Installation will cost 20,000.
  • 4,000 in net working capital will be needed at
    the time of installation.
  • The project will increase revenues by 85,000 per
    year, but operating costs will increase by 35 of
    the revenue increase.
  • Simplified straight line depreciation is used.
  • Class life is 5 years, and the firm is planning
    to keep the project for 5 years.
  • Salvage value at year 5 will be 50,000.
  • 14 cost of capital 34 marginal tax rate.

4
Capital Budgeting Steps
  • 1) Evaluate Cash Flows
  • Look at all incremental cash flows occurring as
    a result of the project.
  • Initial outlay
  • Differential Cash Flows over the life of the
    project (also referred to as annual cash flows).
  • Terminal Cash Flows

5
Capital Budgeting Steps
  • 1) Evaluate Cash Flows

Terminal Cash flow
Initial outlay
Annual Cash Flows
6
Capital Budgeting Steps
  • 2) Evaluate the risk of the project.
  • Well get to this at the end of this chapter.
  • For now, well assume that the risk of the
    project is the same as the risk of the overall
    firm.
  • If we do this, we can use the firms cost of
    capital as the discount rate for capital
    investment projects.
  • 3) Accept or reject the project.

7
Step 1 Evaluate Cash Flows
  • a) Initial Outlay What is the cash flow at
    time 0?
  • (Purchase price of the asset)
  • (shipping and installation costs)
  • (Depreciable asset)
  • (Investment in working capital)
  • After-tax proceeds from sale of old asset
  • Net Initial Outlay

8
Step 1 Evaluate Cash Flows
  • a) Initial Outlay What is the cash flow at
    time 0?
  • (127,000) Purchase price of asset
  • ( 20,000) shipping and installation
  • (147,000) depreciable asset
  • ( 4,000) net working capital
  • 0 proceeds from sale of old
    asset
  • (151,000) net initial outlay

9
Step 1 Evaluate Cash Flows
  • b) Annual Cash Flows What incremental cash
    flows occur over the life of the project?

10
For Each Year, Calculate
  • Incremental revenue
  • - Incremental costs
  • - Depreciation on project
  • Incremental earnings before taxes
  • - Tax on incremental EBT
  • Incremental earnings after taxes
  • Depreciation reversal
  • Annual Cash Flow

11
For Years 1 - 5
  • 85,000 Revenue
  • (29,750) Costs
  • (29,400) Depreciation
  • 25,850 EBT
  • (8,789) Taxes
  • 17,061 EAT
  • 29,400 Depreciation reversal
  • 46,461 Annual Cash Flow

12
Step 1 Evaluate Cash Flows
  • c) Terminal Cash Flow What is the cash flow at
    the end of the projects life?
  • Salvage value
  • /- Tax effects of capital gain/loss
  • Recapture of net working capital
  • Terminal Cash Flow

13
Tax Effects of Sale of Asset
  • Salvage value 50,000
  • Book value depreciable asset - total amount
    depreciated.
  • Book value 147,000 - 147,000
  • 0.
  • Capital gain SV - BV
  • 50,000 - 0 50,000
  • Tax payment 50,000 x .34 (17,000)

14
Step 1 Evaluate Cash Flows
  • c) Terminal Cash Flow What is the cash flow at
    the end of the projects life?
  • 50,000 Salvage value
  • (17,000) Tax on capital gain
  • 4,000 Recapture of NWC
  • 37,000 Terminal Cash Flow

15
Project NPV
  • CF(0) -151,000
  • CF(1 - 4) 46,461
  • CF(5) 46,461 37,000 83,461
  • Discount rate 14
  • NPV 27,721
  • We would accept the project.

16
Incorporating Risk in Capital Budgeting Use
Risk-Adjusted Discount Rate
  • Simply adjust the discount rate (k) to reflect
    higher risk.
  • Riskier projects will use higher risk-adjusted
    discount rates.
  • Calculate NPV using the new risk-adjusted
    discount rate.

17
Risk-Adjusted Discount Rate
18
Risk-Adjusted Discount Rates
  • How do we determine the appropriate risk-adjusted
    discount rate (k) to use?
  • Many firms set up risk classes to categorize
    different types of projects.

19
Risk Classes
  • Risk RADR
  • Class (k) Project
    Type
  • 1 12 Replace equipment,
  • Expand current
    business
  • 2 14 Related new products
  • 3 16 Unrelated new products
  • 4 24 Research Development

20
Summary Risk and Capital Budgeting
  • You can adjust your capital budgeting methods for
    projects having different levels of risk by
  • Adjusting the discount rate used (risk-adjusted
    discount rate method),
  • Measuring the projects systematic risk,
  • Computer simulation methods,
  • Scenario analysis,
  • Sensitivity analysis.

21
Practice ProblemsCash Flows Other Topics in
Capital Budgeting
22
Problem 1
  • Project Information
  • Cost of equipment 400,000
  • Shipping installation will be 20,000
  • 25,000 in net working capital required at setup
  • 3-year project life, 5-year class life
  • Simplified straight line depreciation
  • Revenues will increase by 220,000 per year
  • Defects costs will fall by 10,000 per year
  • Operating costs will rise by 30,000 per year
  • Salvage value after year 3 is 200,000
  • Cost of capital 12, marginal tax rate 34

23
Problem 1
  • Initial Outlay
  • (400,000) Cost of asset
  • ( 20,000) Shipping installation
  • (420,000) Depreciable asset
  • ( 25,000) Investment in NWC
  • (445,000) Net Initial Outlay

24
For Years 1 - 3
Problem 1
  • 220,000 Increased revenue
  • 10,000 Decreased defects
  • (30,000) Increased operating costs
  • (84,000) Increased depreciation
  • 116,000 EBT
  • (39,440) Taxes (34)
  • 76,560 EAT
  • 84,000 Depreciation reversal
  • 160,560 Annual Cash Flow

25
Problem 1
  • Terminal Cash Flow
  • Salvage value
  • /- Tax effects of capital gain/loss
  • Recapture of net working capital
  • Terminal Cash Flow

26
Problem 1
  • Terminal Cash Flow
  • Salvage value 200,000
  • Book value depreciable asset - total amount
    depreciated.
  • Book value 168,000.
  • Capital gain SV - BV 32,000
  • Tax payment 32,000 x .34 (10,880)

27
Problem 1
  • Terminal Cash Flow
  • 200,000 Salvage value
  • (10,880) Tax on capital gain
  • 25,000 Recapture of NWC
  • 214,120 Terminal Cash Flow

28
Problem 1 Solution
  • NPV and IRR
  • CF(0) -445,000
  • CF(1 ), (2), 160,560
  • CF(3 ) 160,560 214,120 374,680
  • Discount rate 12
  • IRR 22.1
  • NPV 93,044. Accept the project!

29
Problem 2
  • Automation Project
  • Cost of equipment 550,000
  • Shipping installation will be 25,000
  • 15,000 in net working capital required at setup
  • 8-year project life, 5-year class life
  • Simplified straight line depreciation
  • Current operating expenses are 640,000 per yr.
  • New operating expenses will be 400,000 per yr.
  • Already paid consultant 25,000 for analysis.
  • Salvage value after year 8 is 40,000
  • Cost of capital 14, marginal tax rate 34

30
Problem 2
  • Initial Outlay
  • (550,000) Cost of new machine
  • (25,000) Shipping installation
  • (575,000) Depreciable asset
  • ( 15,000) NWC investment
  • (590,000) Net Initial Outlay

31
For Years 1 - 5
Problem 2
  • 240,000 Cost decrease
  • (115,000) Depreciation increase
  • 125,000 EBIT
  • (42,500) Taxes (34)
  • 82,500 EAT
  • 115,000 Depreciation reversal
  • 197,500 Annual Cash Flow

32
For Years 6 - 8
Problem 2
  • 240,000 Cost decrease
  • ( 0) Depreciation increase
  • 240,000 EBIT
  • (81,600) Taxes (34)
  • 158,400 EAT
  • 0 Depreciation reversal
  • 158,400 Annual Cash Flow

33
Problem 2
  • Terminal Cash Flow
  • 40,000 Salvage value
  • (13,600) Tax on capital gain
  • 15,000 Recapture of NWC
  • 41,400 Terminal Cash Flow

34
Problem 2 Solution
  • NPV and IRR
  • CF(0) -590,000
  • CF(1 - 5) 197,500
  • CF(6 - 7) 158,400
  • CF(10) 158,400 41,400 199,800
  • Discount rate 14
  • IRR 28.13 NPV 293,543
  • We would accept the project!

35
Problem 3
  • Replacement Project
  • Old Asset (5 years old)
  • Cost of equipment 1,125,000
  • 10-year project life, 10-year class life
  • Simplified straight line depreciation
  • Current salvage value is 400,000
  • Cost of capital 14, marginal tax rate 35

36
Problem 3
  • Replacement Project
  • New Asset
  • Cost of equipment 1,750,000
  • Shipping installation will be 56,000
  • 5-year project life, 5-year class life
  • Simplified straight line depreciation
  • Will increase sales by 285,000 per year
  • Operating expenses will fall by 100,000 per year
  • Already paid 15,000 for training program
  • Salvage value after year 5 is 500,000
  • Cost of capital 14, marginal tax rate 34

37
Problem 3 Sell the Old Asset
  • Salvage value 400,000
  • Book value depreciable asset - total amount
    depreciated.
  • Book value 1,125,000 - 562,500
  • 562,500.
  • Capital gain SV - BV
  • 400,000 - 562,500 (162,500)
  • Tax refund 162,500 x .35 56,875

38
Problem 3
  • Initial Outlay
  • (1,750,000) Cost of new machine
  • ( 56,000) Shipping installation
  • (1,806,000) Depreciable asset
  • ( 68,000) NWC investment
  • 456,875 After-tax proceeds (sold old
    machine)
  • (1,417,125) Net Initial Outlay

39
For Years 1 - 5
Problem 3
  • 385,000 Increased sales cost savings
  • (248,700) Extra depreciation
  • 136,300 EBT
  • (47,705) Taxes (35)
  • 88,595 EAT
  • 248,700 Depreciation reversal
  • 337,295 Differential Cash Flow

40
Problem 3
  • Terminal Cash Flow
  • 500,000 Salvage value
  • (175,000) Tax on capital gain
  • 68,000 Recapture of NWC
  • 393,000 Terminal Cash Flow

41
Problem 3 Solution
  • NPV and IRR
  • CF(0) -1,417,125
  • CF(1 - 4) 337,295
  • CF(5) 337,295 393,000 730,295
  • Discount rate 14
  • NPV (55,052.07)
  • IRR 12.55
  • We would not accept the project!
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