Title: Chapter 11: Cash Flows
1Chapter 11 Cash Flows Other Topics in Capital
Budgeting
2Capital Budgeting the process of planning for
purchases of long-term assets.
- example
- Our firm must decide whether to purchase a new
hot dog processing machine for 127,000. How do
we decide? - Will the machine be profitable?
- Will our firm earn a high rate of return on the
investment? - The relevant project information follows
3- The cost of the new machine is 127,000.
- Installation will cost 20,000.
- 4,000 in net working capital will be needed at
the time of installation. - The project will increase revenues by 85,000 per
year, but operating costs will increase by 35 of
the revenue increase. - Simplified straight line depreciation is used.
- Class life is 5 years, and the firm is planning
to keep the project for 5 years. - Salvage value at year 5 will be 50,000.
- 14 cost of capital 34 marginal tax rate.
4Capital Budgeting Steps
- 1) Evaluate Cash Flows
- Look at all incremental cash flows occurring as
a result of the project. - Initial outlay
- Differential Cash Flows over the life of the
project (also referred to as annual cash flows). - Terminal Cash Flows
5Capital Budgeting Steps
Terminal Cash flow
Initial outlay
Annual Cash Flows
6Capital Budgeting Steps
- 2) Evaluate the risk of the project.
- Well get to this at the end of this chapter.
- For now, well assume that the risk of the
project is the same as the risk of the overall
firm. - If we do this, we can use the firms cost of
capital as the discount rate for capital
investment projects. - 3) Accept or reject the project.
7Step 1 Evaluate Cash Flows
- a) Initial Outlay What is the cash flow at
time 0? - (Purchase price of the asset)
- (shipping and installation costs)
- (Depreciable asset)
- (Investment in working capital)
- After-tax proceeds from sale of old asset
- Net Initial Outlay
8Step 1 Evaluate Cash Flows
- a) Initial Outlay What is the cash flow at
time 0? - (127,000) Purchase price of asset
- ( 20,000) shipping and installation
- (147,000) depreciable asset
- ( 4,000) net working capital
- 0 proceeds from sale of old
asset - (151,000) net initial outlay
9Step 1 Evaluate Cash Flows
- b) Annual Cash Flows What incremental cash
flows occur over the life of the project?
10For Each Year, Calculate
- Incremental revenue
- - Incremental costs
- - Depreciation on project
- Incremental earnings before taxes
- - Tax on incremental EBT
- Incremental earnings after taxes
- Depreciation reversal
- Annual Cash Flow
11For Years 1 - 5
- 85,000 Revenue
- (29,750) Costs
- (29,400) Depreciation
- 25,850 EBT
- (8,789) Taxes
- 17,061 EAT
- 29,400 Depreciation reversal
- 46,461 Annual Cash Flow
12Step 1 Evaluate Cash Flows
- c) Terminal Cash Flow What is the cash flow at
the end of the projects life? - Salvage value
- /- Tax effects of capital gain/loss
- Recapture of net working capital
- Terminal Cash Flow
13Tax Effects of Sale of Asset
- Salvage value 50,000
- Book value depreciable asset - total amount
depreciated. - Book value 147,000 - 147,000
- 0.
- Capital gain SV - BV
- 50,000 - 0 50,000
- Tax payment 50,000 x .34 (17,000)
14Step 1 Evaluate Cash Flows
- c) Terminal Cash Flow What is the cash flow at
the end of the projects life? - 50,000 Salvage value
- (17,000) Tax on capital gain
- 4,000 Recapture of NWC
- 37,000 Terminal Cash Flow
15Project NPV
- CF(0) -151,000
- CF(1 - 4) 46,461
- CF(5) 46,461 37,000 83,461
- Discount rate 14
- NPV 27,721
- We would accept the project.
16Incorporating Risk in Capital Budgeting Use
Risk-Adjusted Discount Rate
- Simply adjust the discount rate (k) to reflect
higher risk. - Riskier projects will use higher risk-adjusted
discount rates. - Calculate NPV using the new risk-adjusted
discount rate.
17Risk-Adjusted Discount Rate
18Risk-Adjusted Discount Rates
- How do we determine the appropriate risk-adjusted
discount rate (k) to use? - Many firms set up risk classes to categorize
different types of projects.
19Risk Classes
- Risk RADR
- Class (k) Project
Type - 1 12 Replace equipment,
- Expand current
business - 2 14 Related new products
- 3 16 Unrelated new products
- 4 24 Research Development
20Summary Risk and Capital Budgeting
- You can adjust your capital budgeting methods for
projects having different levels of risk by - Adjusting the discount rate used (risk-adjusted
discount rate method), - Measuring the projects systematic risk,
- Computer simulation methods,
- Scenario analysis,
- Sensitivity analysis.
21Practice ProblemsCash Flows Other Topics in
Capital Budgeting
22Problem 1
- Project Information
- Cost of equipment 400,000
- Shipping installation will be 20,000
- 25,000 in net working capital required at setup
- 3-year project life, 5-year class life
- Simplified straight line depreciation
- Revenues will increase by 220,000 per year
- Defects costs will fall by 10,000 per year
- Operating costs will rise by 30,000 per year
- Salvage value after year 3 is 200,000
- Cost of capital 12, marginal tax rate 34
23Problem 1
- Initial Outlay
- (400,000) Cost of asset
- ( 20,000) Shipping installation
- (420,000) Depreciable asset
- ( 25,000) Investment in NWC
- (445,000) Net Initial Outlay
24For Years 1 - 3
Problem 1
- 220,000 Increased revenue
- 10,000 Decreased defects
- (30,000) Increased operating costs
- (84,000) Increased depreciation
- 116,000 EBT
- (39,440) Taxes (34)
- 76,560 EAT
- 84,000 Depreciation reversal
- 160,560 Annual Cash Flow
25Problem 1
- Terminal Cash Flow
- Salvage value
- /- Tax effects of capital gain/loss
- Recapture of net working capital
- Terminal Cash Flow
26Problem 1
- Terminal Cash Flow
- Salvage value 200,000
- Book value depreciable asset - total amount
depreciated. - Book value 168,000.
- Capital gain SV - BV 32,000
- Tax payment 32,000 x .34 (10,880)
27Problem 1
- Terminal Cash Flow
- 200,000 Salvage value
- (10,880) Tax on capital gain
- 25,000 Recapture of NWC
- 214,120 Terminal Cash Flow
28Problem 1 Solution
- NPV and IRR
- CF(0) -445,000
- CF(1 ), (2), 160,560
- CF(3 ) 160,560 214,120 374,680
- Discount rate 12
- IRR 22.1
- NPV 93,044. Accept the project!
29Problem 2
- Automation Project
- Cost of equipment 550,000
- Shipping installation will be 25,000
- 15,000 in net working capital required at setup
- 8-year project life, 5-year class life
- Simplified straight line depreciation
- Current operating expenses are 640,000 per yr.
- New operating expenses will be 400,000 per yr.
- Already paid consultant 25,000 for analysis.
- Salvage value after year 8 is 40,000
- Cost of capital 14, marginal tax rate 34
30Problem 2
- Initial Outlay
- (550,000) Cost of new machine
- (25,000) Shipping installation
- (575,000) Depreciable asset
- ( 15,000) NWC investment
- (590,000) Net Initial Outlay
31For Years 1 - 5
Problem 2
- 240,000 Cost decrease
- (115,000) Depreciation increase
- 125,000 EBIT
- (42,500) Taxes (34)
- 82,500 EAT
- 115,000 Depreciation reversal
- 197,500 Annual Cash Flow
32For Years 6 - 8
Problem 2
- 240,000 Cost decrease
- ( 0) Depreciation increase
- 240,000 EBIT
- (81,600) Taxes (34)
- 158,400 EAT
- 0 Depreciation reversal
- 158,400 Annual Cash Flow
33Problem 2
- Terminal Cash Flow
- 40,000 Salvage value
- (13,600) Tax on capital gain
- 15,000 Recapture of NWC
- 41,400 Terminal Cash Flow
34Problem 2 Solution
- NPV and IRR
- CF(0) -590,000
- CF(1 - 5) 197,500
- CF(6 - 7) 158,400
- CF(10) 158,400 41,400 199,800
- Discount rate 14
- IRR 28.13 NPV 293,543
- We would accept the project!
35Problem 3
- Replacement Project
- Old Asset (5 years old)
- Cost of equipment 1,125,000
- 10-year project life, 10-year class life
- Simplified straight line depreciation
- Current salvage value is 400,000
- Cost of capital 14, marginal tax rate 35
36Problem 3
- Replacement Project
- New Asset
- Cost of equipment 1,750,000
- Shipping installation will be 56,000
- 5-year project life, 5-year class life
- Simplified straight line depreciation
- Will increase sales by 285,000 per year
- Operating expenses will fall by 100,000 per year
- Already paid 15,000 for training program
- Salvage value after year 5 is 500,000
- Cost of capital 14, marginal tax rate 34
37Problem 3 Sell the Old Asset
- Salvage value 400,000
- Book value depreciable asset - total amount
depreciated. - Book value 1,125,000 - 562,500
- 562,500.
- Capital gain SV - BV
- 400,000 - 562,500 (162,500)
- Tax refund 162,500 x .35 56,875
38Problem 3
- Initial Outlay
- (1,750,000) Cost of new machine
- ( 56,000) Shipping installation
- (1,806,000) Depreciable asset
- ( 68,000) NWC investment
- 456,875 After-tax proceeds (sold old
machine) - (1,417,125) Net Initial Outlay
39For Years 1 - 5
Problem 3
- 385,000 Increased sales cost savings
- (248,700) Extra depreciation
- 136,300 EBT
- (47,705) Taxes (35)
- 88,595 EAT
- 248,700 Depreciation reversal
- 337,295 Differential Cash Flow
40Problem 3
- Terminal Cash Flow
- 500,000 Salvage value
- (175,000) Tax on capital gain
- 68,000 Recapture of NWC
- 393,000 Terminal Cash Flow
41Problem 3 Solution
- NPV and IRR
- CF(0) -1,417,125
- CF(1 - 4) 337,295
- CF(5) 337,295 393,000 730,295
- Discount rate 14
- NPV (55,052.07)
- IRR 12.55
- We would not accept the project!