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LANDSLIDES AND SURFACE FUNCTIONS

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Monte Carlo. Slope, Aspect, Curvature. Slope is first partial. ... Monte Carlo. How do you handle uncertainty in parameters? Choose a value for each parameter ... – PowerPoint PPT presentation

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Title: LANDSLIDES AND SURFACE FUNCTIONS


1
LANDSLIDES AND SURFACE FUNCTIONS
  • FE423 - January 27, 2000

2
OUTLINE
  • Slope, Aspect, Curvature
  • Sensitivity Analysis
  • Monte Carlo

3
Slope, Aspect, Curvature
Z Ax2y2 Bx2y Cxy2 Dx2 Ey2 Fxy Gx
Hy I Z(0,0) I Z(0,1) E H I Z(0,-1) E
- H I dZ/dx 2Axy2 2Bxy Cy2 2Dx Fy
G d2Z/dx2 2Ay2 2By 2D
  • Slope is first partial.
  • Curvature is second.
  • Test question?

4
Sensitivity Analysis
  • qo is the surcharging weight of the vegetation
  • ? is the angle of the slope
  • ? is the friction angle of the soil
  • C is the soil cohesion
  • Cr is the root reinforcement
  • h is the soil thickness
  • z is the saturated thickness
  • gw is the unit weight of water
  • gs is the unit weight of saturated soil

5
Sensitivity Analysis
  • How important is each term of an equation?
  • Do we have to know them exactly?
  • How important is their variability?

6
Sensitivity Analysis
  • Fma
  • Increasing m by 10 increases F by 10
  • Same with a.
  • F is equally sensitive to m and a.

7
Sensitivity Analysis
  • FS strength/stress
  • Increasing strength by 10 increases FS by10.
  • Increasing stress by 10 decreases FS by10.

8
Sensitivity Analysis
  • FS(cohesionfriction)/weight
  • If cohesion is zero then 10?10.
  • If cohesionfriction then 10 increase in one
    only results in 5 increase in the other.

9
Sensitivity Analysis
  • qo is the surcharging weight of the vegetation
  • ? is the angle of the slope
  • ? is the friction angle of the soil
  • C is the soil cohesion
  • Cr is the root reinforcement
  • h is the soil thickness
  • z is the saturated thickness
  • gw is the unit weight of water
  • gs is the unit weight of saturated soil

10
Monte Carlo
  • How do you handle uncertainty in parameters?
  • Choose a value for each parameter
  • Calculate FS
  • Repeat
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