Title: Benefits of Adopting MMUCC Guidelines:
1Benefits of Adopting MMUCC Guidelines
- A Logical Step Towards a National Crash Reporting
Form - Presented at the
- 28th International Traffic Records Forum
- Orlando, Florida August 5, 2002
2Some of us, it seems, are always thinking about
food . .
- Since we had such a nice lunch today (or did we?)
its hard to think about pie. But we need to
think about pie (and Im not talking about peach,
key lime or sour cream raisin here)
3But the Transportation Pie (and our place in it)
FHWA Annual Budget 255 Billion FHWA Safety 731
Million NHTSA 500 Million Traffic Records 9
Million
Annual U.S. DOT Road Funds distributed to the
states
4As the Pie hopefully illustrates
- We in the greater highway safety community
compete for funding resources. - And on the state (and federal) level, these
resources are becoming increasing scarce.
5In order to compete, we have to be able to make
our case
- We can only bluff or B.S. our way so far
6New NHTSA Administrator Runge
- Has made a strong case for the need for data
data which can justify (or refute) the efficacy
of our safety belt, child restraint, and impaired
driving programs just to name a few.
7Unfortunately (or fortunately)
- There is one H_ _ _ of a lot more to highway
safety data than dwelling in the land of our
failures. - Come on people less than 1 crash in 150 results
in a fatality yet . . .
8If you look at our (collective) highway safety
data collection, analysis and, ultimately, our
program justification we spend far too much time
and energy focusing on those .6 of 1 of the
crashes in this country which comprise our
ultimate failures - - - our fatalities
9- Serious, life-threatening injuries in traffic
crashes outnumber deaths nearly 10 to 1. - Overall traffic injuries outnumber deaths nearly
100 to 1, but . . .
3,500,000
10Despite well over a decade of CODES and a push
for capturing, analyzing and utilizing trauma
data by former NHTSA Administrator Martinez, our
collective efforts in analyzing traffic crash
injury data are marginal (if not downright woeful
and pathetic)
11- We (data) geeks love to get in there and MMUCC
around with the data - Well, we need to MMUCC around a lot more with the
crash data for the 99.4 of crashes which do not
result in the loss of life and (perhaps) just a
little less with the .6 who do
12Lets talk injury data. . . . . .
Lets talk CODESA good start, a good effort, but
(shortcomings)
- Only able to match a (relatively) small of
cases linkage issues. Nationally, (roughly)
just 5 of all injury crashes can be linked to a
discharge record. For Iowa, the figure is less
than 10. - Problems with outlyers especially in small
databases- high degree of variability - Uneveness in crash matching certain types may
match more frequently
13Imputation of missing values issues, so . . .
- Injury data from crash reports (while lacking the
injury detail, accuracy or medical outcomes
associated with CODES) does have the significant
advantage of a larger, much more robust and
complete database.
14The crash database also could (can) accommodate
an analysis of crash severity vs. injury
severitybut the one bigthing we lack is
15STATE COMPARABLE CRASH INJURY DATABASES
- OR
- SC CID
- Not an abbreviation for a South Carolina economic
development initiative - No relation to EL CID as far as we know
16In order to have SC CID
- Barring the full-fledged adoption of a
- national crash report form anytime soon
- (sorry to drizzle on your parade Major)
-
- WE MUST
- Go to the bar and hoist a few tall ones
-
17- Continue plodding along with a relative absence
of meaningful, comparable injury crash data . . .
And suffer the consequences - Adopt the MMUCC guidelines and have SC CID coming
out our E.A.R.S.
18And now for the hard part selling MMUCC on
the home front orMaking the Most out
ofUrCase forComparability
19Why MMUCC?
- Because it makes cents (and dollars as well)
- It will (potentially) improve your states
ability to document crashes causes, crash
outcomes and the impact your highway safety
programs are having on those causes and outcomes.
20Why MMUCC?
- It will increase your ability to compare your
crash causes and outcomes with those of other
states (particularly MMUCC compliant states) and
help you to see (analyze) what areas your doing
well in and what areas may need improvement (i.e.
a new highway safety program approach)
21Why MMUCC?
- If your already a CODES states . . . CODES is
looking more at multi-state analysis . . . Your
MMUCC compliant crash database will put you 1
step ahead of the game . . . or conversely, at
least allow you to avoid scrambling to keep up
22Why MMUCC?
- A high tide raises all boats . . . If we,
collectively, can improve our ability to analyze
crash injury data . . . and document the value of
highway safety programs in impacting the number
of those injuries which occur (and their
severity) these programs will have a better
opportunity for optimal funding (whats good
for the goose)
23Or we can ignore this opportunityand gamble
with our future