Title: John Browne
1John Browne
2strategy
- choice create distinctive set of investment
opportunities - upstream bias
- invest or divest to realise value
- choice improves quality
- financial discipline balance cash in and cash
out over time at standardised assumptions - productivity strategic focus - right level of
costs - gross margin maximised with centrally allocated
capital and costs - choice combined with discipline and productivity
leads to long term growth with competitive returns
3dividends
5 year 20 year dollar dps 4 7 inflation 2
3
5 year 20 year sterling dps
7 7 inflation 2 4
CAGR
CAGR
10
10
8
8
6
6
4
4
2
2
0
0
dollardps
inflation
sterling dps
inflation
dollar dps
inflation
sterling dps
inflation
5 year average
20 year average
4strategy key points
- finding reserves
- building new upstream profit centres
- investment and returns upstream
- growth in refining, oil products marketing
petrochemicals
5upstream
- disproportionate share of largest / lowest cost
fields
discoveries gt 250mmboe1998 - 2002
- 1998 - 2001
- highest reserve replacement added by exploration
alone (119) - lowest finding cost (0.95/boe)
25
20
15
range
10
5
0
major competitors
BP
source company reports
source Wood Mackenzie
6superior opportunity set
relative production capacity new profit centres
2002
2007
ca. 20 of total
ca. 40 of total
BP projection
7building new profit centres
ROACE 10 9 10 11 12 14
proforma ROACE estimated using standardised
assumptions
source BP capacity projections 2003 - 2007
8upstream summary
ROACE 13 12 12
12 12 13
proforma ROACE estimated using standardised
assumptions
source BP capacity projections 2003 - 2007
9refining marketing
- proforma capital employed broadly flat
- asset high grading continues
- cost focus
- gross margin growth potential
- ROACE at standardised assumptionsexpected in
12-14 range
10petrochemicals
- focus on 7 advantaged products
- competitively advantaged gross margin structure
- capital employed broadly constant
- ROACE at standardised assumptions -3 expected
by 2006
11business segments
upstream Tony Hayward gas, power
renewables Ralph Alexander refining
marketing John Manzoni petrochemicals Iain Conn