THE CHANGING FACE OF MILITARY RISK

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THE CHANGING FACE OF MILITARY RISK

• Debbie Smith
• 13 Feb 2008

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Objectives

• Regional briefings
• Afghanistan
• Iraq
• The Threat
• Future deployments
• Insurance perspective
• Causes of mortality/morbidity
• Who deploys?
• Terminology
• Disclosure
• DIS benefits/AFPS
• Refund of extra premiums
• Opportunity to ask questions

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Afghanistan
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Helmand Province
CAMP BASTION
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UK Personnel in Afghanistan

• 52 Infantry Brigade Headquarters and 258 Signal
  Squadron
• 846 Naval Air Squadron
• Naval Strike Wing
• 40 Commando Royal Marines
• Armoured Support Group, Royal Marines
• The Household Cavalry Regiment
• 1st Battalion Coldstream Guards
• 1st Battalion Scots Guards
• 2nd Battalion The Yorkshire Regiment (Green
  Howards)
• 1st Battalion The Royal Gurkha Rifles
• 4th Regiment, Royal Artillery
• 36 Engineer Regiment
• 27 Transport Regiment, The Royal Logistic Corps
• 5 General Support Medical Regiment
• 1 Battalion, Royal Electrical and Mechanical
  Engineers
• Elements of The King's Royal Hussars
• Elements of The Queen's Royal Lancers
• Elements of 5th Regiment, Royal Artillery
• Elements of 16th Regiment, Royal Artillery

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UK Personnel in Afghanistan

• Elements of 10th Signal Regiment, The Royal Corps
  of Signals
• Elements of 14th Signal Regiment (Electronic
  Warfare), The Royal Corps of Signals
• Elements of 21st Signal Regiment (Air Support),
  The Royal Corps of Signals
• Elements of 30th Signal Regiment, The Royal Corps
  Signals
• Elements of 3 Regiment, Army Air Corps
• Elements of 1 Close Support Company, Royal
  Electrical and Mechanical Engineers
• Elements of 7th Battalion, The Rifles
• Elements of 52nd Lowland, 6 Battalion, The Royal
  Regiment of Scotland
• Elements of 9 Regiment, Army Air Corps
  Headquarters 102 Logistic Brigade
• Elements of 9 Supply Regiment, The Royal Logistic
  Corps
• Elements of 11 Explosive Ordnance Disposal
  Regiment, The Royal Logistic Corps
• Elements of 12 Logistic Support Regiment, The
  Royal Logistic Corps
• Elements of 13 Air Assault Support Regiment, The
  Royal Logistic Corps (47 Air Dispatch Squadron
• Elements of 24 Postal Courier and Movement
  Regiment, The Royal Logistic Corps
• Elements of 29 Postal Courier and Movement
  Regiment, The Royal Logistic Corps
• Elements of 148 Squadron Expeditionary Forces
  Institute (Volunteers), The Royal Logistic Corps
• Hospital Squadron formed from 201 Field Hospital
  (V) and 243 Field Hospital (V)
• Elements of 7 Air Assault Battalion, Royal
  Electrical and Mechanical Engineers
• 101 Provost Company, 5th Provost Regiment, Royal
  Military Police

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UK Personnel in Afghanistan

• 15 Regiment Field Squadron Royal Air Force
• 7 Force Protection Wing Headquarters Royal Air
  Force
• Elements of
• 18 Squadron Royal Air Force
• 24 Squadron Royal Air Force
• 27 Squadron Royal Air Force
• 30 Squadron Royal Air Force
• 47 Squadron Royal Air Force
• 70 Squadron Royal Air Force
• Elements of 1 Air Movements Wing Royal Air Force
• Elements of 85 (Expeditionary Logistic) Wing
  Headquarters, Royal Air Force
• Elements of 2 Motor Transport Squadron, Royal Air
  Force
• Elements of 5001 Squadron, Royal Air Force
• Elements of Mobile Catering Support Unit
• Elements of Tactical Medical Wing
• Elements of Tactical Armament Squadron
• Elements of Tactical Imagery Intelligence Wing
• Elements of 151Transport Regiment (Volunteers),
  The Royal Logistic Corps

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Why is there an International Force in
Afghanistan?

• 5 objectives
• To train the Afghan army to impose the authority
  of the central government USA
• To disarm the militia Japan
• To reform a traditionally corrupt police force
  Germany
• To reform the judiciary Italy
• To counter the narcotics trade - UK

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Iraq
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UK Personnel in Iraq

• NAVAL ELEMENTS
• UK Maritime Component Commander (UKMCC) Bahrain
• Command Task Force 158
• HMS Manchester
• HMS Cambletown
• HMS Enterprise
• RFA Bayleaf
• HMS Blyth
• HMS Ramsay
• RFA Cardigan Bay
• Naval Transition Team (NaTT) (Royal Navy/Royal
  Marines)
• ARMY ELEMENTS
• 4th Mechanised Brigade Headquarters and 204
  Signal Squadron
• The Royal Dragoon Guards
• 1st Battalion Scots Guards
• The Royal Scots Borderers, 1st Battalion The
  Royal Regiment of Scotland
• 1st Battalion The Duke of Lancaster's Regiment
  (King's, Lancashire and Border)
• 1st Battalion The Mercian Regiment (Cheshire)

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UK Personnel in Iraq

• Elements of 3rd (UK) Division Signal Regiment,
  The Royal Corps of Signals
• Elements of 1st (UK) Armoured Division Signal
  Regiment, The Royal Corps of Signals
• Elements of 10th Signal Regiment, The Royal Corps
  of Signals
• Elements of 14th Signal Regiment (Electronic
  Warfare), The Royal Corps of Signals
• Elements of 21st Signal Regiment (Air Support),
  The Royal Corps of Signals
• Elements of 6 Supply Regiment, The Royal Logistic
  Corps
• Elements of 16 Tank Transporter Squadron, 7
  Transport Regiment, The Royal Logistic Corps
• Elements of 11 Explosive Ordnance Disposal
  Regiment, The Royal Logistic Corps
• Elements of 84 Medical Supply Squadron, 9 Supply
  Regiment, The Royal Logistic Corps
• Elements of 150 Transport Regiment (Volunteers),
  The Royal Logistic Corps
• Elements of 24 Postal, Courier and Movement
  Regiment, The Royal Logistic Corps
• Elements of 29 Postal, Courier and Movement
  Regiment, The Royal Logistic Corps
• Elements of 148 Expeditionary Forces Institute
  Squadron (Volunteers), The Royal Logistic Corps
• Elements of 1 Battalion Royal Electrical and
  Mechanical Engineers
• 115 Provost Company, 1st Provost Regiment, Royal
  Military Police
• Elements of 102 Military Working Dog Support
  Unit, Royal Army Veterinary Corps
• Elements of 1 Military Intelligence Brigade

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UK Personnel in Iraq

• The UK air component deployed includes the
  following units
• 820 Naval Air Squadron (Merlin) Ship based
• 83 Expeditionary Air Group
• 901 Expeditionary Air Wing
• 902 Expeditionary Air Wing
  Basrah Air Station
• 903 Expeditionary Air Wing
• 34 Squadron Royal Air Force Regiment
• No 2 Force Protection Wing
• 847 Naval Air Squadron (Lynx)
• 1429 Flight Royal Air Force (Merlin)
  Based in Kuwait
• 120 Squadron/201 Squadron Royal Air Force (Nimrod
  MR2)
• 216 Squadron Royal Air Force
• 32 (The Royal) Squadron Royal Air Force (HS125)
• XIII Squadron Royal Air Force (Tornado GR4)
  Based in Qatar
• 101 Squadron Royal Air Force (VC10)
• Elements from 24 Squadron/30 Squadron/70 Squadron
  
• Royal Air Force (Hercules C1/3/Hercules
  C4/5)

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Why are UK Forces in Iraq?

• Provide leadership of MND South East
• UK
• Australia
• Romania
• Denmark
• Czech Republic
• Lithuania
• Training Iraqi security forces

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The Threat

• Mines

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The Threat

• Improvised Explosive Devices (IEDs)

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The Threat

• Rockets and Rocket Propelled Grenades (RPGs)

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Where next?

• Darfur Relief Operations
• Zimbabwe Evacuation of ex-pats/officials
• Kenya Evacuation
• Anywhere else..

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The Insurance Perspective
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Causes of mortality and morbidity

• Deaths
• Total deaths across all services (2006) 190
  (0.96 per mille)
• Increase of 18 from 2005 largely driven by
  spate of air crashes
• Conflicting statistics can confuse the issue
• DASA report 33 KIA, 14 killed by wounds
• Army website reports 44 deaths 37 due to
  hostile action, for same period (est 0.41 per
  mille)
• General mortality 20 deaths per 100,000 with
  40 deaths in 2006 (25 from cancer, 13 from
  circulatory disease and 2 other)
• Significant mortality from accidents
• 59 fatal road accidents and 36 other accident
• Suicide rate of 1 per 100,000 lower than
  Bosnian period
• Context Total forces 190,400 as at April 2007
• Estimated 1.3 per mille risk above general
  population?

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Morbidity

• Injuries sustained in Iraq in 2007
• 202 Army personnel wounded in action
• 24 VSI life threatening injury
• 45 SI serious injury with immediate cause for
  concern
• Involved 603 aeromedical evacuations
• Injuries sustained in Afghanistan in 2007
• 233 Army personnel wounded in action
• 23 VSI
• 40 SI
• 572 aeromed evacuations

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So, who will deploy and be at risk?

• Remember the earlier list of units deployed?
• What units do the fatalities come from?

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Iraq fatalities 2007
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Iraq 2007 fatalities (continued)

• 4th Battalion The Rifles 24 IED
• 4th Battalion The Rifles 48 Mortar attack
• 2nd Royal Tank Regt 21 RTA
• 4th Battalion The Rifles 28 SMARMS
• 4th Battalion The Rifles 30 SMARMS
• Royal Logistics Corps 21 IED
• Corps Royal Signals 49 RTA
• 4th Battalion The Rifles 18 SMARMS
• Duke of Lancaster Regt 20 SMARMS
• Queens Royal Lancers 24 IED
• Queens Royal Lancers 27 IED
• Parachute Regt 37 Heli crash
• RAF aircrew 27 Heli crash
• Intelligence Corps ? IED
• Royal Army Medical Corps 27 IED
• Royal Army Medical Corps 19 IED
• Duke of Lancaster Regt 19 IED
• 4th Battalion The Rifles 18 SMARMS
• Duke of Lancaster Regt 28 SMARMS

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Afghanistan fatalities 2007

• REME 1
• Green howards 1
• Hon Artillery Company 1
• Royal Highland Fusiliers 1
• 36 Engineer Regt 2
• Ghurka Regt 1
• Mercian Regt 6
• RAF Regt 1
• Royal Anglians 11
• Royal Marines 14
• Signal Corps 4
• Grenadier Guards 4
• Royal Artillery
  1 SIMILAR MIX OF SMARMS, IED,
  RTAS
• Worcester and Sherwood Foresters 2
• Royal Military Police 1
• Royal Irish Regt 3
• Parachute Regt 5
• Argylle and Sunderland Highlanders 1
• RAF 12 NIMROD CRASH

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Who wont deploy

• FTRS home based
• Civilian personnel
• Pregnant
• The sick and the lame!

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Frequency of deployment

• Harmony concept
• ARMY 6 months in any 3 years
• RAF differ
• aircrew tend to deploy for shorter periods, i.e.
  2 months in every 8
• Ground trades mix Op tours with OOA deployments
• NAVY high frequency of non home based
  deployments

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Terminology

• Under orders
• Notice to move varies by Unit, arm of forces
• Readiness states indicates how quickly they can
  be ready to go
• R0 Immediate Readiness - Force Elements ready
  to deploy, appropriately manned, equipped and
  supported
• R1 Extremely High Readiness At 2 days notice
• R2 Very High Readiness At 5 days notice
• R3 At 10 days notice
• R4 High Readiness At 20 days notice
• R5 At 30 days notice
• R6 Medium Readiness At 40 days notice
• R7 At 60 days notice
• R8 At 90 days notice
• R9 Low Readiness At 180 days notice
• R10 Very Low Readiness At 365 days notice
• R11 More than 365 days notice

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Disclosure

• If I have to tell you Ill have to kill you
• Official Secrets Act
• SAS/SBS/SRR

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DIS Benefits

• Old AFPS scheme
• New AFPS scheme
• Uplift for death in action

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Extra Premiums

• Certain occupations can reclaim extra premiums
  applied
• Aviators, divers, bomb disposal, SAS, etc
• Can reclaim 90 back (for a maximum of 7 years)
• Can only claim annually in arrears
• Can obtain forms from their local pay office
• Other occupations cannot reclaim

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• Any questions?