Title: db_jh_291100ppt
1Jukka HärmäläCEO, Stora Enso Deutsche Bank Alex.
Brown 2000 Basic Industries ConferenceNovember
29, 2000
2- It should be noted that certain statements
herein which are not historical facts, including,
without limitation those regarding expectations
for market growth and developments expectations
for growth and profitability and statements
preceded by believes, expects, anticipates,
foresees, or similar expressions, are
forward-looking statements within the meaning of
the United States Private Securities Litigation
Reform Act of 1995. Since these statements are
based on current plans, estimates and
projections, they involve risks and uncertainties
which may cause actual results to materially
differ from those expressed in such
forward-looking statements. Such factors
include, but are not limited to (1) operating
factors such as continued success of
manufacturing activities and the achievement of
efficiencies therein, continued success of
product development, acceptance of new products
or services by the Groups targeted customers,
success of the existing and future collaboration
arrangements, changes in business strategy or
development plans or targets, changes in the
degree of protection created by the Groups
patents and other intellectual property rights,
the availability of capital on acceptable terms
(2) industry conditions, such as strength of
product demand, intensity of competition,
prevailing and future global market prices for
the Groups products and the pricing pressures
thereto, price fluctuations in raw materials,
financial condition of the customers and the
competitors of the Group, the potential
introduction of competing products and
technologies by competitors and (3) general
economic conditions, such as rates of economic
growth in the Groups principal geographic
markets or fluctuations in exchange and interest
rates.
3Contents
- 1. Financial results
- 2. Stora Enso today
- 3. Market outlook
4Financial Results
5Sales and operating margin
MEUR
Sales
Operating margin
) Before non-recurring items
6Profit before tax and minority interests
MEUR
Before non-recurring items
Including non-recurring items
902
447
501
436
229
-378
7Return on capital employed
17.7
11.5
10.2
Target gt 13 over the cycle
) Before non-recurring items
8Debt/equity
Target 0.8 in year 2000
9Capital expenditure and depreciation
EUR million
Capital expenditure
Depreciation
)260
Target Should not exceed the level of
depreciation
) Non-recurring write-downs
10Stora Enso Today
11Stora Enso
- Sales about EUR 13 billion
- Production capacity 15 million tonnes of
paperand board annually - 5 million m3 of sawn goods
- About 45,000 employees
- Listed on the Helsinki, New York and Stockholm
stock exchanges
12Industrial strategy
- Product and customer focus
- Focus on core areas publication papers, fine
papers and packaging boards - The global marketing network will enhance the
level of service provided and enable Stora Enso
to build long-term customer relationships - Productivity and cost competitiveness
- Realisation of synergies
- Current productivity programmes
- Profitable growth
- Continue to play active role in industry
consolidation - While Europe remains the home market, the Group
will increasingly pursue global opportunities - Finance growth using primarily with cash flow and
divestiture proceeds
13Strong restructuring story
- Sale of power assets
- Shut down 40,000 tonnes carton board mill
inNewton Kyme, UK - Shut down permanently two coated fine
papermachines in the USA with a capacity
of80,000 tonnes - Established a forestry joint venture withAracruz
in Brazil - Established a 50/50 joint venture with Assi
Domänfor packaging boards, divesting the Gruvön
mill(600,000 tonnes) - Bought back 14 million shares (about 50/R, 2/A
shares)
14Stora Enso North America
- Division Stora Enso
- Sales, MEUR 2,540 12,920
- Capacity, Million tonnes 2,600 15,360
- Operating Capital, MEUR 5,595 15,034
- No. of Employees 7,260 46,700
- ) includes Gruvön mill (630 000 tonnes)
15Estimated Financial Synergies2001 - 2002
- USD million 2001 2002
- Best practices 50 60
- production efficiency
- cost savings
- Optimization of sales and logistics 30 40
- access to best distribution channels in USA
- European imports and Port Hawkesbury
- Purchasing 10 10
- Total 90 110
- Based on initial estimates and due diligence
16Cost-saving programme started by CPI
EstimatedUSD million Impact 2000 Material
substitution and reductions 33 Improved
productivity 20 Staffing 17 Price reductions
(purchased materials) 12 Energy and effluent
reductions 10 Other 8 Total 100 ) compared
with 1998
17North American Strategy
- First
- Integration process to be completed successfully
- Cash flow strong but increased depreciation will
be a burden in next few years - Second
- Due to strong platform, even acquiring mills and
asset swaps would be possible - Main interest in coated papers and packaging
boards - Third
- Name recognition
- status of local producer to customers
- investment alternative
18Future Outlook
- South America
- Joint venture with Aracruz strengthens presence
and increases future opportunities - Europe
- Consolidation will continue, especially in fine
paper - Growth opportunities in magazine paper and
newsprint limited - Russia
- Small step strategy to be realized by investing
in sawmilling and corrugated board - Asia
- Coated fine paper mill in Suzhou in China and
19.9 shareholding in Advanced Agro in Thailand
are our first steps in Asia
19e-Commerce
- e-Commerce is to come
- will lower marketing costs
- increased sales office focus on customer
relations - speed up delivery times
- working capital management
- But,
- importance of quality, product identity and
efficient logistics cannot be replaced - partnership with key account customers will
continue - e-Dialogue
20Summary
- Internal integration process will continue
- Various synergy and cost-efficiency programmes
will benefit financial performance - Consolidation will continue and Stora Enso
intends to play active role in the process - Target is to grow profitably and meet the
financial targets - Shareholder value
21Market Outlook
22Market Outlook
- Pulp
- Norscan inventories were at the end of
October1,5 million tonnes. - List price for long-fibre pulp in USD 710 and for
eucalyptus EUR 790 and birch pulp EUR 780 - There is slight oversupply in pulp market due to
the weakness in some fine paper grades. This
could weaken the market unless capacity
utilization levels are adjusted to demand. - Sawn timber
- Demand is expected to remain strong
- Supply is expected to increase, pressing the
market - Prices have declined but marginally
23Magazine Papers
- Western Europe
- Market remains tight with 10 growth in
January-October 9 in SC and 11 in CMR - Current order backlog is very strong
- Prices are mainly stable with some gains,
especially in offset - European prices are more than 30 below North
American prices - Strong demand expected for the rest of the year
and early 2001,despite of slowing but still
strong economy - North America
- Market remains tight with about 8 growth in the
period January-July 13 in SC and 6 in CMR - European imports surging due to weak euro
- Consumer inventories highest since September
1998,while producer inventories remain flat - Further price announcements as from October 1st,
although LWC price rise implementation will be
delayed until January
24Newsprint
- Western Europe
- Strong growth in advertising expenditure has
boosted newsprint demand, and deliveries grew by
5 in Jan-Oct - Prices are over 40 higher in the USA than in
Europe - Producer inventories are at lowest level since
December 1997 - Tight market situation is supporting planned
price increasesfor Jan 1, 2001 - North America
- The market is firm, but the growth has been
decelerating - The North American demand in Jan-Sept increased
by about 2 - The price went up by 50/ton in September, the
third hike in the last 12 months - Both producer and publisher inventories went down
in September and the producer inventories are
lowest since November 1998
25Fine Papers
- Europe
- Order inflow sluggish, especially in coated
woodfree - Merchant inventories high, but decreasing
- Uncoated woodfree price increases were
implemented in September and October - Mills are planning downtime to support coated
woodfree pricing - Recovery expected in spring 2001
- North America
- Short term outlook weak - long term positive
- Uncoated woodfree demand appears picking up,
coated woodfree market dim - Mills are planning downtime to support coated
woodfree pricing - High imports (e.g. CWF 31 through August)
holding back markets - Due to healthy demand and very modest capacity
increase the outlook for2001 is optimistic - Capacity closures will make worldwide uncoated
woodfree demand/supplybalance attractive in 2001
and 2002 - Asia
- Fine paper market plagued by over capacity -
underlying demand healthy - Prices continued to drop in September and October
due to over supply andfight for market shares - Exports to Europe expected to stay on rather low
level due to weak euro andhigh shipping costs
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