North Carolina in 10 years

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North Carolinain 10 years

• For I know the plans I have for you, declares
  the Lord Jeremiah 2911 (NIV)

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State Symbols

• State Bird
• Cardinal
• State Boat
• Shad boat
• State Flower
• Dogwood
• State Insect
• Honey bee
• State Mammal
• Gray squirrel
• State Motto
• To be, rather than to seem from Ciceros essay
  on friendship.

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Some interesting facts

• Population of NC
• currently 9 Million
• People per square mile 181
• NC Gross Domestic Product is 371 Billion which
  is 10th in the country and the 20th largest GDP
  in the worldsame as the country of Sweden

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Regions of NC
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WORKFORCE CHANGES
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Workforce Trends

• Traditional manufacturing continues to shed jobs
• Traditional middle jobs those that paid a
  family-sustaining wage and required minimal
  formal education or training are disappearing
• New job creation is concentrating in certain
  fast-growing metropolitan areas
• Impending baby-boom retirements will exacerbate
  an emerging skills gap among experienced, skilled
  workers

NC Department of Commerce
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Workforce Trends

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Workforce Trends

These four industries account for one-third of
all manufacturing jobs in NC
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Stop and Think

• Get together with others and talk about ways that
  you can reach people in North Carolina based on
  these workforce trends.
• HINTS
• Job retraining
• Raleigh and Charlotte influx of residents/jobs

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Our Target Audience
Educational Attainment in NC (2007)

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Stop and Think

• Discuss how we can talk to the 78 of North
  Carolinians who do not have a four-year college
  education and also reach the 22 who have a
  university degree or higher.
• HINTSWho is your current target group?
• What can you do to target the other group?

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POPULATION TRENDS
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Population of NCIs Getting Older

• Older adults are the fastest growing segment of
  North Carolinas population.
• Number of elderly people (65) in the state will
  more than double between 2000 and 2030,
  increasing from 969,000 in 2000 to 2.145 million
  by 2030.
• Number of oldest old (85) will much more than
  double during this time period, increasing from
  105,000 in 2000 to 258,000 in 2030.
• Reasons include natural increase (births minus
  deaths), increased life expectancies, and net
  migration into the state.

Source of data North Carolina State Demographics
Unit, Past and Expected Trends.
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65 Population in 2000Counties with over 15 of
total population 65
Statewide 12
Source of data North Carolina State Demographics
Unit, Census 2000.
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65 Population in 2020Counties with over 15 of
total population 65
Statewide 15
Source of data North Carolina State Demographics
Unit, Projected County Totals Standard Age
Groups, July 1, 2020.
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North Carolina Population Pyramids(1960 and 1990)
Source of chart UNC Chapel Hill, School of
Social Work, CARES NC Division of Aging.
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North Carolina Population Pyramids(2020)
Source of chart UNC Chapel Hill, School of
Social Work, CARES NC Division of Aging.
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Health Professionals In Short Supply
Source North Carolina Rural Health Research
Program, Cecil G. Sheps Center for Health
Services Research, University of North Carolina
at Chapel Hill
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Stop and Think

• Talk about ways that you can reach people in
  North Carolina based on these aging trends and
  the lack of health professionals in NC.
• HINT
• What kinds of services might the aging population
  need?

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CHANGING FACE OF NC
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Fort Bragg growth explosion

• Realignment of military bases will bring massive
  population growth in Eastern NC before 2013
• Eleven counties are identified as high growth
  areas
• Seven of those counties are considered Tier I
  counties because they are expected to see the
  most growth

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Fort Bragg growth explosion

• 2,651 active-duty soldiers
• 6,207 additional military employees
• TOTAL of 8,858 new military personnel moving in
  by 2013.
• Including families new residents in this area by
  2013 expected to total 40,800
• PLUS 1,675 reservists will train at Fort Bragg
  one weekend per month

Source BRAC Regional Task Force Report
www.bracrtf.com
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Fort Bragg growth explosion

• Military construction expenditures are expected
  to be 2.24 billion by 2013
• Privatized housing construction should total 336
  million

Source BRAC Regional Task Force Report
www.bracrtf.com
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Stop and Think

• How can North Carolina Baptists reach these new
  people moving into our state and provide
  assistance to the churches that will be trying to
  minister in that area?

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PUBLIC POLICY CHALLENGES
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Marriage in NC

• Currently NC has a DOMA or Defense of Marriage
  Act. This means it is written into our laws.
• This is similar to the Federal law on marriage.
• Twenty-six states have passed state
  constitutional amendments defining marriage as
  between one man and one woman. Not NC.
• Massachusetts was the first state to legalize
  same sex marriage in 2004. Many other states are
  at various stages of grappling with the issue.
• Amendment of the Federal Constitution has been
  proposed but not passed.

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Marriage in NC

• Marriage debate is important because many people
  believe that if same sex marriage is written into
  our laws, it could lead to sanctions against
  pastors who preach what the Bible says about
  homosexuality.
• Churches could lose tax exempt status if they
  choose to say that homosexuality is wrong.
• Hate crimes legislation and bullying bills are
  often opposed by Christians for the same reasons.
  These would make it illegal for anyone to speak
  out in opposition to homosexuality.

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Marriage in NC
Consequences of Same Sex Marriage Laws

• Children in public schools will be taught that
  both traditional marriage and same-sex marriage
  are okay.
• Churches will be sued if they refuse to allow
  same-sex marriage ceremonies in their religious
  buildings that are open to the public (this has
  already happened in New Jersey).
• Religious adoption agencies will be challenged by
  government agencies to give up their long-held
  right to place children only in homes with both a
  mother and a father. Catholic Charities in Boston
  has already closed its doors because of the
  legalization of same-sex marriage in
  Massachusetts.
• Religions that sponsor private schools, and which
  provide housing for married students, will be
  required to provide housing for same-sex couples,
  even if it runs counter to church doctrine, or
  lose tax exemptions and other benefits.
• Ministers who preach against same-sex marriages
  will be sued for hate speech and could be fined
  by the government. It has already happened in
  Canada, one of six countries that have legalized
  same-sex marriage.

Source Family Research Council,
http//www.frc.org/get.cfm?iPE08I10
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Sex Education in NC

• Current state law mandates the teaching of sex
  education with the expectation that school-aged
  children wait for marriage to have sex.
• Despite what you hear from the media and critics,
  Abstinence Until Marriage (AUM) education is not
  just say no sex education.
• Opponents of Abstinence education tried to
  overturn the state law in 2007 and instate
  Comprehensive Sexuality Education (CSE).
• Studies on the curriculum under CSE show no
  regard to sex as a sacred act and consider teen
  sex as normal.
• www.teenwire.com

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Lottery in NC

• North Carolinians opposed the lottery in this
  state for nearly 20 years.
• Lottery passed into law in NC in 2006.
• The legality of how that law passed is still
  making its way through the courts.
• Statistics show that following the lotterys
  introduction into a state, the number of problems
  gamblers rises dramatically within 5-10 years.
• Youth are particularly susceptible to gambling
  addictions.

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Stop and Think

• Discuss the implications of some of these public
  policy issues and what you might do in response.
• HINTS
• Christ-centered sex education
• Supporting favorable legislation
• Gambling addiction ministries

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New ways to communicate

• Blogs (Web Logs)
• Personal Web sites with regular journal entries.
  Blogs can be open for responses or not.
• Facebook
• Social networking Web sites begun as a way for
  college students to connect with each other. Used
  more and more by adults and professionals.
• Wikis
• A database of Web pages that visitors can edit
  live. EX Wikipedia.
• Twitter
• Twitter is a free social networking and
  micro-blogging service that allows its users to
  send and read other users' updates (otherwise
  known as tweets)
• You Tube/God Tube
• Free Web site for posting videos.

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Stop and Think

• Talk about ways that your group might use new
  technologies to communicate more effectively with
  people.