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An Overview of FOFEM 5

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Mortality predicted from bark thickness and crown scorch ... Fire intensity (flame length or scorch height) Outputs generated: Probability of mortality ... – PowerPoint PPT presentation

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Title: An Overview of FOFEM 5


1
An Overview of FOFEM 5
  • Missoula Fire Sciences Laboratory
  • Systems for Environmental Management

2
FOFEM 5 is
  • A computer system to calculate first-order fire
    effects from simple inputs.
  • A Windows program with a graphical
    user-interface also has a batch mode
  • A fire effects calculator that can be linked to
    GIS

First order fire effects are the immediate
consequences of fire, whether direct or indirect.
3
FOFEM 5 contains
  • scientific information from many research studies
  • heuristic information to bridge gaps and to
    select best data and equations
  • an extensive set of default inputs

4
FOFEM 5 applies in
  • Most U.S. forest types
  • Some rangeland vegetation types
  • Areas managed by different agencies

5
FOFEM 5 is used for
  • Conducting environmental assessments
  • Developing fire and silvicultural prescriptions
  • Assessing fire severity

6
FOFEM 5 predicts
  • Fuel consumption
  • Smoke production
  • Tree mortality
  • Soil heating

7
FOFEM 5 Fuel consumption
  • FOFEM 5 predicts consumption of
  • Duff and litter
  • Surface woody fuels by size class, sound and
    rotten
  • Live fuels and canopy fuels
  • FOFEM 5 uses Burnup, a theoretical model for
    predicting woody fuel consumption

8
FOFEM 5 Fuel consumption
  • Duff and live fuel consumption are predicted
    using rules and regression equations based on
  • cover type
  • region
  • moisture
  • season.
  • BURNUP predicts woody fuel consumption by
    simulating
  • heat transfer between fuel particles
  • combustion rate
  • resulting fire intensity

9
FOFEM 5 Fuel consumption
  • Inputs needed
  • Fuel load by size class
  • Fuel moisture
  • Outputs generated
  • Fuel consumption by size class
  • Post-burn fuel load

10
FOFEM 5 Smoke production
  • Predicts fuel consumption rate, emission
    production rate, and fire intensity over time for
    both surface and crown fires
  • Simulates the proportion of flaming and
    smoldering combustion
  • Combustion efficiency and emission factors vary
    with fuels and moisture.
  • Estimates production of PM10, PM2.5, CO, CO2,
    CH4, NOx, SOx

11
FOFEM 5 Smoke production
  • Smoke production is estimated by multiplying fuel
    consumption by emissions factors
  • FOFEM uses separate emissions factors for flaming
    and smoldering combustion
  • Flaming and smoldering combustion can occur
    simultaneously, in relative amounts depending on
    fuel moisture, fuel particle size class, and fire
    intensity.
  • Emission production is estimated in time
    intervals from ignition until combustion ceases.

12
FOFEM 5 Smoke production
  • Inputs needed
  • Fuel load by size class
  • Fuel moisture
  • Outputs generated
  • Smoke production over time for each emission
    species
  • Combustion efficiency and emission factors

13
FOFEM 5 Tree mortality
  • by species and size
  • 207 tree species
  • fire behavior must be input by user

14
FOFEM 5 Tree mortality
  • Mortality predicted from bark thickness and crown
    scorch
  • Species influences mortality only through bark
    thickness
  • FOFEM estimates bark thickness from species and
    diameter.
  • FOFEMs mortality algorithm has been found to be
    robust in independent tests
  • Does not account for season of burn, post-burn
    insect attack, drought, or differences in burn
    duration.

15
FOFEM 5 Tree mortality
  • Inputs needed
  • Tree species, dbh, height, crown ratio
  • Fire intensity (flame length or scorch height)
  • Outputs generated
  • Probability of mortality
  • Post-fire stand table

16
FOFEM 5 Soil heating
  • Soil heating model predicts time, temperature,
    depth profiles

17
FOFEM 5 Soil heating
  • If a duff layer is present
  • Unconsumed duff is an insulator
  • Consumed duff is a heat source
  • If a duff layer is not present
  • Heat from the surface fire drives soil heating

18
FOFEM 5 Soil heating
  • Interpreting soil heating output

19
FOFEM 5 Soil heating
  • Inputs needed
  • Surface fuel load by size class
  • fuel moisture content
  • Soil texture and moisture content
  • Outputs generated
  • Soil temperatures at a range of depths over time
  • Depth to 60 C and 275 C

20
FOFEM 5 Strengths
  • Simple, easy to learn and use
  • Can be used for a variety of purposes
  • Accommodates variable level of input detail
  • Expandable structure
  • Uses heuristic information to bridge research
    gaps

21
FOFEM 5 Collaboration
  • Fuel consumption Mark Finney and Frank Albini
    helped implement Burnup calculations and
    post-frontal emissions.
  • Smoke production Ann Acheson and Mark Schaaf
    helped design smoke module
  • Soil heating Roger Hungerford and Dan Jimenez
    helped implement the soil heating model

22
FOFEM 5 Acknowledgements
  • James K. Brown (retired) conceived the FOFEM
    concept.
  • FOFEM 5 was developed by Elizabeth D. Reinhardt
    and Robert E. Keane, Missoula Fire Sciences Lab.
  • Computer programming by Larry Gangi, Systems for
    Environmental Management, Missoula, Montana.
  • Roger Ottmar, PNW research station, helped allow
    the use of FCCs as a fuel input alternative.
  • Duncan Lutes, Systems for Environmental
    Management, assisted with assignment of fuel and
    tree parameters.
  • Ecosystem classification and default fuel
    loadings were developed by Scott Mincemoyer,
    Missoula Fire Sciences Lab.

23
FOFEM 5 more information
  • See the FOFEM 5 website at www.fire.org for more
    information and to download the software

24
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