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Mathematical Games and Gambling

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Chevalier's Gambling Problems. GAMBLE 1. Attempt to roll a six in four tosses of a single die ... If die lands on a 6 at least once in four rolls Chevalier wins ... – PowerPoint PPT presentation

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Title: Mathematical Games and Gambling


1
Mathematical Games and Gambling
  • A project by Anthony Ward

2
My Project
  • My project has two parts
  • How games can aid in the mathematical development
    process
  • The origins of gambling- when and how to gamble.

3
(No Transcript)
4
OMS Games
  • Who Wants to be a Millionaire- using questions on
    current topics, helps teacher ascertain gaps in
    student knowledge
  • Quick fire questions- develops quick thinking and
    mental arithmetic, and increase student
    participation in lessons.

5
Card, Coin and Dice games
  • In the Classroom- Develop ideas of probability
    and sample space.
  • At A-Level and above- Develop ideas of
    probability distributions, expectation and
    combinatorics.

6
THE PROBLEM
  • Seven houses contain seven cats.
  • Each cat kills seven mice.
  • Each mouse had eaten
  • seven ears of grain.
  • Each ear of grain would have
  • produced seven hekats of wheat.
  • What is the total of all of these?
  • Answer 742401

7
Chevaliers Gambling Problems
  • GAMBLE 1
  • Attempt to roll a six in four tosses of a single
    die
  • Slight advantage observed by Chevalier
  • GAMBLE 2
  • Attempt to throw two sixes in 24 tosses of 2
    dice.
  • Slight disadvantage observed by Chevalier

8
First Gamble- one 6 in four rolls
  • If die lands on a 6 at least once in four rolls
    Chevalier wins
  • If 6 is never thrown then he loses
  • Each throw is independent so
  • P(no 6 in 4 trials) (5/6)40.4823
  • P(at least one 6)1-0.48230.5177

9
Second Gamble- double six in 24
  • If both die land on a 6 (a double six) in 24
    rolls the gambler wins
  • If a double six does not occur gambler loses
  • Each throw is independent so
  • P(no double six)(35/36)240.5086
  • P(at least 1 double six)1-0.5086)0.4914

10
Expectations of the gambles
  • Gamble 1
  • E(X)1.(0.5177) (-1).(0.4823)0.0354
  • Gamble 2
  • E(X)1.(0.4914) (-1).(0.5086)-0.0172

11
The Roulette Wheel
  • On an American roulette wheel, there exists 38
    identical spaces in which the ball can land. The
    numbers 0, 00, and 1-36.
  • Each pays out at odds of 1-35
  • E(X)35.(1/38) 1.(37/38) -0.0526
  • Conclusion Dont play!

12
Do Gambles with positive expectations really
exist?
  • Blackjack or 21 Card Counting
  • Very complicated and beyond the scope of this
    project.
  • Roulette strategies More investigation needed

13
ANY QUESTIONS?
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