Sixteen Trends: Their Profound Impact on Our Future

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Sixteen Trends Their Profound Impact on Our
Future
Prepared by James Hardy Massachusetts
Association of School Committees
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Sixteen Trends

• Their Profound Impact on Our Future
• Written by Gary Marx
• Published by the Educational Research Service

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Think Outside the Box
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Think Outside the Box
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Think Outside the Box
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1. First Time Old Will Outnumber Young
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1. First Time Old Will Outnumber Young

• Seniors have time and energy to get involved and
  vote
• Greatest transference of wealth as Boomers will
  savings to young/charities
• Organizations will adjust work schedules to keep
  older workers on the job

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Implications for Education

• Balancing the political demands of the young and
  the old
• Recruiting and retaining older citizens for
  service as educators
• Promoting cross-generational communication
• Communicating with people who dont have kids in
  schools
• Maintaining the solvency of pension funds

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2. U.S. Becoming Nation of Minorities
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2. U.S. Becoming Nation of Minorities

• By 2050 Non-Hispanic white majority will reduce
  from 71 to 53
• White birth rates reduce from 64 to 46
• 90 of teachers are white

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Implications for Education

• Improving achievement for all students
• Provide inclusive, multicultural education
• Catching up with the students
• Developing language and other communication
  skills
• Developing and international focus

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3. Social Intellectual Capital Most Important
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3. Social Intellectual Capital Most Important

• Schools prepare students for global
  knowledge/information age
• People require constant retraining
• Turn information into wisdom

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Implications for Education

• Preparing students for the future, not the past
• Creating a new knowledge/information-based model
  for schools
• Getting students ready for the new economy
• Serving as a prime source of intellectual
  leadership for the community

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4. Technology Increase Pace of Advancement
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4. Technology Increase Pace of Advancement

• We are connected to our home, our office, and the
  world by cell phones, headsets, pagers, GPS, and
  PDAs
• People access world knowledge
• Routine functions happen from anywhere
• Macro gtMicro gtNanogtSubatomic

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Implications for Education

• Capitalizing on the benefits of distance
  education
• Meeting the demand for higher-level teaching
  skills
• Opening the classroom to the world
• Investing in science education
• Teaching the ethical dimensions of technology

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5. Millennial Generation Insist on Solutions to
Old Problems
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5. Millennial Generation Insist on Solutions to
Old Problems

• GIs, Silents, Boomers, Xers gt Millennials,
  Generation E
• Millennials (1982-2003) have been in our schools
  since 1987
• Millennials expect action and problems solved
• In 2004, the emergence of Generation E (K 2009)

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Implications for Education

• Helping students, educators, and communities
  understand divergent views
• Teaching students how to make change peacefully
  and democratically
• Developing student teamwork and management skills
• Listening to students giving them a voice
• Building media literacy skills

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6. Education Will Become More Personalized
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6. Education Will Become More Personalized

• Standards lead to high-stakes accountability
• Intense competition for community resources
• Focus education on individuals not groups

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Implications for Education

• Personalizing as a key to reaching standards
• Ensuring standards do not limit the curriculum or
  push students out of school
• Developing mutual expectations
• Developing the individual talents and abilities
  of all students

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A New Way of Thinking
7. Knowledge Creation and Breakthrough Thinking
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7. Knowledge Creation and Breakthrough Thinking

• Intellectual and social capital will increase
• Time of re-invention
• Identify alternatives rather than arbitrary
  solutions
• Increase knowledge creation and breakthrough
  thinking

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Implications for Education

• Helping students learn across disciplines
• Applying what we know from cognitive research
• Making thinking and reasoning basic to education
• Helping students turn data and information into
  usable knowledge and knowledge into wisdom
• Emphasizing the arts as a way to create, express,
  and think across diciplines

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8. Continuous Improvement Collaboration
Replace Quick Fixes
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8. Continuous Improvement Collaboration
Replace Quick Fixes

• Improve processes to increase productivity
• Provide high-quality products and services for
  other nations
• Millennials Gen Xers require voice in
  organization decision making

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Implications for Education

• Putting the status quo to rest
• Developing and adopting a continuous improvement
  process
• Using continuous improvement as a springboard for
  constant renewal
• Bringing community and staff on board
• Maintaining flexibility to deal with a
  fast-changing world

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9. Scientific Discoveries Will Force Difficult
Ethical Choices
Who Defines Our Limits?
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9. Scientific Discoveries Will Force Difficult
Ethical Choices

• Scientific discoveries must meet ethical
  dimensions
• Code of ethics and conduct important
• Competition for world resources will separate
  haves from have nots

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Implications for Education

• Modeling ethical leadership
• Including an ethics component in every course
• Offering professional development to build
  capacity to teach about ethics
• Making the school system an ethical resource for
  the community

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10. Common opportunities and threats will
intensify a worldwide demand for planetary
security.
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10. Personal Security/Self-Interest
Planetary Security

• Students who are in our schools and colleges
  today will be expected to develop the ideas,
  techniques, and technologies to sustain our
  planet
• The population of our planet is expected to grow
  50 between 2000 and 2005

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Implications for Education

• Balancing economic development and environmental
  sustainability
• Considering the impact of globalization
• Offering futures courses
• Stimulating creativity
• Building media literacy skills
• Developing a sense of possibility

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• 11. Polarization and narrowness will bend toward
  reasoned discussion, evidence, and consideration
  of varying points of view

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11. Narrowness Open-Mindedness

• We have growing numbers of people whose
  righteousness has hardened their attitudes and
  limited their view
• For some, everything is straightforward black or
  white
• People declare themselves liberal or conservative

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Implications for Education

• Prepare people to engage in reasoned discussion
• Offer courses that encourage thinking and
  reasoning and communication skills
• Students and other citizens will need to master
  the art of making change peacefully and
  democratically

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12. International learning, including diplomatic
skills, will become basic.
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12. Isolationist Independence Interdependence

• National reputations ---They depend on each of us
  and all of us
• The behaviors of governmental and
  non-governmental organizations, businesses, and
  individuals help shape our national reputations
• Policies and actions speak more loudly than words

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Implications for Education

• International education will become basic
• Society should be prepared to communicate and do
  business across international boundaries.
• Demand will grow for continuing education
  programs that focus on international issues and
  opportunities

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13. People will seek personal meaning in an
always on, fast-paced society
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13. Personal Accomplishment Personal
Meaning

• Need people are feeling to step back from the
  frenzy and seek spiritual renewal
• Is time money?
• In addition to looking outward, even more people
  will be looking inward to personal relationships

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Implications for Education

• Considering how business, government, education,
  and other institutions can contribute to
  work-life balance
• Attracting more young people and seasoned workers
  into public service careers, including education
• Paying more attention to emotional health

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14. Understanding will grow that Sustained
Poverty is expensive, debilitating, and
unsettling.
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14. Sustained Poverty Opportunity
and Hope

• The distinction between the haves and the
  have-nots is broadening and becoming even clearer
• From generation to generation it increases
  exponentially
• Fewer resources at home, negative stereotyping,
  placement in lower tracks or ability groups,
  retention and an anti-school attitude

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Implications for Education

• Offering education programs that prepare people
  to avoid or overcome poverty
• Understanding the history and consequences of
  sustained poverty

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15. Prepare people for jobs and careers that may
not currently exist
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15. Career Preparation Career Adaptability

• Jobs that are commonplace today will become
  museum pieces right next to typewriter repair
  people
• Some of the new occupations include Cybrarians,
  Web Gardners, Robotic Engineers, Automotive Fuel
  Cell Battery Technician and Hybrid Technicians,
  and Programming Artists

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Implications for Education and Society

• Schools and colleges will become centers for
  continuing education, training, and retraining
• Fresh approaches will be needed to teach career
  and entrepreneurial skills
• Educational systems will need to understand
  changes in industries and careers, and be able
  and willing to adapt

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16. Competition will increase to attract/keep
qualified educators
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16. Demand gt Higher Demand

• U.S. is faced with attracting around two
  million-plus teachers during the first decade of
  the 21st century
• 35 million more teachers are needed throughout
  the world
• Institutions work with schools
• Attract talented educators to schools

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Implications for Education

• Providing the community with its number-one
  attraction
• Ensuring a qualified workforce
• Setting up programs for recruiting and retaining
  outstanding educators
• Assigning excellent teachers to schools where
  needs are greatest
• Improving preparation and professional
  development programs

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Questions?
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• Thats All Folks!