Die Johannes Kepler Universitt Linz

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Die Johannes Kepler Universitt Linz

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Mikro konomie (Wiederholung Teil 3) 1. Prof. Dr. Friedrich Schneider ... Recht und konomie WS09/10 Mikro konomie Wiederholung Teil 3 Prof. Dr. Friedrich Schneider ... – PowerPoint PPT presentation

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Title: Die Johannes Kepler Universitt Linz


1
Prof. Dr. Friedrich Schneider Institut für
Volkswirtschaftslehre http//www.econ.jku.at/sch
neider
Recht und Ökonomie (Law and Economics) LVA-Nr.
239.203 WS 2009/10 Mikroökonomie (Wiederholung
Teil 3)
1
2
Outline of the section on Microeconomics
  • 1 Basic concepts and tools
  • Consumer theory
  • Theory of the firm
  • 4 Interactions of households and firms
  • 5 Game theory
  • 6 Pricing of assets
  • 7 Welfare economics
  • 8 Uncertainty

3
5.1 Game Theory
  • Basic objective general analysis of strategic
    interaction(s)
  • Applications
  • war or arms race
  • political negotiations
  • markets economics of imperfect competition
  • legal disputes
  • competitions, e. g. sports

4
5.2 Payoff Matrix of a Game
  • Outcome of a game (gains or losses) for any given
    pair of action/reaction by players involved
  • Dominant strategy
  • A bottom
  • B left

5
5.3 Nash-Equilibrium
  • Each players choice is optimal given the other
    players choice
  • Nash-Equilibrium
  • if A chooses top, B will choose left
  • If B chooses left, A will choose top
  • thus (top, left) is a Nash-Equilibrium
  • but (bottom, right) is also a Nash- Equilibrium!

6
5.4 Prisoners Dilemma
  • Bonny Clyde are suspected of a robbery
    questioned in separate rooms.
  • There is no conclusive evidence, thus
  • confession is needed for a conviction for
    robbery otherwise its only illegal possession
    of a weapon.
  • No one confesses 1 year for both.
  • One confessor goes free, the other will get 6
    years.
  • Both confess, each gets 3 years.

7
5.5 Payoff Matrix for the Prisoners Dilemma
  • Unique Nash- equilibrium is for both to confess.
  • Obviously it would be optimal for both to deny
    Pareto optimum!
  • Applications
  • cartel cheating
  • arms control

8
5.6 One-shot vs. Repeated Games
  • Which is the correct way to play the game?
  • Important finite or infinite number of rounds!
  • with finite number of rounds no change in the
    outcome
  • with infinite repetitions of the game if
    cooperation is best (Pareto-optimal) threat of
    non-cooperation may (will?) induce cooperation.
  • Experiment use experts favourite strategies of
    P. D. in a computer simulation
  • outcome simple tit-for-tat gets highest payoff!

9
5.7 Sequential Games
  • Thus far players acted simultaneously.
  • Now suppose that one player (A) starts.
  • He will choose bottom
  • outcome (bottom, right)
  • But B would prefer top!
  • B could threaten A to choose left credibility?
  • Monopolist (B) deters entry of competitor (A).

10
5.8 Pure and Mixed Strategies
  • Pure strategy choice is made and then maintained
    (with certainty).
  • Mixed strategy the choice by each player has a
    certain probability.
  • Sometimes there may be no equilibrium solution in
    pure, but only in mixed strategies.

11
5.9 Applications of Game Theory (1)
  • Games of coordination
  • prisoners dilemma contract
  • arms race disarmament agreement
  • Games of competition
  • assumption on probable reaction of competitor
  • Games of coexistence
  • biology (dove-hawk game)

12
5.10 Applications of Game Theory (2)
  • Games of commitment
  • frog/scorpion
  • kidnapper/hostage
  • generations
  • Bargaining games
  • Nash bargaining specify properties of
    reasonable solution and show uniqueness of
    solution.
  • Rubinstein bargaining analyse sequence of
    choices and solve for subgame perfect
    equilibrium (e.g. division of a given sum only
    fair offer will be acceptable social norm of
    behaviour?).

13
6.1 Pricing of Assets
  • An asset can be land, a company, shares in a
    corporation, a patent, an annuity,
  • The asset generates income, assumed to accrue
    annually rent, dividend, interest, ...
  • In principle, the value of an asset is the sum of
    the income stream, F, it generates over its life
    span, n.
  • Due to time preferences, income accruing in the
    future has to be discounted at the rate r.

14
6.2 Present discounted value
  • We assume an income stream over a fixed period of
    time, n.
  • Then the present discounted value (PDV) becomes
  • PDV F1/(1r) F2/(1r)2 F3/(1r)3
    Fn/(1r)n
  • For an infinite constant income stream, F, we get
  • PDV F/r

15
6.3 Applications of Asset Pricing
  • Determine value of damages, e. g. of destroyed
    property
  • Value of land in case of expropriation
  • Value of life
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