3rd NCEP/NWS Ensemble User Workshop

1
3rd NCEP/NWS Ensemble User Workshop

• James Nelson
• Alaska Region

2
Ensemble Training

• Forecaster Training
• Train the trainer
• Web based training (HPC)
• E-learn
• Customer Outreach
• Centralized presentations with capabilities to
  add local products
• GFE Training for Prob. Products
• New smart tools and training on how to create new
  tools to take advantage of new fields.

3
Ensemble Data Flow

• Need to be smart with what we are sending to the
  field. Resources are tight on the SBN.
• Develop some outreach from the centers to
  determine best products and fields to send to
  AWIPS/GFE and Web.

4
Alaska Products

• Ice edge forecast
• Freezing Spray
• Storm surge

5
Verification

• Verification will be key to provide confidence
  for users or explore other options for
  development in ensemble system.
• NWS regions need to be part of this process as
  well.

6
GFE Tools

• Tools needed to manipulate new grids for
  uncertainty products in the NDFD
• GFE enhancements to software are needed to
  improve past 15 yr old technology.

7
Questions?