Title: Managing in Global Downturn
1Managing in Global Downturn
- How to Survive Thrive in Recessionary Times
Manfred Jantzen, Ph.D. Senior Advisor
Lecturer University of the West Indies
2The Solution Leadership Challenge
- Identify The Problem
- Understand The Environment
- Develop The Solutions
- Implement The Actions
- Evaluate The Results
Solution Execution
3Information Resource
We live work in a new globalized reality in
which
Information is the dominant wealth-generating
resource
that flows at the speed of light, at nearly 186
000 miles per second in the Global Space.
Is the individual, the organization, the society,
the world ready for it?
4(No Transcript)
5Adaptive Human System (AHE)
Actuality
Real World
Complex Adaptive System Environment (C.A.S.E.)
System Information Scan
Alignment Loop
Adjustment Loop
System Behavior Model
Growth Direction
Maintenance Enablers
Relations ? Stakeholders Structures
? Operations Processes ?
Performance Competencies ? Knowledge
Reality Perception
Vision ? Values Mission ?
Priorities Strategy ? Delivery Results ?
Outputs
System Operations Action
System External Feedback
System Internal Feedback
System Performance Consequences
6Adaptive Human Enterprise Feedback View Dynamic
Disequilibrium
Scan
Consequences
Real World Actuality
Real World Actuality
System Maintenance Adjustment Closed
Balancing Loop (-) Stability - Order
System Growth Alignment Open Amplifying Loop
() Risk Instability- Chaos
Model
System Dynamic Disequilibrium
Action
Action
7Complex Adaptive System Waves Dynamics Riding the
Waves of Change
The Future
C
Paradigm Shifting System The Path of the Attractor
Results Measures
B
Open systems like Life Cheat the laws for a
while Over time life Develops
Order Driven Stability -Certainty
Transformation Range
Self Directed Significant Change Event
Attractor
Recovery
A
Recovery
High Performance Behavior Range
Discovery Range
Crisis Significant Change Event
Other Directed Change
Self Directed Change
Thermo Dynamic Law I Conservation of Energy
Dysfunctionality Failure/Death
Chaos driven Relations/Patterns Unfolds
Effort Unfolds
Time
Thermo Dynamic Law II Entropy
8If you do not create your own future someone
else will do it.Dont let this happen.The
Future is Now and it is Yours