Analytical%20framework

1
Analytical framework

• The restructuring of the European
  defense industry is far from being a simple pro
  rata adjustment of supply to changes in demands
  arising from objective changes in the security
  environment. It is inextricably bound up with
  the development of institutions, policy paradigms
  (in both the military and the industrial
  domains), business networks, and relationships
  between companies and governments.
• John Lovering, Which Way to Turn? The
  European Defense Industry After the Cold War, in
  Anne Markusen and Sean Costigan, eds., Arming the
  Future A Defense Industry for the 21st Century
  (New York Council on Foreign Relations Press,
  1999), 342.

2
What is strategy?

• Since strategic problems are wicked ultimate
  outcomes are not predictable, strategies are best
  guesses (heuristics)
• He who predicts the future lies, even if he
  tells the
• truth
• Arab Proverb
  
• In competitive situations, strategies are about
  identifying or creating asymmetries that can be
  exploited to help achieve ones ultimate
  objectives despite the active, opposing efforts
  of adversaries or competitors to achieve theirs
• The quintessential strategy story is of
  unexpected
• strength brought against discovered weakness.
  Not
• simply the deft wielding of power, but the actual
  
• discovery of power in a situation, an insight
  into
• a decisive asymmetry.
• Richard Rumelt, 2004

3
A Cognitive View of the Levels of War