Title: Epidemiology
1Epidemiology Impact of Alcohol and Drug (AOD)
Use in Australia
2Relevance to GPs
- Psychoactive drug problems are in the top 1020
problem areas managed by GPs - GPs encounter AOD-related problems across wide
age ranges (e.g. from 12-year-olds using volatile
substances to older people with alcohol and
sedatives) - Basic information on patterns and prevalence will
assist GPs to identify patients with potential
AOD problems.
3Emphasising Diversity
- AOD patterns of use vary across local, state and
national levels - Variations also exist between city, urban, rural
and remote areas - Types of drugs used and patterns of use vary
within communities and culturally diverse
populations - An individuals pattern of use also changes over
time, and requires regular monitoring - Drug use is determined by numerous factors
including availability, access, cost, social
norms and sanctions, social controls, cultural
diversity.
4Drugs in Context
Figure 1 Attributable risk factor DALYs as a
proportion () of total DALYs (AIHW 2000)
Epidemiology Impact
5Tobacco, alcohol and illicit drugs were
responsible for 8.9 of the total global burden
of disease world wide in 2000.
Drugs and the Global Burden of Disease
WHO (2003)
6Top 10 Major Causes of Death
6. COPD 7. Road traffic accidents 8. Breast
cancer 9. Diabetes Mellitis 10. Dementia.
- 1. Ischaemic Heart Disease (IHD)
- 2. CVA
- 3. Lung cancer
- 4. Suicide
- 5. Colorectal cancer
7Drug-induced Deaths
8Predicted Changes in Drug Use
- 1. Tobacco decrease in developed countries,
increase in developing countries - 2. Alcohol will continue to be problematic for
younger people - 3. Illicit drug use increasing numbers of young
people and females - 4. Patterns of illicit drug use will vary
increasingly rapidly - 5. Polydrug use will continue
- 6. New illicit drugs will continue to emerge
with advances in creative pharmacology.
9Key Sources of Alcohol and Drug Epidemiological
Data
- Better Evaluation and Care of Health (BEACH)
Project - database of GP / patient encounter information
- National Drug Strategy (NDS) Household Surveys
- population based data on patterns and prevalence
of use - Illicit Drug Reporting System (IDRS)
- early warning system to identify drug use trends
- National Minimum Data Set for Alcohol and Other
Drugs of Concern (NMDS-AODTS) - annual survey of all Australian AOD treatment
services
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11Epidemiology Impact
12Recent Drug Use
AIHW (2002)
13Tobacco
- National prevalence of daily smoking 19.5
- Drop of over 2 from 1998
- I in 5 teenagers smoked in 2001, 15 smoked
daily - 26 of the pop. had ceased smoking
- GP interventions esp. important.
AIHW (2002)
14Alcohol
- Still the most popular drug
- over 80 of population drinks
- 8 drink daily, peak in males 60 (23) 40
drink weekly - At-risk drinking now defined by NHMRC as
- risks of harm in the long term
- risks of harm in the short term
- Important role for GPs in giving advice
consistent with NHMRC risk levels.
15Australias Drinking Guidelines
- Australias drinking guidelines were developed by
the NHMRC. - See www.nhmrc.gov.au
16A Standard Drink
17Risky Drinking Patterns
- 34 of drinkers (gt14 yrs) put themselves at risk
of alcohol-related harm, in the short term, on at
least one occasion over 12 months - Over one in 10 females aged 1419, and over one
in six males aged 2029, put themselves at risk
of alcohol-related harm, in the short term - 60 of 2029 yr olds drink in a risky manner
- 12 do so at least weekly.
18Who drinks?
Age
19Drinking Patterns for Acute Harm
High Risk M gt 11 SD p.d. F gt 7 SD p.d.
ABSTAINERS
Risky M gt 7 SD p.d. F gt 5 SD p.d.
RISKY / HIGH RISK
Low Risk M 6 SD p.d. F 4 SD p.d.
LOW RISK
1 Standard Drink (SD) 10g of alcohol
20Risky Drinking Patterns
Percentage of the population who drink at medium
to high risk levels for acute harm at least once
a month (2001)
21Drinking Patterns for Chronic Harm
ABSTAINERS
High Risk M gt7 SD p.d. F gt5 SD p.d.
LOW RISK
HIGH RISK
Risky M 5 - 6 SD p.d. F 3 - 4 SD p.d.
RISKY
Low Risk M 4 SD per day F 2 SD per day
1 Standard Drink (SD) 10g of alcohol
22Indigenous Drinking Patterns
23Alcohol Induced Memory Loss
- Teenagers (28.4) were most likely to have memory
loss incident following drinking - 4.4 reported blackouts occurred on weekly
basis - 10.9 reported blackouts on a monthly basis
- Memory loss occurred after drinking for
- 12 male drinkers aged gt40 years
- 6.6 female drinkers aged gt40 years
- 2030 of all other age groups.
24Alcohol and Days of Work or Study Missed
25NDRI (2000)
26Recent Illicit Drug Use
Drug
27Illicit Drug Users Characteristics
- People who used drugs recently were more likely
to
- have post-school qualifications
- not be the most socio-economically disadvantaged
- live in urban, rather than rural or remote areas
- be unemployed.
28Patterns of Illicit Drug Use (1)
- Approx. 1 in 5 Australians have ever used an
illicit drug, other than cannabis - 1.3 million people (8.4 pop.) used an illicit,
other than cannabis, in past 12 months - Recent users were most likely to be
- males
- aged 2029 (one in five males used illicits,
other than cannabis, in last 12 months) - Average age of first use ranged from 17.6 years
(inhalants) to 22.8 years (tranquillisers) - 13 pop. used cannabis in last 12 months.
29Patterns of Illicit Drug Use (2)
- Illicit drug use peaks at age 2029, then
declines with age - Teenagers are the next group most likely to use
illicit drugs - 28 teenagers have used an illicit drug
(cannabis is most common 25) - Reasons for using illicit drugs
- curiosity (82)
- peer pressure (55)
- excitement (22)
- to take a risk (10).
30Recent Injecting Drug Use
AIHW (2003)
31Injecting Drug Use
- In 2001
- 0.6 of Australians reported injecting in past
12 months - 60,000 persons aged 2029 years reported
injecting illicits in past 12 months - almost 10,000 teenagers reported injecting in
2001 - average age of first injecting was 20.2 years
- males were more likely to have ever injected.
AIHW (2002)
32Injecting Drug Use and AIDS
WHO (2003)
33The Threat from HIV
By 2010, HIV will have caused more deaths than
any disease outbreak in history.Injecting drug
use is an important contributor to the spread of
HIV/AIDS.
34Epidemiology Impact
35Heroin
- Around 0.2 prevalence of recent use
- - down from 0.8 in 1998
- 50 of population consider heroin the main drug
problem up from 37 in 1998 - Highest usage amongst 2029 years
- Lifetime prevalence 1.6.
AIHW (2002)
36Heroin Trends
- Availability tended to increase from 2002 to 2003
(after sharp decrease in 2001) - Price decreased from 2002 to 2003
- Cheapest in NSW, most expensive in NT
- Purity and number of seizures has decreased.
Breen et al. (2003)
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38Amphetamines
Amphetamines make up the illicit drug group most
likely to have been
- ever injected
- most recently injected
- In 2001
- 8.9 pop. reported trying amphetamines
- 3.4 pop. had used in the last 12 months
- 1 in 9 people aged 2029 had used amphetamines in
the last 12 months
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40Methamphetamine
Methamphetamine is the more commonly used form of
ATS
- Methamphetamine was cheapest in SA
- Powder and base easiest to obtain
- Availability was stable
- Crystal meth often more difficult to obtain in
some places - Methamphetamine use has decreased or stabilised
in most jurisdictions in 2002.
Breen et al. (2003)
41Ecstasy
- Recent use prevalence 2.9
- Highest recent use among males 2029 years (13)
- Significant increases in use by females 2029
years and females overall - Ever used 6, up slightly from 1998.
42Cocaine
- Decreased in frequency and prevalence of use in
NSW - In other states remains uncommon, therefore
infrequently used - NSW showed an association between increased
heroin use and decreased cocaine use - Median purity of domestic seizures was lower than
in recent years, though purity at border seizures
was higher.
Breen et al. (2003)
43Volatile Substances
- Sporadic patterns of use
- Mostly young males
- Disadvantaged and dislocated young people most at
risk.
44Cannabis (1)
- 13 recent use, down from 18 in 1998
- 24 reported opportunity to use
- One in four teenagers, and one in three 2029
years, used in past 12 months - Males rates higher than females for all age
groups - 33 ever used.
AIHW (2003)
45Cannabis (2)
- Most stable of illicit drug markets
- Easy to obtain
- Prices have decreased slightly since last IDRS
- Dominant form is hydroponically grown version,
though bush, hash and hash oil was available
across all jurisdictions.
Breen et al. (2003)
46Cannabis Users, Preferred Concurrent Use
47Polydrug Use
- Most people who use illicit drugs use a variety
of different drugs - Polydrug use is the norm among drug users
- Particular combinations of drugs are preferred
- Particular patterns of drug substitution also
occur (e.g., alcohol is widely used as a
substitute drug for heroin when the latter is in
short supply).
48Profiles of Harm
49Drugs and Young People
(1417 yrs)
- Alcohol use
- 66 had a full glass of alcohol in the last 12
months, about 20 drank weekly - 34 drinking at risky/high risk levels for short
term harm (same as general population). - Illicit drug use
- 31 had used an illicit drug (including cannabis)
- 12 had used an illicit drug other than cannabis.
50Principal Drugs of Concern
Proportion of clients seeking treatment by
principal drugs of concern and jurisdiction,
2002-03
NMDS (200203)
51Client Registrations by Source of Referral
52All Drugs Health Care Costs
59.2M
225 M
1094.9M
Collins Lapsley (2002)
53All Drugs Total Social Costs
6 075M
7 560M
6 075m
7 560m
21 063M
21 063m
Total social costs of AOD use 31 439.8m
Collins Lapsley (2002, p. 59)
54All Drugs Tangible Social Costs
5 107M
5 541M
5 107m
5 541m
7 587M
7 587m
Collins Lapsley (2002, p. 58)