AMY

1
AMY

• Some concluding remarks
• Howard Cattle

2
AMY

• AMY brings together some 21 regional projects
  plus other national and international programme
  contributions. But what does AMY bring us?
• At one level, AMY acts to provide communication
  between these facilitating interactions between
  them
• Challenge is to meld AMY into a coordinated
  international programme rather than a loose
  collection of projects/activites - on way (this
  meeting)
• Science plan - still work to do on observation,
  modelling and data management issues
• How will AMY be delivered - need for focussed
  Implementation Plan

3
AMY Science Plan

• Science Plan identifies a wide range of science
  questions classified according to timescale
  (diurnal -gt decadal) and against a number of
  science foci
• Science plan objectives which emerge are focused
  around
• Ocean-atmosphere interaction
• Land-atmosphere interaction
• Improve skill in seasonal to interannual
  prediction of the Asian monsoon
• Development of a hydrometeorological prediction
  system and database
• Human interactions with the monsoon
• SSC plus Working Groups are against observations,
  modelling and data management
• Doesnt yet bring a fully coordinated science
  approach between inputs and objectives

4
Classification of projects

• Continental hydroclimatology land-atmosphere
  interactions and weather-monsoon interactions
• Impact of the Tibetan Plateau
• Aerosol/cloud/radiation/water cycle interactions
• Ocean-atmosphere interactions tropical cyclones
• Monsoon prediction including climate trends
• Interactions between human and natural components
• Plus contributions from wider national/internatio
  nal activities
• 1-3 above part of land surface interactions
  overall. Hydromet prediction system can be added
  in (MAHASRI)

5
Classification of Projects
Hydroclimatology, weather CEOP, SACOL, PRAISE, SCHeREX, SoWMEX/TiMREX, IITM/rain, CTCZ, STORM, MAHASRI/JEPP
Tibetan Plateau ITP/TORP JICA/Tibet
Aerosols CEOP, SACOL, IITM/CAIPEX, JAMEX, EAST-AIRE AMF, SMART-COMMIT, ARCS-ASia
Ocean interactions AIPO, CTCZ, JEPP/IO, PALAU2008, TCS08
Monsoon prediction AAMP, APEC, CEOP,
Human interactions MAIRS others link across
Plus other National International contributions
6
Implementation Plan strawman

• Overall aims and objectives of AMY key
  deliverables
• Overall strategy for implementing AMY
• How/do the project activities integrate?
• Cross programme integrated modelling and
  observational programmes and data management
• Links to international activities
• Others

7
IP - development

• Finalize science plan - soon
• Develop IP asap through e.g
• SSC (Sections 1, 2, 5)
• Working groups (Sections 4) with feed
  in/interactions with
• Email science area groups (Sections 3.4) each led
  by SSC member against mapping of projects to
  existing objectives or
• Land surface interactions
• Hydroclimatology, weather
• Tibetan Plateau
• Aerosols
• Ocean interactions
• Monsoon prediction
• Hydromet prediction system
• Human interactions
• Timescale - over next few months?

8
AMY-08

• AMY year 08/09
• Many projects extend beyond this
• Some have main phase on later timescale (e.g
  CTCZ)
• What is vision beyond 08/09?
• Should timeframe be extended? e.g
• 08-09 spin up period
• 09/010 main AMY year
• 010-011 consolidation phase
• Logo?

9

• End
• Thank you

10
Data management and policy

• DM presentation
• Agree data policy
• Set agenda for pending issues
• Distributed archiving
• Include data assimilation and integration
  projects in science plan
• Start editing provisional catalogue
• Start survey of data needs
• Redistribution issues including timescale for
  science project data release
• Ocean and plateau data assimilation
  implementation
• Role of APCC - hindcasts dataset TFSP subset
  AMY08 data depository
• Need discussion of modelling data archiving

11
Observations

• Coordinated observation effort over IMY
• Category 1 data - operational observations
  coordinate within WMO framework build central
  framework - through CEOP?
• Category 2 data - Scientific observations -
  develop catalogue approach
• Need to consider land-based and ocean-based data
• Through science structure, observations group
  needs to identify observations required to
  deliver science observational convergence
  framework seek access to operational data
  through WCRP/WMO
• Identify observational requirements for modelling
  for data assimilation/initialization
  validation.
• High resolution needed for e.g diurnal studies,
  parametrization development satellite data needs
  to be identified
• Importance of developing timetable and catalogue
  of observations through AMY period. Identify
  observational gaps (mapping), request increased
  observational effort through WCRP/WMO? All
  requested to input (mechanism?).
• QC plan and data integration -gt DM plan

12
Data management and policy

• Lot of issues identified - important area to
  start planning now
• AMY08 complex project of projects
• Data management plans for each project defined?
• Build catalogue
• Need discussion of model data archiving (e.g
  APCC)
• Distributed system - effort for dataset
  integration needs to be considered
• Quality checks - build on CEOP experiences issue
  of spatial inhomogeneities
• Password protected quick look data set release
  dates for processed data AMY participant
  priority
• Provide example that may be valuable to AMY e.g
  GAME data or composite precipitation dataset?
• Transfer to international data centres? Real time
  delivery

13
Modelling

• Smallest group but key activity to meet
  objectives
• Utilize AAMP, AAPC/CliPAS, TFSP seasonal
  prediction outputs
• Organise analysis of these hindcast datasets
• Organise new hindcast experiments to look at
  sensitivity to soil moisture fields
  initialization. Through soil moisture
  renanalysis?
• Encourage modelling research (with objective 4)
• Regional modelling to test parametrizations,
  aerosol studies etc hydromet prediction system
• Regional modelling activities also part of
  individual projects - need to see how these fit
  together
• Common approach to to initial data validation?
• Links to human interactions