[pdf read] free the unthinkable revolution in iran

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The Unthinkable Revolution in Iran
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The Unthinkable Revolution in Iran
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Description
The shah of Iran, Mohammad Reza Pahlavi, would
remain on the throne for the foreseeable future
This was the firm conclusion of a top-secret CIA
analysis issued in October 1978. One hundred days
later the shah--despite his massive military,
fearsome security police, and superpower support
was overthrown by a popular and largely peaceful
revolution. But the CIA was not alone in its
myopia, as Charles Kurzman reveals in this
penetrating work Iranians themselves, except for
a tiny minority, considered a revolution
inconceivable until it actually occurred.
Revisiting the circumstances surrounding the fall
of the shah, Kurzman offers rare insight into the
nature and evolution of the Iranian revolution
and into the ultimate unpredictability of protest
movements in general.As one Iranian recalls,
quotThefuture was up in the air.quotThrough
interviews and eyewitness accounts, declassified
security documents and underground pamphlets,
Kurzman documents the overwhelming sense
of confusion that gripped pre-revolutionary Iran,
and that characterizes major protest movements.
His book provides a striking picture of the
chaotic conditions under which Iranians acted,
participating in protest only when they expected
others to do so too, the process approaching
critical mass in unforeseen and unforeseeable
ways. Only when large numbers of Iranians began
to quotthik the unthinkable,quotin the words of
the U.S. ambassador, did revolutionary
expectations become a self-fulfilling prophecy. A
corrective to 20-20 hindsight, this book reveals
shortcomings of analyses that make the Iranian
revolution or any major protest movement seem
inevitable in retrospect.