Company Valuation - Truth or a Scam? - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Company Valuation - Truth or a Scam?

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A significant avalanche of startup fraud is ahead. Massive. This has already started to happen in recent times with startups, but it will only increase in volume, magnitude, and audacity. Fraud is now prevalent in the "new economy." Things will prosper when the likelihood of reward exceeds the likelihood of risk. This Inflection Point has been reached in the startup economy. Here's why. Due to a combination of tremendous demand and low supply, the market is witnessing undoubtedly absurd values for startups in every sector. With no expectation of profit, common "normalized" valuations operate on a 20x multiple of revenue i.e. for a revenue of One rupee, a company can get a valuation of INR 20 . This is for unaudited, early-stage businesses. – PowerPoint PPT presentation

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Title: Company Valuation - Truth or a Scam?


1
Company Valuation - Truth or a Scam?
A significant avalanche of startup fraud is
ahead. Massive. This has already started to
happen in recent times with startups, but it will
only increase in volume, magnitude, and
audacity. Fraud is now prevalent in the "new
economy." Things will prosper when the likelihood
of reward exceeds the likelihood of risk. This
Inflection Point has been reached in the startup
economy. Here's why. Due to a combination of
tremendous demand and low supply, the market is
witnessing undoubtedly absurd values for
startups in every sector. With no expectation of
profit, common "normalized" valuations operate on
a 20x multiple of revenue i.e. for a revenue of
One rupee, a company can get a valuation of INR
20 . This is for unaudited, early-stage
businesses. Startups these days are creating a
false appearance of Revenue by getting a client,
supplier, or associated party to give their
business One million and then passing it off as
revenue, i.e. Income of One million. Then, they
can reimburse the person (supplier, partner) for
that One million by claiming COGS or other
business expenses, etc. This practice is known as
round-tripping. With the exception
2
  • of taxes, it is essentially a zero-sum game (and
    the impropriety of it). It is relatively easy to
    set up. There are massively outsized upsides to
    this distortion of revenue given the current 20x
    valuation atmosphere (ie. fraud).
  • You can receive a 20 million valuation if you can
    show One million in revenue. Seems too simple.
  • This choice will grow more appealing if you are a
    startup founder who is scrambling for the next
    funding round with your back against the wall.
  • On the basis of this possible upside, you might
    even justifiably design a situation in which a
  • "customer" pays 1 million or even 10 million to
    create income without even rounding up the
    amount. Think of the initial expenditure as an
    initial "investment." Knowing that a 10 million
    investment will result in a 200 million
    valuation surge gives a good potential for
    growth.
  • In this environment, it is easy to see someone
    investing 10 million in order to gain 200
    million.
  • To take an Example, a startup S spoke to a
    supplier and they made a deal, The supplier would
    give the Startup One crore. The startup then
    makes a false claim that this One crore was his
    revenue and hence gets a Valuation of 20 crores.
    Now he can payback the Supplier
  • While 99 of folks are unlikely to consider this
    as a 'choice', there are enough crazies out there
    that
  • would perceive this as a big invitation. People
    may be seduced into choosing this course of
    action out of malice or out of a need to save
    their business.
  • How to identify a Fraud Start-up
  • The possibility of fraud is a constant worry when
    investing in startups. There are some red flags
    to watch out for . They may help avoid dubious
    investments although there are anyway no definite
    assurances when it comes to investing.
  • They guarantee substantial returns with minimal
    or no risk.
  • They exert a lot of pressure on you to invest
    right away.
  • They decline to give specific investing
    information.
  • They assert to have access to assets that are not
    generally accessible to the general public or
    inside knowledge.
  • To access the investment, you must pay a charge
    upfront.
  • They exert pressure on you to conceal your
    investment.

3
  • Ensure that you ask them any questions you may
    have on the company or the investment. Be willing
    to press for clarification. If the founding
    members are reluctant to respond to your
    inquiries, it can
  • be a warning sign.
  • Have everything documented
  • You and the business should always have written
    agreements. This covers both the investment
    agreement and any other contracts connected to
    the investment. This will give you some
    protection in the event of a disagreement.
  • Be wary of false promises
  • Startups frequently make significant promises to
    funders, but not all of them can keep them.
    Startups that make exaggerated claims about their
    offerings or future growth should be avoided.
    Even after keeping all this in mind and watching
    for all potential red flags, one can still be
    sucked
  • into this web of startup scams. To make sure you
    dont lose all your finances, Make a variety of
    investments. Don't put all of your startup
    investment eggs in one basket. To lower your
    risk, invest your money in a few different
    firms. This way you can be sure that you are safe
    no matter
  • Source Business consultant Ranjan Das Talks
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