Title: CEL-SCI: An Imminent Phase 3 Failure
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2 CELSCI
An Imminent Phase 3 Failure
- SEPTEMBER 2020 -
3Table of Contents
- Short Thesis Brief
.... 4 - Corporate History
...... 8 - Pipeline
... 10 - Capital Structure
.. 16 - Clinical Data Portends Harm
..........................
19 - DMC Recommendations and FDA Clinical
Hold..
43 - Modeling the Survival Curve
75 - Allovectin-7 Trial Parallels
. 97 - L.E.A.P.S. and COVID-19
103 - Where are the Data?...............................
..................................................
..................................................
...............................................
104 - Grand Conclusion
..... 108 - Appendix
. 112
4Short Thesis Brief
- Cel-Sci (NYSEA CVM) has been developing
Multikine (MK) since the early 1980s, or for
nearly 40 years. Initially, the drug was based on
the novelty (and thus, patentability) of a
natural derivation of the cytokine IL-2 for the
treatment of cancer. As time went on, the
Companys language on MK shifted from IL-2
primarily to the entire cocktail of MK and the
potential synergy of IL-2 with other cytokines in
the mixture. Cel-Sci has to-date conducted only
one randomized controlled (let alone phase 3)
trial with any sort of clinical endpoints the
currently ongoing IT-MATTERS trial, a 928-subject
trial testing MK (their only therapy in clinical
development) in squamous cell carcinoma of the
head and neck (HNSCC), or more specifically, oral
SCC (OSCC). The trial hit 298 primary events
(deaths) in late April of 2020, the target number
to trigger the process towards data lock and
final analysis. It has been ongoing since early
2011a little over 9 years. - Paramount to the short thesis, the DMC has on two
separate occasions (spring 2014 w/ 150 subjects
enrolled and spring 2016 w/ 800 enrolled) issued
formal recommendations to halt the IT-MATTERS
phase 3 trial for safety harm and efficacy
futility reasons (brackets ours). CVM
responded to the first rec with unknown data that
assuaged the DMC and the trial continued, and it
responded to the second rec by seeking to amend
the protocol to allow 1,273 subjects to be
enrolled vs the originally designed 880and,
importantly, to increase total events from 298 to
394. However, when the protocol amendment was
submitted to FDA and FDA became aware of the two
futility recs (CVM had not notified FDA of
either), they placed a clinical hold on the IND.
FDA even stated outright that patients enrolled
in the study are exposed to unreasonable and
significant risk of illness or injury and the
study is unlikely to demonstrate superiority and
thus should be terminated for futility. This
hold was not lifted until CVM withdrew the
protocol amendment and closed the trial to
further recruitment.
4
5Short Thesis Brief
- Cel-Sci has conveniently removed any mention of
the clinical hold and statements from the DMC and
FDA from its most recent 10-Ks (2018 2019). The
only 10-K it can be found in is the SEC-filed
2016 10-K (the 2017 10-K mentions the hold was
imposed and then lifted, but gives no additional
color). The absence of any mention of the hold or
its cause from the most recent 10-Ks appears to
be in violation of securities law, in particular
the duty of ongoing disclosure of material
information (e.g., https//www.sec.gov/about/offic
es/oia/oia_corpfin/princdisclos.pdf). - Although the P1/2 studies testing MK in HNSCC
produced some interesting data, including a
handful of alleged responses, these responses
could have been the result of a variety of
factors besides a targeted immune response (e.g.,
inflammation causing accidental or
unprogrammed necrosis, rather than programmed
apoptosis/autophagy). Also, in the papers on
these studies, the authors describe responses as
portions of the resected lesions noted as
fibrotic, while not meaningfully shrinking in
size. These are clearly not valid responses by
RECIST. - Furthermore, the formulation of MK has differed
across studies, and few of the studies conducted
by Cel-Sci involve the same formulation used in
the IT-MATTERS trial (e.g., Timar et al.,
2003/2005who at the time was the recipient of
monetary compensation from CVM). But importantly,
even if MK in its current form can sometimes
cause shrinkage of OSCC lesions, the totality of
the mixture would likely confer
tolerogenicity/tumorigenicity rather than
immunogenicity, due to the overwhelming presence
of IL-8 and significant presence of IL-6 and TXB2
(a metabolite of TXA2 and representing COX-1
activity, implicated in the formation of
metastatic intravascular niches). Corroborative
evidence strongly suggests Multikine treatment
led to an exacerbation of progressive
disease/time-to-death, and is almost certainly
why the DMC overseeing IT-MATTERS stated in
earnest that they were deeply concerned about
patient safety based on our review of
cumulative data.
5
6Short Thesis Brief
- The history of MK itself is sordid. The initial
MK therapy (well call it MK1), an
unsophisticated and antiquated product developed
in the 1970s, featured the Companys licensed,
natural human-cell derived IL-2 as the
advertised active ingredient (with all other
matter unidentified). MK1 was later shelved in
favor of what well call MK2 sometime in the
late 1980s/early 1990s. MK2, as it turns out, is
indistinguishable from ImmunoRxs IRX-2 (since
acquired by Brooklyn ImmunoTherapeutics) and
developed by Dr. John Hadden, whom Cel-Sci sued,
along with ImmunoRx, accusing them of copying
Multikine, and were engaged in IP dispute from
1996 to 1997. And perhaps because they realized
the case was futile (it was dropped in Oct 1997
without settlement), moved on to testing what
well call MK3 in clinical trials. - The MK1 patents (ca. 1980) did not disclose how
much IL-2 (the only validated cytokine shown to
confer a clinical benefit e.g., Proleukin) the
mixture yielded per 1 mL dose, but in Dr.
Haddens patents (ca. early-mid 1990s), we find
the impetus behind developing MK2 being the need
to yield a higher percentage of IL-2 in the
overall formulation than MK1, and that because of
the very low levels of IL-2 in MK1, the process
to make MK1, and MK1 itself, were deemed
inferior. Given that the later (ca. 2003-2005)
Cel-Sci patents for Multikine are exclusively
method-of-use, and not only adopt the same name
as was used in the 1980s, but break down the
cytokine profileincluding IL-2, which is quite
lowand given that both the original 1980 patents
and later patents report serum-free and
mitogen-free IL-2 containing supernatant via
buffy coat cells, we can safely conclude that
MK1 and MK3 are one in the same. The later
patents reveal the full cytokine profile of MK3
(and thus, MK1), and the IL-2 content per 1 mL
dose is noted as only 0.6 IU, or 0.18
(preferably). The language in the 10-Ks also
alters from the point it became clear Cel-Sci
could no longer use MK2/IRX-2, in that their
touting of IL-2 in the mixture is largely
removed (ca. 2003 on).
6
7Short Thesis Brief
- MK3/MK1which well now refer to simply as
Multikine or MKconsists of a high percentage
of IL-8 (est. 72.6), followed by IL-6 (8.2),
TXB2 (4.3), MlP-1ß (4.0), MIP-1a (4.0), and
lesser amounts of 14 other cytokines, including,
as mentioned, trace levels of IL-2 (0.18). Some
components of MK may induce tumor cell lysis,
such as TNF-a (although TNF-a can also have a
tolerogenic effect), but the vast majority of
what MK isespecially IL-8is clearly tumorigenic
(in fact, it might be more appropriate to think
of Multikine as IL-8). These effects are apparent
in the deleterious alteration of the CD4/CD8
ratio, EMT induction, and increased Ki-67
expression after MK dosing, inter alia. - Modeling a blended event rate based on the clear
enrollment curve provided by the Company and
event milestones, together with a lower-risk
subject demographic that likely make up the
IT-MATTERS trialespecially when considering the
ever-increasing prevalence of HPV16 OSCCfits
well, and if anything shows the blended event
rate should have been slower than that observed
in IT-MATTERS. Thus, there could be no separation
between groups, or even a better-performing
control group, and the blended rate observed thus
far would not be out of line. - In sum, the DMC recommendations to halt the trial
for futility, especially the 2nd rec in 2016 with
800 subjects enrolled over a 5-year period the
DMCs strong allusion to harm in the MK groups
shutting down of recruitment by FDA, noting
futility directly, while also noting harm in the
MK arms a well-fitting or even underperforming
blended event rate via lower-risk OSCC prognostic
factors clear rationale for why MK is very
unlikely to benefit patients (tolerogenic effects
of prominent cytokines in mix) elevated market
cap (500mm _at_ 13/pps) and near-term catalyst of
80-90 immediate loss of valuation upon
reporting the IT-MATTERS trial failed to meet its
primary endpoint, due to no other candidates (or
even indications for MK) in development and
little cashmake CVM a highly compelling short
candidate.
7
8Corporate History
- Cel-Sci was founded in ca. 1983 by Maximilian de
Clara, and became publicly traded soon
thereafter.1 Maximilian (who had gotten into a
bit of trouble with the SEC for late-reporting of
Cel-Sci stock sales2) resigned as president for
health reasons on Sept. 6, 2016 at the ripe age
of 87 years.3 - The Company conducted small clinical trials with
different versions of a vaccine, dubbed
Multikine (MK), and worked to solve
manufacturing issues from 1983 2004. To date,
the only human trials that have been completed
are small studies (30 subjects or less) that
either used a historical control (derived
survival endpoint), or a concurrent control to
compare resected tumor samples with. - The phase 3 IT-MATTERS trial, testing MK in oral
squamous cell carcinoma (OSCC), was cleared to
begin in 2007, but did not enroll its first
subjects until early 2011 because of a lack of
funding due the financial crisis (according to
Cel-Sci). Once enrollment had ensued, it did so
slowly over the years 2011 2013 (135 subjects
in total from a planned 880). - Cel-Sci filed an arbitration against its initial
CRO, inVentiv, seeking 50 million in damages for
breach of contract in Oct 2013,4 and eventually
(in June 2018), won (awarded 2.9mm).5 It hired
two new CROs to manage the IT-MATTERS trial (ICON
and Ergomed) without further issue.
- https//cel-sci.com/history/
- https//www.sec.gov/news/digest/1992/dig050792.pdf
- https//www.irdirect.net/prviewer/release_only/id/
2075129 - https//www.irdirect.net/prviewer/release_only/id/
363491 - https//www.irdirect.net/prviewer/release_only/id/
3171756
8
9Corporate History
- On two separate occasions (in spring of 2014 and
spring of 2016) the DMC recommended the trial be
halted for safety harm and efficacy futility
reasons (brackets ours). The FDA, in response to
a major protocol amendment submission to upsize
the trial from 880 to 1,273 subjects and,
importantly, total events from 298 to 394, issued
a clinical hold in Sept. 2016, stating that,
among other things, Patients enrolled in the
study are exposed to unreasonable and significant
risk of illness or injury, and The study is
unlikely to demonstrate superiority and thus
should be terminated for futility. - In addition to the 135 enrolled from 2011 2013,
a further 195 were enrolled in 2014 340 in 2015
and 260 in 2016 (930n), reaching full enrollment
technically concurrent with the clinical hold
Sept. 26, 2016,6 and officially in Dec 2017.7 - Cel-Sci has displayed the unusual habit of
reporting each DMC recommendation to continue
based on safety/study conduct reviews (each 6
months),8 as well as monthly updates on
enrollment, including the number enrolled over
the previous month (plus certain milestones9).
Leading up to the clinical hold, trial enrollment
was averaging 30n/month.10 - On May 4, 2020, the Company reported 298 events
(deaths) had occurred in the IT-MATTERS trial in
late April,11 which is the required number to
trigger the process towards data lock for the
final analysis, and would normally lead to
dissemination of topline overall survival (OS)
results in under 2 months for an international
oncology phase 3 trial (see slide 105).
IT-MATTERS topline data are thus long overdue,
strongly implying excessive data-dredging under
the direction of a firewalled steering committee
after learning of a failed OS-result (see slides
104 108). -
9
10Pipeline
- MK is a cocktail of cytokines and other cellular
byproducts (see Appendix I), but overwhelmingly
IL-8. - The compositional breakdown of MK has been
disclosed in various patents, which also reveal
that IL-2 is only found in trace amounts - 14 In other specific applications, the
serum-free and mitogen-free cytokine preparation
or pharmaceutical composition has further
different cytokines and other small biologically
active molecules in Leukocyte Interleukin
Injection (LI) or Multikine wherein the ratio of
each of the small biologically active molecules
to IL- 2 is as follows
10
Source Company presentation https//cel-sci.com/
corporate-presentations/
11Pipeline
- IL-3 to IL-2 in a ratio range of 0.38 - 0.68,
preferably at 0.53/- 0.15, IL-6 to IL-2 in a
ratio range of 37.2 - 53.8, preferably at 46/-
5.9, IL-8 to IL-2 in a ratio range of 261 -
561.5, preferably at 411/- 10.6, IL-la to IL-2
in a ratio range of 0.56 - 0.94, preferably at
0.75/- 0.19, IL-10 to IL-2 in a ratio range of
2.82 - 3.22, preferably at 3.0/- 0.18, IL-16 to
IL-2 in a ratio range of 1.16 - 2.84, preferably
at 1.84/-0.68, G-CSF to IL-2 in a ratio range of
2.16 - 3.78, preferably at 2.97/- 0.81, TNF-ß to
IL-2 in a ratio range of 1.17 - 2.43, preferably
at 1.8/- 0.63, MIP-1a to IL- 2 in a ratio range
of 15.7 - 37.16, preferably at 22.7/- 7.0,
MlP-1ß to IL-2 in a ratio range of 17.1 - 28.5,
preferably at 22.8/- 5.7, a RANTES to IL-2 in a
ratio range of 2.3 - 2.7, preferably at 2.5/-
0.13, a EGF to IL-2 in a ratio range of 0.267 -
0.283, preferably at 0.275/- 0.008, PGE2 to IL-2
in a ratio range of 3.63 - 5.42, preferably at
4.5/- 0.87 and TxB2 to IL-2 in a ratio range of
23.47 - 25.13, preferably at 24.3/- 0.83.12 - Another patent currently assigned to Cel-Sci with
a priority date of 2004 provides further color,
listing all components of MK13 - Multikine or Leukocyte-Interleukin Injection
(LI), is a serum-free, mitogen-free,
antibiotic-free preparation produced from human
peripheral blood mononuclear cells that include
T-cells, B cells and macrophages. There are three
"families" of cytokines in Leukocyte Interleukin
Injection (LI) or Multikine that together impart
the unique biological activity of Leukocyte
Interleukin Injection (LI) or Multikine. They
include direct cytotoxic/cytostatic and
virocidal/virostatic cytokines such as TNF-a, and
IFN-y, lympho-proliferative cytokines such as
IL-1, and IL-2 and chemotactic cytokines such as
IL-6, IL-8 and MIP-la. Furthermore, the different
cytokine and small biological molecules that
constitute Leulcocyte Interleukin Injection (LI)
or Multikine are all derived from the lectin
(e.g. PHA) in vitro stimulation of human
peripheral blood mononuclear cells that include T
cells, B cells, and macrophages. Centrifugation
on a Ficoll-Paque gradient separates the white
blood cells (including T cells, B cells, and
macrophages) from donor whole blood, and a series
of washes (in physiologically buffered media)
facilitates the isolation of lymphocytes, and the
removal of red blood cells, cellular debris and
other unwanted cellular components from the
isolated white cell component of the whole donor
blood.
11
12Pipeline
- Leukocyte Interleukin Injection (LI) or Multikine
contains different cytokines present at specific
ratios of each cytokine to Interleukin 2 (IL-2)
as follows - IL-1ß to IL-2 at a ratio range of 0.4 - 1.5, and
preferably at 0.7/- 0.1 (IL-1ß/IL-2), TNF-a to
IL-2 at a ratio range of 3.2 - 11.3, and
preferably at 9.5/- 1.8 (TNF-a/IL-2), IFN-y to
IL-2 at a ratio range of 1.5 - 10.9, and
preferably at 6.0/- 1.1 (IFN-7/IL-2), and GM-CSF
to IL-2 at a ratio range of 2.2 - 4.8, and
preferably at 4.0/- 0.5 (GM-CSF/IL-2). - The remainder of the different cytokines and
other small biologically active molecules in
Leukocyte Interleukin Injection (LI) or Multikine
are also present within each preparation of the
small biologically active molecule to IL-2 is as
follows - IL-3 to IL-2 in a ratio range of 0.38 - 0.68,
preferably at 0.53/- 0.15, IL-6 to IL-2 in a
ratio range of 37.2 - 53.8, preferably at 46/-
5.9, IL-8 to IL-2 in a ratio range of 261 -
561.5, preferably at 411/- 10.6, IL-1a to IL-2
in a ratio range of 0.56 -0.94, preferably at
0.75/- 0.19, IL-10 to IL-2 in a ratio range of
2.82 - 3.22, preferably at 3.0/- 0.18, IL-16 to
IL-2 in a ratio range of 1.16 - 2.84, preferably
at 1.84/-0.68, G-CSF to IL-2 in a ratio range of
2.16 - 3.78, preferably at 2.97/- 0.81, TNF-ß to
IL-2 in a ratio range of 1.17 - 2.43, preferably
at 1.8/- 0.63, MIP-1a to IL-2 in a ratio range
of 15.7 - 37.16, preferably at 22.7/- 7.0,
MIP-1ß to IL-2 in a ratio range of 17.1 - 28.5,
preferably at 22.8/- 5.7, a RANTES to IL-2 in a
ratio range of 2.3 - 2.7, preferably at 2.5/-
0.13, a EGF to IL-2 in a ratio range of 0.267 -
0.283, preferably at 0.275/- 0.008, PGE2 to IL-2
in a ratio range of 3.63 - 5.42, preferably at
4.51- 0.87 and TxB2 to IL-2 in a ratio range of
23.47 - 25.13, preferably at 24.3/-0.83. - Leukocyte Interleukin Injection (LI) or Multikine
was tested using a characterization protocol and
does not contain the following cytokines and
other small biologically active molecules IL-4,
IL-7, and IL-15, Tflt, sICAM, PDGF-AB, IFN-a,
EPO, LTC 4, TGF-02, FGF basic, Angiogenin,
sE-selectin, SCF, and LIF. Leukocyte Interleukin
Injection (LI) or Multikine ( contains only
trace quantities just above the level of
detection of the assay) of IL-12, and LTB 4.
12
13Pipeline
- From this we can derive the following breakdown
by weight as a percentage of each listed
component in MK (preferably)
- TNF-ß.0.32
- IL-2..0.18
- IL-1a......0.14
- IL-1ß...0.12
- IL-3..0.09
- EGF......0.05
- PGE2 ..0.79
- GM-CSF...0.70
- IL-10...0.53
- G-CSF.0.52
- RANTES....0.44
- IL-160.32
- IL-872.60
- IL-6......8.12
- TxB2.....4.29
- MlP-lß ......4.02
- MIP-la......4.00
- TNF-a.1.68
- IFN-y1.06
It is essential that the actual breakdown of a
composition for which the assignee is seeking
protection be very accurately elucidated within
patents, as there is no patent protection for a
formulation materially different. Although there
are 19 total components listed above from the
main patents, and 14 on the graphic to the right
(and in context in Appendix I), the word choice
Major in the graphic provides enough ambiguity
to legally allow omission of some components.
Source Company presentation https//cel-sci.com/
corporate-presentations/
13
14Pipeline
- Thus, MK is predominantly the chemokine IL-8
(est. 72.6), with a lesser amount of IL-6
(8.12), TxB2 (4.29), MIP-1ß (4.02), and
MIP-1a (4.00) in the mixture, and lesser
amounts still of 14 other components (e.g., 1.68
TNF-a, 0.18 IL-2, etc.) that make up the
remining 7. - We can further derive, from total administered
units of 400 (based on IL-2 standardization
equivalent), given in two 200 IU doses (one
peritumoral, the other perilymphaticsee graphic
on right), that subjects receive 300 units of
IL-8 total, 35 units of IL-6, 18 units each of
TxB2/MIP-1ß/MIP-1a, and less than 2 units of the
remining cytokines (e.g., 0.6 units of IL-2). - IL-2 is the only cytokine in MK proven to confer
clinical benefit, both parenterally administered
(Proleukin)14 and perilymphatically15 (although
w/ monthly boostersby contrast, MK is
administered for 3 weeks pre-surgery and then
never again). Whereas IL-8 and IL-6 (as well as
other MK-components) are implicated in promoting
tumor growth and malignant stem cell
immunosurveillance escape.16, 17
Source Company presentation https//cel-sci.com/
corporate-presentations/
14
15Pipeline
- The Companys L.E.A.P.S. platform18 has been in a
state of preclinical development for an
inordinate amount of time. The origination date
of the platform can be found in the Companys
1997 10-K, over 22 years ago19 - T-CELL MODULATION PROCESS
- In January 1997, the Company acquired a new
patented T-cell Modulation Process which uses
"heteroconjugates" to direct the body to choose
a specific immune response. The
heteroconjugate technology, also known as
L.E.A.P.S. (Ligand Epitope Antigen
Presentation System), is intended to
selectively stimulate the human immune system to
more effectively fight bacterial, viral and
parasitic infections and cancer, when it cannot
do so on its own. Administered like vaccines,
heteroconjugates combine T-cell binding
ligands with small, disease associated, peptide
antigens and may provide a new method to treat
and prevent certain diseases. - Clearly, any compositional patent protection for
this tech is now gone, and the only IP protection
available would be less sticky method-of-use
patenting. Though it may be difficult to
patent-protect certain uses, given the
telegraphing and various tries they have already
made with the platform over the years (HIV,
etc.)as is also clearly the case with Multikine
(although MK has 7 yr exclusivity via orphan
status in the US and 10 yrs in the EU for HNSCC). - Currently under LEAPS, there is CEL-2000 and
CEL-4000, potential rheumatoid arthritis vaccine
candidates with some preclinical data,20 as well
as a severe H1N1 infection treatment with
preclinical dataand now they are also working on
a potential candidate to treat severe COVID-19
infection under LEAPS.21, 22 At this time, there
are no INDs filed for any LEAPS candidate, and
very little information on HPV/HIV (Multikine) or
breast cancer (LEAPS), as enumerated in their
aforementioned pipeline slide, besides the odd
preclinical study or two. More color on their
experimental COVID-19 treatment is given later in
this presentation.
15
16Capital Structure
- Cel-Sci finished Q3 (its Q3 ends June 3023a) with
20.1 mm in cash on the books,23b which included
proceeds from a 7.7mm financing that closed on
March 26.24 - On June 23, Cel-Sci notified the market that
during the 2nd quarter it received 10mm from
the exercise of warrants,25 included in the above
cash position. - Using the average of the last two Qs burn rate at
7.2mm/Q would derive an end-of-July cash
balance of 17.7mm, and estimated end-of-August
and end-of-September balances of 15.3mm and
12.9mm, respectively. - The float has increased to 38.5mn shares (as of
June 30). The current market cap at 13/pps is
thus 500mm, with a mere 3 of its value in
cash end-of-August.
23a. https//www.irdirect.net/prviewer/release_onl
y/id/4417879 23b. https//www.sec.gov/ix?doc/Arch
ives/edgar/data/725363/000165495420008746/cvm_10qa
.htm 24. https//www.irdirect.net/prviewer/relea
se_only/id/4272863 25. https//www.irdirect.net/
prviewer/release_only/id/4369853
16
17Capital Structure
17
18Capital Structure
18
19Clinical Data Portends Harm
- Multikine (MK) has been studied in the clinical
setting in two forms the original (developed ca.
1970s) and later reintroduced form, and the
high IL-2 form. We refer to these as MK and
MK2, respectively. - MK was an innovative (in its day) attempt at
increasing the yield of IL-2 from PBMC, using
what are called buffy coat (BC) cells. It was
even referred to as BC-IL for a time.26a Later,
it became understood that this process was
inferior, and that actual yields of IL-2 by this
method were much lower than presumed. - MK2 was developed by Dr. John Hadden of the
University of South Florida and was licensed to
Cel-Sci, but it remained assigned to the
University and rights to the therapy were never
transferred to CVM. Dr. Hadden moved on with the
technology once certain licensing arrangements
expired, and began testing the therapy under his
co-founded company, ImmunoRx (since acquired by
Brooklyn ImmunoTherapeutics26b). After a brief
dispute, Cel-Sci relinquished any rights to MK2,
and MK2 continued (and still continues) its
development as IRX-2, now under Brooklyn
ImmunoTher. - Numerous phase 1 and 2 studies had been conducted
with MK2, and Cel-Sci used these data to tout its
Multikine lead therapy (both MK and MK2
formulations were referred to singularly, and
misleadingly, as Multikine). After losing MK2,
Cel-Sci had no choice but to return to their
original, antiquated tech, and advance it into
new P1/2 studies, while seeking to develop
method-of-use IP around these data. It applied
for numerous such patents in the mid 2000s.
19
26a. https//adisinsight.springer.com/drugs/800006
695 26b. http//brooklynitx.com/brooklyn-immunothe
rapeutics-acquires-irx-therapeutics/
20Clinical Data Portends Harm
- Cel-Sci has been developing its Multikine (MK)
therapy, in one form or other, since its
inception ca. 1983. - From its 1997 10-K
- CEL-SCI Corporation (the "Company") was
formed as a Colorado corporation in 1983. The
Company is involved in the research and
development of certain drugs and vaccines.
The Company's first product, MULTIKINE,
manufactured using the Company's proprietary
cell culture technologies, is a combination,
or "cocktail", of natural human interleukin-2
("IL-2") and certain lymphokines and cytokines.
MULTIKINE is being tested to determine if it
is effective in improving the immune response
of cancer patients. The Company's second
product, HGP-30, is being tested to determine
if it is an effective treatment/vaccine against
the AIDS virus. - The founder of Cel-Sci, Maximilian de Clara of
Germany, piggybacked off the development of IL-2
as an at the time (ca. 1970s) novel and exciting
approach to treating cancerand even, later,
HIV/AIDS. Max de Clara found a niche in the space
via an invention by Dr. Hans-Ake Fabricius,
another citizen of West Germany (incidentally,
the long-time CEO of Cel-Sci, Geert Kersten, is
also a native of Germany27a). Dr. Fabricius
developed a method of isolating and increasing
the concentration of T-cell growth factor,
which was assumed (incorrectly) to be
predominately IL-2.27b, 28 Hooper Trading Company
was assigned the patent, and Max de Clara, under
his newly founded companynamed Interleukin-2
Inc.was licensed the tech for clinical
development.29 - Not long afterwards, in 1988, Interleukin 2,
Inc., was renamed Cel-Sci, and became a
publicly traded company. Testing of the product,
dubbed Lymphocyte Interleukin and Multikine,
began. Although initially, the Companys primary
focus was on HIV/AIDS using a different therapy,
called HGP-3030 (development since suspended)
by way of its wholly owned subsidiary, Viral
Technologies, Inc.31 once this path proved to be
a dead end, Cel-Sci shifted its main focus back
to MK for the treatment of cancer.
20
21Clinical Data Portends Harm
- The development of MK zeroed-in on HNSCC (see
next slide). However, as mentioned, there were
two different versions of MK tested, and nearly
all of the studies conducted pre-1997 utilized
what we have dubbed MK2 (now known as IRX-234).
- In Dr. Haddens patents on a proprietary cytokine
mixture32, 33 that was licensed to Cel-Sci, he
cites the older Cel-Sci patents as describing an
inferior method due to low yields of IL-2
produced, with other media as unidentified - United States Patent No. 4,448,879 to Fabricius
et al . also teaches a cell culture process to
produce a natural serum-free and mitogen-free
IL-2. The method used buffy coat cells in a
roller culture system, or in a system that
mechanically recirculates the media. However, the
method still requires a step in which the cells
are washed free of the mitogen and serum and then
recultured in a serum-free, mitogen-free media.
Importantly, the methods described are only
poorly effective to stimulate the cells and
produce low yields of IL-2. The large volumes
necessary are expensive and require extensive
skilled handling and must be concentrated prior
to use resulting in loss of activity
(approximately 50). - The process Dr. Hadden developed yielded much
higher levels of IL-2 in the presence of a
4-aminoquinolone antibiotic (e.g.,
ciprofloxacin), and was more efficiently produced
(lower starting volumes required) - The media also contains a 4- aminoquinolone
antibiotic. In the preferred embodiment, the
antibiotic is ciprofloxacin. The antibiotic is
used to maintain sterility and to hyperproduce
lymphokines. Ciprofloxacin and related
antibiotics have been reported to increase IL-2
and other cytokines in the presence of soluble
mitogen and serum. (Riesenbeck et al . , 1994)
They have not been reported to be effective in
the absence of serum. Their use with immobilized
mitogens is also novel. Ciprofloxacin is used in
the preferred embodiment at a concentration of
from about 20 to about 200 µg/ml and more
preferably, at a concentration of about 80
µg/ml... In the preferred embodiment of the
present invention, utilizing continuous exposure
to the mitogen by immobilization and the presence
of a 4-aminoquinolone antibiotic, the NCM which
is generated generally contains IL-2 at 100-353
units/mL.
21
22Clinical Data Portends Harm35
There were not 224 patients treated with the same
(antiquated) version of MK used in IT-MATTERS
Source Company Presentation, our Emphasis
22
23Clinical Data Portends Harm
- Dr. Haddens authored patents were assigned to
the University of South Florida, and once the
licensing term had expired (and perhaps due to
some internal conflict or othersee separation
agreement below), Dr. Hadden began testing the
candidate under the sponsorship of the company he
co-founded, ImmunoRx, with the new moniker,
IRX-2. This caused a legal response from
Cel-Sci,36 but in 1997 it was dropped.37 No
settlement or other mention of the dispute is
stated anywhere in Cel-Scis subsequent SEC
filings. Unfortunately for Cel-Sci, they had
already conducted numerous studies with the now
lost candidate, MK2/IRX-2.
23
24Clinical Data Portends Harm
- The only recourse for Cel-Sci was to resurrected
the old, wholly-owned (though the composition is
no longer patentable) buffy-coat interleukin
(BC-IL), developed by Dr. Fabricius in the 1970s.
One of the problems with this vaccine, of course,
was the low levels of IL-2 present. But rather
than decide to shelve it and focus their energies
elsewhere, they misleadingly kept both names
Leukocyte Interleukin and Multikine, and
began studies testing the old vaccine with the
clearly inferior profile. - They also conducted modern quantitative analysis
on the substance. From this they were able to
specify a breakdown of the components in the old
vaccine (see slide 26), and thereafter developed
a narrative to fit each of the listed components,
stating (erroneously) that each worked together
to produce an anti-tumor effect (see Appx I).
This is the same mix that formerly was touted for
its incorrectly presumed high-amounts of
naturally derived (i.e., not recombinant)
IL-2the only cytokine with any veracity
surrounding its use. - Not able to any longer rely on the former data
with MK2, they ran new studies testing MK
(Feinmesser et al, 200338 and Timar et al, 200339
and 200540), though none of these studies had
survival (PFS/OS) or even valid ORR endpoints.
They then moved directly into the phase 3 (P3)
IT-MATTERS trial with the antiquated MK
formulation. - The language in the 10-Ks also shifted from
focusing on the therapeutic qualities of IL-2
primarily, and secondarily its potential
beneficial interplay with other components of the
vaccine, as well as IL-2 being in its natural
formto losing much of the language on IL-2 and
focusing on the totality of the components of the
vaccine instead (see next slide).
24
25Clinical Data Portends Harm
Pre-2003
Post-2003
25
26Clinical Data Portends Harm
- Disparities between the two MK formulations are
enumerated herein (please note that 1.1mg of IL-2
equals 18 million IU, and there are 1.1 billion
pg in 1.1 mg thus, 100-500 units IL-2 6,116
30,580 pg/mL). As can be seen, MK2 and MK are
quite different -
26
27Clinical Data Portends Harm
- Results from the only three clinical trials
testing MK (after MK2 was lost), namely
Feinmesser et al (2003),43 Timar et al (2003)44
and (2005),45 showed varied activity. - Feinmesser et al (2003), an uncontrolled study
using the same treatment regimen as in
IT-MATTERS, noted - Background There is cumulative evidence
suggesting that cells of the immune system
recognize and may participate in eradicating
neoplastic cells. As a result, immune modulation,
first with interleukin 2 and later with other
cytokines, has been tried in the clinical setting
as part of antitumor therapy. - Methods Twelve previously untreated patients
with various head and neck cancers were treated
by peritumoral injection of a combination of
cytokines (Multikine), in addition to zinc
sulfate, indomethacin, and a single dose of
cyclophosphamide, which were administered
systemically. Response was evaluated clinically
and histopathologically. T-lymphocyte
determinants were studied by fluorescence-activate
d cell sorter analysis (against controls). - Results Two patients showed complete regression
and another 2 showed partial regression. There
were no serious adverse effects of treatment.
Pathological study results showed tumor
fragmentation and the appearance of
multinucleated macrophages. Fluorescence-activated
cell sorter analysis showed lymphocyte
activation, reflected by an unusually high number
of cytotoxic T-lymphocyte activation 4 cells and
natural killer cells.
27
28Clinical Data Portends Harm
- 4/12 ORR (assumed), with two CRs and partial
response noted as at least 50 shrinkageon its
face a good result. However, the description of
these responses reveals that necrosis and
fibrosis occur, rather than a systematic removal
of tumor mass via apoptosis/autophagy (leading to
clear shrinkage). Thus, these are not validated
responses by RECIST, neither the original nor
version 1.1.46a - The tumors in our sample were not homogeneous,
making it difficult for us to draw statistically
sound conclusions. One patient with retromolar
cavity cancer (patient 4) had complete regression
of the primary tumor by clinical and pathological
criteria. Two other patients with oral cavity
tongue cancers (patients 2 and 11) had a partial
response by clinical and pathological criteria
(50 of the tumor was replaced by fibrosis). The
2 patients with skin cancers showed no real
response to treatment. The single patient with a
neck metastasis of unknown origin (patient 12),
treated by perilymphatic injection, also showed
complete regression (ie, resolution of the
metastatic neck node). Although the node was not
palpable after Multikine treatment and before
surgery, the patient underwent supraomohyoid neck
dissection, and a subsequent histological
analysis revealed a 1.5 1.5-cm node with
multinucleated macrophages engulfing and eating
keratin debrisevidence of the past presence of
epithelial tumor cells. - Apparently in this study, 50 of a lesion noted
as fibrotic on examination of the resected mass,
with no stated change in its overall size,
constituted a partial response, and the clear
presence of a 1.5 x 1.5 cm node post-resection
can also be deemed a complete response so long as
multinucleated macrophages are observed eating
keratin debris. These are anything but valid
responses. - Furthermore, fibrosis within tumor lesions or
stroma is problematic, and not a beneficial
sign46b - Intratumoral fibrosis results from the
deposition of a cross-linked collagen matrix by
cancer-associated fibroblasts (CAFs). This type
of fibrosis has been shown to exert mechanical
forces and create a biochemical milieu that,
together, shape intratumoral immunity and
influence tumor cell metastatic behavior
28
29Clinical Data Portends Harm
- (cont.) Over the past two centuries, numerous
clinical and pathological observations have
established a clear relationship between chronic
inflammation, fibrosis, and cancer (1). Skin
fibrosis associated with recessive dystrophic
epidermolysis bullosa leads to highly metastatic
skin carcinomas (2). Progressive lung scarring
associated with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis is
a risk factor for lung cancer development (3).
Moreover, human pancreatic adenocarcinomas can be
highly fibrotic, and experimental evidence in
animals supports an etiologic role for fibrosis
in pancreatic cancer progression (4, 5). Thus,
fibrosis can precede or follow cancer development
and may participate in multiple stages of
tumorigenesis and metastasis. - In the context of fibrosis and cancer, the
provisional matrix can provide initial
instructions to resident and invading immune and
inflammatory cells and stromal cell populations
(i.e., perivascular cells, resident
stem/progenitor cells, and quiescent fibroblasts)
that activate them toward a pro-wound repair
state (9) and, in certain cases, provide cues
that stimulate epithelial-to-mesenchymal
transition (EMT) and endothelial-to-mesenchymal
transition (refs. 10, 11, and Figure 1). Although
reparative during normal wound healing processes,
the provisional matrix loses reparative capacity
in the tumor stroma owing to physical and
posttranslational modifications that occur during
myofibroblast remodeling. - EMT is an independent prognostic marker for
worsened survival, even though occurring along
with immune infiltration - Epithelial-mesenchymal transition (EMT) refers
to a process whereby the adhesive polarity of
epithelial cancer cells dissipates and changes to
mesenchymal cells. This occurs in conjunction
with increased cell migration and invasiveness
and is also known to play an important role in
cytoskeletal remodeling and resistance to
apoptosis1. Several studies have reported the
association of EMT activation with cancer
metastasis, resistance to anticancer drugs, and
thus a poor prognosis2,3,4 - In this study we assessed the clinical
significance of an epithelial-mesenchymal
transition (EMT) gene signature and explored its
association with the tumor microenvironment
related to immunotherapy in patients with head
and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC). Genes
were selected when mRNA levels were positively or
negatively correlated with at least one
well-known EMT marker. We developed an EMT gene
signature consisting of 82 genes...
29
30Clinical Data Portends Harm
- (cont.) The patients were classified into
epithelial or mesenchymal subgroups according to
EMT signature. The clinical significance of the
EMT signature was validated in three independent
cohorts and its association with several
immunotherapy-related signatures was
investigated. The mesenchymal subgroup showed
worse prognosis than the epithelial subgroup, and
significantly elevated PD-1, PD-L1, and CTLA-4
levels, and increased interferon-gamma,
cytolytic, T cell infiltration, overall immune
infiltration, and immune signature scores. The
relationship between PD-L1 expression and EMT
status in HNSCC after treatment with TGF-ß was
validated in vitro. In conclusion, the EMT gene
signature was associated with prognosis in HNSCC.
Additionally, our results suggest that EMT is
related to immune activity of the tumor
microenvironment with elevated immune checkpoint
molecules. - The above lines-up with the activity observed in
Feinmesser et al (2003), with this particular
immune infiltration causing necrosis and
fibrosis, and potentially exacerbating metastatic
spread. Similar observations (and spurious
response criteria) were noted in Timar et al 2003
and 2005, both of which utilized concurrent
control groups (resected lesion analysis only)48 - In two of 19 LI-treated patients it was not
possible to detect any cancer tissue in the
surgically resected tumor mass, these patients
were considered to be complete responders. - In patients treated with high dose of LI we
obtained objective response in 42.1 of the
cases, which was better detectable with
pathological examination and quantification of
tumor cell nests and tumor stroma proportion than
with imaging techniques. - How can there be a complete response where
there is also substantial resected tumor?
Answer there cant be. It is also unclear
whether the entire lesion was examined for live
cellsan immensely arduous and perhaps even
impossible taskor just portions or even a small
biopsy of it, assumed to signify the whole (far
more likely). - Furthermore, and as admitted by the authors
above, one apparently cannot determine a
response to Multikine by CT or MRI scan
(imaging techniques) and must rely on
pathological examination instead. By definition,
these cannot be valid responses.
30
31Clinical Data Portends Harm
- Both Timar et al studies (ca. 2003 and 2005)
noted observations of necrosis, fibrosis, and
infiltration of immune cellsespecially
neutrophils, which are elicited by IL-8, by far
the most prominent component of MK (est.
73)49a - In the Leukocyte Interleukin (LI)-treated
group, increased intratumoral infiltration by
neutrophils was observed exclusively in patients
with multifocal microscopic necrosis. LI-treated
patients exhibited increased neutrophil migration
into the cancer nests and neutrophil density was
also pronounced in the tumor stroma in the LI
responder subgroup. Tumors with high eosinophil
density were twice as numerous in the LI-treated
group compared with the controls (47 vs. 25).
In the LI-treated grouFp the proportion of the
collagenous stroma in tumor tissue was
significantly increased compared with the
proportion in tumor tissue of control patients
(plt0.05). Periepithelial collagenosis was similar
in frequency in the tumors of both the control
and LI-treated patients, whereas interstitial
intraepithelial fibrosis was significantly more
frequent (plt0.001) in the LI-treated group (12 of
17 patients, 70) compared with the controls (2
of 20 patients, 10). In the control group, 40
of cases did not show any kind of fibrosis. - LI-treated OSCC patients were characterized by a
markedly altered pattern of inflammatory cells,
suggesting that an acute inflammatory reaction
was mediated predominantly by neutrophils and, to
a smaller extent by eosinophils and macrophages.
Multifocal necrosis of cancer cell nests and an
increase in the proportion of connective tissue
were detected in the LI-treated patients compared
with the controls. - However, increased neutrophil migration/infiltrati
on is causally linked with worsened survival (see
slide 36). And as also noted above, Multikine
administration induced an increase in the
proportion of collagenosis within the tumor
stroma. But, this is yet another negative
observation, as increased presence of
collagenosis is used convincingly as confirmation
of cancer-associated fibroblasts (CAF)49b - Cancer-associated fibroblasts are specialized
fibroblastic stroma representing the dominant
non-hematopoietic cell type within the TME of
many cancer types. CAFs are pivotal in
tumorigenesis, tumor progression,
chemoresistance, metastasis, and maintenance of
cancer stem cells through their production of
growth factors, chemokines, and extracellular
matrix (ECM) (Bhowmick et al., 2004 Orimo et
al., 2005 Turley et al., 2015 Gascard and
Tlsty, 2016 Kalluri, 2016)
31
32Clinical Data Portends Harm
- (cont.)Experimental evidence suggests that CAFs
are heterogeneous populations derived from
various cell sources, including mesenchymal stem
cells from the bone marrow, tissue resident
fibroblasts, epithelial cells via EMT,
fibrocytes, and likely other unidentified sources
(Bhowmick et al., 2004 Orimo et al., 2005 Smith
et al., 2013 Turley et al., 2015 Gascard and
Tlsty, 2016 Kalluri, 2016). Clinical evidence
clearly establishes the association between an
increased CAF abundancy and poor prognosis in
many tumor types (Turley et al., 2015 Gascard
and Tlsty, 2016 Kalluri, 2016). - Within the highly heterogeneous HNSCCs, the
existence of a MS-rich (presumably CAF-rich)
subgroup has been revealed, which exhibits
distinct molecular signatures and clinical
presentation (Peng et al., 2011 Curry et al.,
2014 De Cecco et al., 2015 Liotta et al.,
2015 The Cancer Genome Atlas Network TCGA,
2015 Tonella et al., 2017). Similar to the CAF
markers used for other tumors, alpha-smooth
muscle actin (a-SMA) was one of the commonly used
and so far represents the most reliable marker
for CAF-like cells in HNSCCs (Kawashiri et al.,
2009 Lim et al., 2011 Marsh et al.,
2011 Wheeler et al., 2014). Additionally, high
expression levels of collagen and vimentin were
also used for further confirmation of CAFs
(Kawashiri et al., 2009). These HNSCC-CAFs
expressed high levels of growth factors,
cytokines/chemokines, and ECM (Kawashiri et al.,
2009 Lim et al., 2011 Marsh et al.,
2011 Wheeler et al., 2014), consistent with CAFs
of other tumor types. - Timar et al (2003) also revealed a significant
increase in density of Ki-67 cancer cells in
MK-treated subjects tumor samples vs control,
which the study authors suggest may be
beneficial, as it indicates an increase in
cycling tumor cells, which are thought to be more
susceptible to chemoradiation48 - Morphometric analysis of the density of Ki-67
positive cancer cells indicated that LI
Leukocyte Interleukin, aka Multikine
treatment induced significant increase (plt0.05)
in cycling tumor cells at the lower LI doses
administered.