Global Economy 2020 Preview

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Global Economy 2020 Preview The Main Events and
Developments for Currencies

• The forex secret

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The 3 Headline Events for the Global Economy in
2020

• The global economy has been dogged by uncertainty
  since, in reality, all the way back to the Global
  Financial Crisis in 2008-09.  
• Low, zero and minus interest rates have become
  the new normal. Populist politician electoral
  victories across the world, from the United
  States to Brazil, and from Italy to the Brexit
  referendum, have shaken the established order.

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1. U.S. economic performance

• While the U.S. presidential election and ongoing
  Trump impeachment inquiry will undoubtedly
  dominate the news throughout 2020.
• The main threat is widely agreed to be president
  Trumps good, and easy-to-win trade wars, which
  have been ongoing for 18 months. 
• Continued trade tariffs, and the uncertainty
  produced by talk and fear of further tariff
  impositions, significantly increases the risk of
  recession next year in the United States, Europe,
  Japan and other developed and emerging
  economies.

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2. Is a global recession around the corner?

• The Bank of America predicts a one-in-three chanc
  e of recession in 2020. However, the IMF
  has said that a recession is far from its
  thinking.
• While many economists believe that the Trump
  Tariffs represent the biggest threat to global
  economic stability
• The United Nations has highlighted the dangers
  of debt distress and weakening capital inflows
  for emerging nations, and the global economy
  remains excessively financialized and fragile.
• With the European Central Bank (ECB) starting up
  its quantitative easing program once again and
  Germany flirting with recession, eyes are
  increasingly turning to Europe.

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3. Brexit

• The Groundhog Day topic that just wont go away,
  Brexit the UKs exit from the European Union
  will still surely dominate the news agenda in
  2020.
• How it works out (or doesnt) is important for
  globally minded companies.
• As the second-largest economy in Europe and
  the fifth-largest in the world, the UK, because
  of its departure from the EU, has the potential
  to send Europe into a recessionary tailspin.
• this can spread to other regions around the
  world with particular impact on emerging and
  frontier markets.

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