Unusual Options Activity in Oracle $ORCL - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Unusual Options Activity in Oracle $ORCL

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Recently, there has been some unusual options activity in Oracle $ORCL. – PowerPoint PPT presentation

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Title: Unusual Options Activity in Oracle $ORCL


1
  • OPTIONS TRADING

Unusual Options Activity In Oracle ORCL
2
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  • Hi, My name is Steve and Im with Options Trading
    Research, today were reviewing our recently
    published article

5
  • Unusual Options Activity In Oracle ORCL

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  • As many of you know, unusual options activity can
    be a valuable indicator as to what traders are
    thinking, and more importantly, where these
    stocks are heading in the short-term.

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  • This is something professional options traders
    pay a lot of attention to, and for good reason
    Unusual options activity can tip off big moves
    in a stock, either up or down.

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  • So lets take a look at some interesting
    activity that caught our eye this week
  • Oracle ORCL is the biggest database provider in
    the world.

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  • The company generates nearly 40 billion in
    revenues and 10 billion in profits per year.
    For a good description of the company, follow the
    link.

10
  • ORCL is trading at 36.01, down 19 for the
    year. Thats 22 below the 52-week high, and
    just 2 from the 52-week low.

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  • So what does unusual options activity in ORCL
    tell us?

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  • When the stock market sells off as much as it has
    lately, its hard to separate overall market
    action from individual stock dynamics.

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  • In other words, if a stock is falling because of
    something company-specific, wed never know due
    to the broad market action.

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  • In the case of Oracle, the company was already
    having a less than stellar year even before the
    correction. Increased competition in the global
    database market has been taking its toll on the
    companys bottom line.

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  • The stock was already 13 from its 52-week high
    before dropping another 9 over the last month.
  • Heres the deal

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  • This week, a trader bought a large block of
    weekly puts in ORCL. Keep in mind, a put option
    makes money when the underlying stock moves lower.

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  • Specifically, a trader purchased 6,200 35.50 puts
    for about 0.18 each, expiring at the end of this
    week (September 4th). The total cash outlay for
    this trade is roughly 111,000.

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  • Breakeven point for the trade is 35.32. Given
    the open interest, this trade is clearly an
    opening position.
  • Heres the chart of ORCL

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  • ORCL has plunged below the 50-day average the
    past week or so due to the correction in equity
    markets. At the moment, the stock is only 2
    from its 52-week low after taking another sharp
    downturn this week.

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  • This trade suggests that ORCL may keep on
    falling, and set a new 52-week low. Although the
    option only costs 0.18, it is relatively close
    to the money. The share price need only fall
    another 2 for the trader to start making money
    on the puts.

22
  • Given the recent volatility in the market, its
    very possible this short-term put trade could
    make money before Fridays expiration. Whats
    more, given the very short time until expiration,
    these puts are likely being used for speculation
    and not hedging.

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  • More Options Trading Ideas

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  • Keep in mind, theres a lot more unusual options
    activity going on than what we discuss here. We
    just try to bring you what we feel are the most
    significant ones and the ones you might actually
    be able to make some money on!

25
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