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Don’t Get Caught in this Tricky Dividend Trap!

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Title: Don’t Get Caught in this Tricky Dividend Trap!


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  • Welcome to Dividend Stocks Research Your premier
    site for Rankings and Reviews of the best
    dividends stocks around. For more info on
    dividend stocks visit our website
  • DividendStocksResearch.com

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  • Hi, My name is Aaron and Im with Dividend Stocks
    Research, and today were reviewing our recently
    published article

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Dont Get Caught in this Tricky Dividend Trap!
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  • Beware.
  •  
  • Those high yield dividend stocks you keep seeing
    could be nothing but trouble.

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Expensive trouble
  • Theres a reason why the SP 500 pays an average
    dividend of 1.91. But you keep running into
    stocks that pay dividends of twice this much. Or
    even three and four times this much.
  • Today, Im going to tell you what you need to
    know to steer clear of the costly high dividend
    trap.

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Lets start by looking at how companies actually
behave.
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  • Every company behaves differently, but most fall
    into one of two buckets. They either try to
    create shareholder value by reinvesting profits
    in the company and driving up the companys
    revenues and earnings, or they focus on
    distributing dividends.

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  •  
  • No matter what kind of a stock youre looking at,
    you cant escape the fundamental connection
    between risk and reward.
  •  

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  • If youre going to think about investing in high
    yield dividend stocks, you need to proceed with
    caution. There is usually a good reason why a
    company pays a high dividend, and this reason
    usually doesnt have much to do with the
    companys desire to be generous to dividend
    investors.
  •  

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  • So how can you find a high yield dividend stock
    thats going to give you an edge? How can you
    steer clear of the train wrecks that send so many
    of these stocks off the rails?

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Know The Warning Signs
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  • Stay out of trouble by knowing the warning signs.
    One of the best warning signs is when a company
    starts shoveling so much of its profits into
    dividend payments that it starts making
    sacrifices in its own operations.

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  •  
  • It might not be able to pay enough to attract or
    keep the best people. It may have to cut back on
    research, or hold off paying back a debt. The
    company might not have the money in the bank
    thats needed to upgrade a facility or make an
    acquisition.
  •  

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  • Whats the easy way to see if this is happening?
  •  
  • Look at the dividend payout ratio. This shows
    the percentage of profits rolled into the
    dividend payment.
  •  

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  • Youll see that the payout ratio is different
    from industry to industry. But generally
    speaking, when a company starts plowing more than
    half of its profits back into dividends,
    investors should take notice.

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  •  
  • There might not be enough money on hand to grow
    the business. The higher dividend payment could
    be a short-term tactic by management to attract
    new investors.

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  •  
  • The pattern of the payout ratio is also good to
    keep an eye on. A sudden spike could mean
    trouble ahead. If a company that traditionally
    follows a payout ratio of 40 moves into the 70
    range, there could be a problem.
  •  

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  • So walk away. Take a safer path. And by
    settling for what seems like less, chances are
    good youll actually come out ahead.

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When Low Yields Pay You MORE MONEY
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  • High yield dividend stocks can lure you in and
    then spit you out not once, but twice.
  •  

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  • How can this happen?
  •  
  • You get hurt if the dividend is cut. The reason
    you bought the stock has gone away, or has fallen
    back to earth with a much more reasonable yield.
  •  

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  • And then theres the price you paid for the
    stock. Even if the high yield is still paid and
    the price of the stock goes down, youve got a
    problem.

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  • Naturally, the price of a stock that pays a more
    reasonable and reliable dividend can go down as
    well. But over time, stocks with a history of
    dividend growth and consistent distributions tend
    to hold up better in market downdrafts. The
    dividend yield can actually help support the
    price.

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High Yields Arent Always The Best Route To High
Returns
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  •  Theres another way to go and thats dividend
    growth. A great example of this is IBM.
  •  
  • In the Spring of 2014, International Business
    Machines Corp. (IBM) boosted its quarterly
    dividend by .15. It went up to 1.10 a share.
  •  

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  • The actual yield was anything but high... a
    modest 2.3. But the consistent growth, 19 years
    of an annual increase, and 11 consecutive
    double-digit increases, is what rewards
    shareholders.
  •  

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  • Since 2000, IBM has increased dividend payments
    by 800. Over the past five years, they have
    doubled.
  •  
  • IBM is a great reminder that the chase for a high
    yield isnt always the best way to capture high
    returns.
  •  

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  • Its usually better to focus on stocks that can
    deliver consistent dividend growth than just to
    focus on a high dividend.
  •  
  • This means youve got to know the territory.
    Know when the numbers start to send warning
    signals.

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How High Is Too High?
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  • Exactly when do high yield stocks move into risky
    territory? Whats a reasonable yield?
  •  
  • When you check out the yield of the Aristocrats,
    the most reliable dividend paying stocks, youre
    looking at yields in the 2-4 range. Notable
    exceptions HCP Inc. (HCP) and ATT (ATT) with
    yields above 5.
  •  

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  • Keep in mind that HCP is a REIT, a real estate
    investment trust, which by law can avoid paying
    income tax if 90 of its profits are paid out in
    dividends. It is also the only REIT on the SP
    500 Dividend Aristocrats Index.
  •  

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  • So when you run into yields higher than 4,
    youre looking at a double-barreled risk. A 5
    yield can evaporate quickly when the stock price
    goes down. Simple arithmetic turns ugly when you
    subtract capital losses from dividend income, and
    the higher the yield, the more likely this is to
    happen.
  •  

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  • What happens when a stock you bought because it
    paid a modest yield starts to pay a high yield?
  •  

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  • The easy answer is take the money and run.
  •  
  • Youre in a good position to sell and take your
    profits. The desire not to leave any money on
    the table and wait for another dividend to be
    paid is understandable, but it can also be an
    easily avoidable risk.

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38
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