Title: UAE Real Estate Market Data & Forecast
1UAE Real Estate Market Report 2013
After a significant slowdown, soaring property
prices and rents, and rental yields higher than
most global markets have brought investors back
to UAE Real Estate Markets in 2012. Accelerated
investment activity has also echoed the risk of
speculative behavior, which overheated and
eventually collapsed the market in 2008. To
ensure sustainable long-term sector recovery, in
December 2012, the UAE Central Bank announced
plans to restrict Loan-To-Value (LTV) ratios for
mortgage
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2UAE Real Estate Market Report 2013
lending to expatriates and UAE nationals (50 and
70 respectively) a move that has preoccupied
industry debate and market recovery projections.
While the details, or the exact capping levels,
of the proposed regulation are currently the
focus of negotiations with UAE banks, discussions
have overlooked a larger, more systemic issue
the economic impact of mortgage restriction.
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3UAE Real Estate Market Report 2013
To contribute towards the ongoing debate,
Researcher takes a close up look at the current
UAE real estate climate, and reveals the possible
extent of GDP losses as a result of the proposed
mortgage cap. The report finds that, unless
revised upwards, the cap would not only have a
negative impact on growth across the UAE it
would have a particularly detrimental impact on
the Dubai economy. While the move by central
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4UAE Real Estate Market Report 2013
Government to better regulate the market is both
necessary and welcomed to remove the risks of
overheating and to lay the foundation for
sustained and quality growth, the report
highlights the need for multiple policy responses
and a degree of moderation, at a time when both
property prices and rental growth are beginning
to recover. Moreover, as the UAEs construction
market regains its appeal to investors, with over
70 billion worth of construction awards in the
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5UAE Real Estate Market Report 2013
pipeline in 2013, a detailed review of the
options open to the market are urgently required,
given the lessons learned in other countries
living through boom and bust cycles.
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